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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 9, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pelicans45%98114
19Bucks55%100103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 22.0
40.6
32.5
43
77%
10
6
1
1
2
4
4
6
9-11
82%
17-23
9-17
74%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.2
30.3
33.8
16
67%
3
3
2
1
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
3-7
2-6
43%
44%
3-4
75%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.0
28.7
30.6
6
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
2-3
67%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.7
27.1
25.3
6
77%
6
2
1
0
1
2
2
4
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.5
26.8
34.0
13
65%
3
6
1
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
5-8
5-11
63%
47%
1-2
50%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.4
23.7
26.3
11
56%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-7
2-6
29%
44%
1-1
100%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.9
23.0
18.5
3
39%
5
3
0
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 26.8
17.9
17.3
6
38%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
55%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.7
12.8
3.5
8
80%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
9.0
11.7
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 26.8
6.7
0
1-1
46%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.0
2.8
0
0-1
46%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 25.0
2.1
0
0-1
50%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.6
40.2
33.1
17
67%
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
2
3-4
75%
4-6
5-9
67%
50%
2-5
40%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 20.3
37.5
34.9
29
76%
5
4
3
1
3
2
2
3
7-7
100%
11-15
5-9
73%
51%
0-1
0%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.4
32.4
26.8
25
58%
1
7
2
1
0
3
0
1
9-10
90%
8-15
4-8
53%
45%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
19.5
27.1
6
43%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.1
19.3
21.9
2
33%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
46%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 24.2
28.7
19.7
8
47%
7
0
0
0
2
0
3
4
4-8
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
56%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
23.4
22.1
2
33%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 24.9
18.4
20.0
7
70%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.7
15.0
23.7
5
87%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
53%
1-2
50%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 20.5
5.7
9.0
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
9.2
0
1-2
47%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.5
4.3
0
0-1
52%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 21.8
1.9
0
0-1
48%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.0
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.