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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 11, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets49%104100
9Trail Blazers51%105105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.5
38
34
18
2
6
3
2
0
4
1
1
4-5
80%
7-16
5-10
44%
48%
0-3
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.7
38
31
11
6
6
2
1
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
3-6
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.2
36
31
17
12
0
1
1
1
1
5
7
5-7
71%
6-11
5-10
55%
54%
0-2
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.7
35
29
5
8
4
0
1
1
0
1
7
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
1-8
13%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.5
29
26
10
4
0
0
1
2
1
0
4
0-4
0%
2-6
4-8
33%
52%
2-4
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.0
25
26
23
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-5
40%
6-11
4-7
55%
50%
3-5
60%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.3
18
25
9
4
2
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.5
13
18
3
0
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.2
8
9
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.8
5
0
0-0
48%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.2
3
0
0-1
42%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.1
2
0
0-0
43%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.8
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 26.2
40
35
18
9
6
1
1
0
4
0
9
1-2
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
52%
3-6
50%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.7
35
35
14
5
8
0
1
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
4-11
5-10
36%
49%
1-5
20%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.4
34
28
9
5
1
1
1
0
3
0
5
4-4
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
1-7
14%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.6
33
36
26
14
1
0
1
1
5
6
8
1-1
100%
11-17
9-18
65%
47%
1-3
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 26.9
30
27
16
10
0
0
0
1
0
4
6
2-3
67%
7-9
4-7
78%
53%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.0
20
13
3
2
4
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-3
33%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.9
17
17
6
10
0
0
0
0
2
4
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 29.3
10
10
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
1-4
25%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.0
9
4
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
53%
2-3
67%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
8
11
0
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.8
5
6
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 28.1
5
0
1-1
47%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.9
2
0
0-0
47%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.