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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 16, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2976ers
89
17Celtics
108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.9
34
29
18
7
1
2
2
1
1
1
6
4-6
67%
7-15
4-9
47%
46%
0-0
-
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.0
31
24
13
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
2-5
40%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 23.8
28
26
11
6
2
0
1
1
3
0
6
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
2-7
29%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.5
23
20
10
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-4
25%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
1-1
100%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 34.1
20
15
2
5
2
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
0-2
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.7
27
24
16
2
4
1
1
1
4
1
1
1-2
50%
6-11
3-8
55%
41%
1-2
50%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.0
25
24
6
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.3
23
23
4
6
3
2
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
0-4
2-4
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.0
15
17
7
5
0
0
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-0
-
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 25.0
14
11
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.0
18
1
2-3
50%
Furkan Aldemir
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.6
6
0
0-1
47%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 21.2
4
0
0-1
42%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.0
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.3
35
33
20
10
6
2
1
0
1
1
9
0-0
-
4-7
5-10
57%
48%
4-7
57%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.0
30
28
11
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
44%
2-3
67%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.2
28
21
26
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
11-15
4-8
73%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
27
31
12
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
6-10
5-10
60%
51%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
24
27
10
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.7
21
27
10
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
5-5
3-6
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 24.1
20
16
5
3
2
3
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
1-6
1-3
17%
43%
0-1
0%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.3
20
8
10
1
2
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.9
16
19
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-4
3-5
0%
55%
0-2
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.0
13
16
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-1
0%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.6
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 31.3
2
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.6
4
0
0-0
51%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.0
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.