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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 13, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors77%112103
23Nuggets23%102114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 25.9
36
4
23
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
0-1
44%
48%
5-7
71%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.5
36
23
12
4
8
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-13
3-7
38%
51%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.9
31
8
13
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
3
5-6
83%
4-12
1-3
33%
53%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
24
27
4
6
2
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
0-3
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.0
20
31
12
6
2
0
2
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
0-3
0%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.2
28
1
16
5
1
1
0
1
1
4
1
4-6
67%
6-10
0-0
60%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.3
25
14
14
0
9
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-9
2-4
22%
48%
3-4
75%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.7
23
3
0
1
2
0
0
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.4
17
7
9
6
1
1
0
4
0
2
4
1-2
50%
4-6
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.0
33
2
4-8
52%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
32
1
5-10
49%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
26
1
2-4
54%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.6
11
0
3-6
50%
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.8
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.1
38
13
17
4
7
1
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
43%
3-4
75%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.5
35
21
20
3
8
1
1
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
41%
4-9
44%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
34
25
24
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5
9-11
82%
6-13
2-5
46%
44%
1-3
33%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
34
26
24
17
0
0
1
1
2
7
10
4-6
67%
10-18
4-9
56%
51%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
32
27
10
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
5-8
3-7
63%
48%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.2
20
27
6
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-4
50%
2-4
3-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.5
19
23
5
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
3-8
38%
1-2
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.6
9
7
4
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.8
9
10
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.5
7
13
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
3
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.4
28
1
3-7
46%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
11
0
2-3
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.