Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Hawks	62%	106	102	103.0	99	116.9
	25	Nuggets	38%	102	115	115.0	100	86.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 34	25.9	18	113%	3	0	1	1	2	0	0	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	5-7	71%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 30	25.0	12	46%	5	0	2	1	2	3	3	2	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 27	23.3	8	57%	3	3	2	0	4	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 29	23.2	6	30%	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-10	30%	0-0	-
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 29	21.7	9	64%	3	2	1	0	2	4	2	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%

Kent Bazemore G · 6'5" 201 · 26	22.9	7	50%	3	2	2	0	1	3	0	3	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 25	20.6	5	36%	2	5	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 33	19.8	6	38%	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	6-6	100%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 21	19.2	13	50%	1	1	0	1	2	2	0	1	5-6	83%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 27	17.6	4	40%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 24	10.3	10	100%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Mike Muscala F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24	10.3	4	50%	3	1	1	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarell Eddie #3 · G-F · 6'7" 218 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Thabo Sefolosha #25 · F · 6'7" 220 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	53%	32	18	11	3	17	0	8	24	25-27	93%	25-54	46%	9-27	33%

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8 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 34	25.9	18	113%	3	0	1	1	2	0	0	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	5-7	71%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 30	25.0	12	46%	5	0	2	1	2	3	3	2	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 27	23.3	8	57%	3	3	2	0	4	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 29	23.2	6	30%	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-10	30%	0-0	-
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 29	21.7	9	64%	3	2	1	0	2	4	2	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%

Kent Bazemore G · 6'5" 201 · 26	22.9	7	50%	3	2	2	0	1	3	0	3	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 25	20.6	5	36%	2	5	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 33	19.8	6	38%	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	6-6	100%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 21	19.2	13	50%	1	1	0	1	2	2	0	1	5-6	83%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 27	17.6	4	40%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 24	10.3	10	100%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Mike Muscala F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24	10.3	4	50%	3	1	1	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarell Eddie #3 · G-F · 6'7" 218 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Thabo Sefolosha #25 · F · 6'7" 220 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	53%	32	18	11	3	17	0	8	24	25-27	93%	25-54	46%	9-27	33%

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25 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	27.0	5	36%	4	9	1	0	2	1	0	4	3-3	100%	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	26.5	8	57%	5	1	1	1	2	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 27	24.0	23	88%	5	5	1	0	1	0	1	4	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	4-5	80%
Kenneth Faried C · 6'8" 228 · 25	21.3	14	88%	5	2	1	4	1	1	2	3	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	18.7	11	79%	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%

Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24	32.7	16	47%	6	5	1	2	4	2	1	5	5-6	83%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27	31.0	10	63%	9	1	0	1	2	1	4	5	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 33	13.3	13	93%	1	2	0	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-5	60%
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	13.0	4	29%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	12.0	1	17%	1	0	2	0	2	1	1	0	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Joffrey Lauvergne C · 6'11" 260 · 23	10.3	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	4	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	10.2	10	100%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	61%	44	28	8	9	19	0	11	33	18-20	90%	29-53	55%	13-31	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.06 53.1%

DEN

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

14

26

54%

DEN

15

26

58%

Midrange

ATL

11

28

39%

DEN

14

27

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

9

13.5

27

33%

50%

DEN

13

19.5

31

42%

63%

Free Throws

ATL

25

27

93%

DEN

18

20

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Korver	18	113%	9.0 / 8
D. Schröder	13	50%	6.5 / 13
P. Millsap	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Jenkins	10	100%	5.0 / 5
D. Carroll	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Teague	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Bazemore	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Horford	6	30%	3.0 / 10
P. Antic	6	38%	3.0 / 8
S. Mack	5	36%	2.5 / 7
M. Scott	4	40%	2.0 / 5
M. Muscala	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari	23	88%	11.5 / 13
W. Barton	16	47%	8.0 / 17
K. Faried	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Nelson	13	93%	6.5 / 7
R. Foye	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Hickson	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Arthur	10	100%	5.0 / 5
W. Chandler	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Lawson	5	36%	2.5 / 7
E. Green	4	29%	2.0 / 7
G. Harris	1	17%	0.5 / 3
J. Lauvergne	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 108.9 18 104.8	ATL 103.0 DEN 115.0 +12.0
Pace	12 94.0 4 95.9	ATL 116.9 +30.3 DEN 86.7
Avg. Poss. Time	17 15.1 28 14.4	ATL 12.3 −4.3 DEN 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 52.7% 25 47.9%	ATL 47.5% DEN 57.7% +10.2%
TO %	16 14.3% 15 14.3%	ATL 16.2% −0.8% DEN 17.0%
ORB %	30 21.4% 10 26.5%	ATL 19.5% DEN 31.4% +11.9%
FTrt	21 25.9 12 27.8	ATL 33.3 +9.5 DEN 23.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 67.6% 17 57.7%	ATL 52.9% DEN 66.7% +13.8%
STL %	4 9.6% 17 8.0%	ATL 11.1% +3.1% DEN 8.0%
BLK %	11 8.1% 22 7.2%	ATL 5.7% DEN 16.7% +11.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.7% 24 50.8%	ATL 53.1% DEN 60.5% +7.4%
Rim FG%	12 58.1% 22 56.1%	ATL 53.8% DEN 57.7% +3.9%
Mid FG%	2 42.2% 24 37.9%	ATL 39.3% DEN 51.9% +12.6%
3P %	2 38.0% 28 32.5%	ATL 33.3% DEN 41.9% +8.6%
FT %	5 77.8% 24 73.5%	ATL 92.6% +2.6% DEN 90.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 36.1% 10 38.2%	ATL 32.1% +1.1% DEN 31.0%
Mid Att. %	5 31.8% 6 33.4%	ATL 34.6% DEN 32.1% −2.4%
3P Att. %	4 32.1% 12 28.4%	ATL 33.3% DEN 36.9% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	DEN
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	20.3	27.7
Points	102	115
Rebounds	32	44
Assists	18	28
Steals	11	8
Blocks	3	9
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (5)	33 (2)
Field Goals	34-81	42-84
At-the-Rim FG	14-26	15-26
Midrange FG	11-28	14-27
2-Point FG	25-54	29-53
3-Point FG	9-27	13-31
Free Throws	25-27	18-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg