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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 12, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Cavaliers43%101128
3Spurs57%104125
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.0
46.6
31.6
57
78%
3
5
4
1
0
2
1
2
10-10
100%
13-25
5-10
52%
48%
7-7
100%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.2
43.7
31.6
31
64%
5
7
2
1
1
3
0
5
8-10
80%
7-14
7-12
50%
55%
3-6
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.5
32.8
31.1
8
37%
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
0-6
3-6
0%
48%
2-4
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.5
29.8
29.5
6
50%
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.7
23.4
25.9
10
57%
6
1
0
0
0
2
4
2
2-4
50%
4-7
4-7
57%
53%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.0
29.6
18.7
12
61%
9
0
0
0
0
0
4
5
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
50%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.7
28.0
24.9
2
17%
6
0
1
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
43%
0-3
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.4
19.7
11.5
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
36%
0-1
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.5
11.4
18.1
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
38%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.3
6.5
0
1-1
44%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.5
4.1
0
0-0
43%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.1
2.9
0
0-0
42%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.3
1.5
0
0-0
47%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.8
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.7
44.2
35.5
24
68%
9
7
1
2
1
3
3
6
5-8
63%
8-11
6-11
73%
54%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.8
42.9
31.4
31
64%
5
6
1
1
0
4
0
5
1-3
33%
15-22
6-12
68%
50%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.9
42.4
29.1
18
68%
11
8
1
1
4
3
3
8
4-5
80%
7-11
5-10
64%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
36.3
25.0
24
79%
4
1
2
1
4
1
0
4
5-5
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
5-10
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.2
22.2
23.6
9
58%
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.9
23.6
15.9
9
51%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
0-3
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.0
22.4
19.8
4
29%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-4
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.6
13.5
13.0
6
100%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
2-3
67%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.6
9.8
21.3
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.9
7.7
8.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
0.1
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.3
11.9
0
2-3
53%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.9
2.6
0
0-1
55%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 28.5
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.