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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 12, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Grizzlies43%9587
18Wizards57%97107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 24.7
33
4
13
6
1
0
0
1
3
2
4
1-2
50%
6-10
0-1
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.7
26
15
8
2
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.0
24
15
10
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
50%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.4
24
26
9
2
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
3-3
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
22
31
8
6
3
1
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.1
28
12
4
7
3
0
1
0
2
1
6
1-2
50%
0-6
1-3
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.2
22
3
13
8
1
3
0
1
3
4
4
5-9
56%
4-6
0-1
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.7
20
4
4
0
1
3
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.8
17
4
9
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
4-7
1-1
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.9
15
3
4
1
1
1
0
0
3
1
0
4-4
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.1
9
10
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-4
25%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.1
34
1
6-12
49%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.7
31
1
5-11
47%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.2
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
40
30
22
9
2
3
1
3
0
2
7
2-4
50%
10-16
5-9
63%
54%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
30
32
21
7
6
1
1
2
2
0
7
4-5
80%
7-9
5-10
78%
48%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
27
19
13
5
3
1
0
0
0
2
3
5-6
83%
4-8
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.7
27
26
9
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.4
24
21
17
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
3-4
75%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.8
28
21
6
6
1
2
1
0
2
4
2
2-4
50%
2-8
2-5
25%
49%
0-2
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
27
16
9
6
6
1
0
0
1
0
6
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.9
10
3
0
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.8
10
13
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-3
33%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.3
8
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.3
7
15
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Toure' Murry
F · 6'5" 195 · 25.3
4
1
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.5
24
1
4-8
52%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.8
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.