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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 15, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Knicks17%9489
17Suns83%107102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.4
36.5
28.5
18
49%
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
4-5
80%
7-13
5-11
54%
46%
0-3
0%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 26.2
32.0
26.0
18
49%
4
3
2
1
0
2
1
3
4-8
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
41%
2-6
33%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.9
29.4
20.3
14
56%
4
1
2
0
0
0
1
3
6-10
60%
4-8
3-6
50%
41%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.3
26.3
27.0
7
44%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
43%
1-3
33%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.3
16.6
15.8
2
33%
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.4
25.4
19.4
8
74%
4
3
2
1
0
2
1
3
0-1
0%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
0-0
-
Travis Wear
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
22.3
12.1
7
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 26.4
21.7
18.6
4
25%
10
3
1
1
1
0
1
9
0-0
-
2-8
3-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.0
21.2
17.2
7
90%
3
3
1
0
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 23.9
6.3
23.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
43%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.0
2.2
20.2
4
106%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.4
10.6
0
1-2
49%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.5
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 29.9
39.9
33.9
5
28%
9
2
0
1
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
53%
1-4
25%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
39.2
29.8
20
63%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-4
0%
7-11
4-7
64%
52%
2-3
67%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
37.2
22.4
18
88%
11
1
1
1
0
0
3
8
4-5
80%
7-8
4-5
88%
66%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.3
37.0
33.2
21
60%
9
11
2
2
0
3
0
9
4-6
67%
7-12
4-8
58%
53%
1-3
33%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
26.4
33.5
14
55%
5
2
3
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
4-10
7-12
40%
53%
1-1
100%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.6
22.7
14.2
7
32%
4
5
3
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-8
2-4
38%
50%
0-2
0%
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.5
16.1
14.4
6
77%
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
55%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 33.6
9.1
3.0
6
60%
4
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
41%
0-1
0%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
6.6
2.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.1
5.9
7.6
5
42%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 21.7
21.5
1
3-5
55%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27.8
11.8
0
1-3
47%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.0
2.3
0
0-0
50%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 23.3
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.