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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 13, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Magic36%9988
17Celtics64%10495
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
38
35
16
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
4-7
5-10
57%
50%
2-5
40%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.4
37
27
16
11
3
2
1
0
0
3
8
2-2
100%
7-17
7-13
41%
52%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.9
36
36
11
6
4
2
2
0
4
0
6
1-2
50%
5-10
6-12
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.1
34
33
20
5
9
1
2
1
5
1
4
4-15
27%
5-13
4-10
38%
44%
2-3
67%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.6
25
20
5
8
0
0
0
1
3
4
4
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
26
13
4
7
0
2
1
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.5
20
14
11
8
0
1
0
1
2
2
6
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 34.1
17
12
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 31.8
8
22
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
10
0
2-3
46%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
8
0
1-2
45%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.9
6
0
1-2
44%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25.0
5
0
1-1
52%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.4
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.3
36
32
10
4
1
1
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-9
4-9
22%
49%
2-7
29%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
33
26
30
5
4
2
1
0
3
0
5
5-5
100%
11-17
3-7
65%
46%
1-3
33%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
31
31
8
7
0
0
1
2
0
2
5
0-1
0%
4-6
5-10
67%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.0
26
31
7
6
2
0
2
0
1
3
3
2-4
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
1-3
33%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.1
19
20
5
6
1
0
0
0
0
4
2
1-2
50%
2-8
4-7
25%
54%
0-0
-
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 24.1
27
8
10
4
10
2
0
1
3
0
4
2-4
50%
4-5
1-1
80%
42%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.7
21
28
6
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
51%
2-4
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.9
20
18
13
5
0
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-2
0%
2-3
3-5
67%
55%
3-5
60%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.0
15
18
0
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.3
7
11
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
1-2
50%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.6
4
6
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.6
6
0
0-1
52%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 31.3
3
0
0-1
47%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.1
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.