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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 11, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Hawks63%106102
25Nuggets37%102115
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.0
25.9
30.7
18
107%
3
0
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
5-7
71%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.1
25.0
24.4
12
47%
5
0
2
1
1
2
3
2
2-2
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.7
23.3
29.2
8
58%
3
3
2
1
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.8
23.2
31.1
6
30%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-10
7-12
30%
56%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.6
21.7
23.8
9
65%
3
2
1
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
1-3
33%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.7
22.9
22.9
7
53%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
20.6
11.3
5
36%
2
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
19.8
5.3
6
39%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
6-6
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.5
19.2
23.2
13
51%
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
5-6
83%
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.7
17.6
20.5
4
40%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
53%
0-3
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
10.3
9.8
10
102%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
2-3
67%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.7
10.3
7.6
4
50%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.0
13.5
0
1-3
49%
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 23.4
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.4
27.0
28.3
5
34%
4
9
1
1
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
26.5
27.5
8
57%
5
1
1
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
24.0
26.1
23
86%
5
5
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
44%
4-5
80%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
21.3
29.2
14
89%
5
2
1
1
4
1
2
3
2-2
100%
6-7
5-10
86%
52%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.5
18.7
23.5
11
79%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
3-5
60%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.2
32.7
24.8
16
48%
6
5
1
1
2
4
1
5
5-6
83%
4-10
3-7
40%
46%
1-4
25%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.5
31.0
18.6
10
60%
9
1
0
0
1
2
4
5
2-3
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.1
13.3
13.2
13
93%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
3-5
60%
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.8
13.0
8.3
4
29%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.5
12.0
13.6
1
15%
1
0
2
1
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
10.3
10.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
10.2
10.8
10
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-5
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.5
7.3
0
1-3
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.