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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 16, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Thunder36%104115
7Mavericks64%109119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 22.8
37.4
31.1
19
67%
13
0
0
1
1
2
4
9
5-5
100%
7-12
6-13
58%
49%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
36.3
25.0
15
42%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
5-11
3-8
45%
44%
1-5
20%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
36.0
36.7
24
56%
8
12
4
2
1
7
1
7
9-10
90%
6-13
9-18
46%
46%
1-4
25%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.7
30.1
25.0
15
70%
8
0
0
1
0
3
5
3
5-6
83%
5-8
3-6
63%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.3
12.4
18.6
3
150%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
1-1
100%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.5
26.2
23.3
13
59%
4
1
1
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
3-7
43%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 27.3
24.2
23.2
6
27%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
42%
0-7
0%
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.8
16.7
12.9
12
47%
13
0
0
0
1
1
4
9
2-4
50%
5-11
2-4
45%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.4
10.7
14.8
3
85%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
3-4
75%
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.9
9.9
14.0
5
64%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 31.8
4.2
0
0-0
36%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.8
3.5
0
0-1
47%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.5
2.8
0
0-1
48%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.4
38.4
28.1
31
86%
4
0
2
1
0
3
0
4
8-9
89%
7-9
3-6
78%
53%
3-5
60%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.4
37.2
28.7
24
48%
5
3
3
1
0
4
0
5
8-11
73%
8-17
5-11
47%
49%
0-3
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.5
33.5
26.3
5
38%
7
1
2
1
2
0
4
3
3-6
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
63%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.1
32.8
24.4
11
69%
4
13
1
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.7
27.2
25.4
22
58%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
50%
4-7
57%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.6
19.2
14.8
10
63%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
2-5
40%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.7
17.7
17.9
3
26%
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.3
14.4
15.9
10
53%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-1
0%
5-9
3-6
56%
54%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.7
11.3
21.0
3
40%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.0
8.3
21.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.1
6.1
0
1-1
51%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.7
5.9
0
1-1
45%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
3.6
0
0-1
61%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.7
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.