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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 18, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pistons
83
3076ers
94
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.1
36
32
20
8
2
1
1
0
3
1
7
5-6
83%
6-12
3-8
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
34
25
9
5
0
0
1
1
2
3
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
2-4
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.6
32
30
9
14
0
1
1
2
1
7
7
3-3
100%
3-8
7-12
38%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.9
32
30
11
11
10
0
1
0
5
3
8
2-2
100%
3-14
5-10
21%
48%
1-3
33%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 35.0
18
19
7
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
1-6
17%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.6
24
20
8
2
0
4
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-7
2-4
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 35.0
22
24
6
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 21.9
19
16
7
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-8
2-3
13%
45%
1-3
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
16
10
6
4
1
0
0
4
1
3
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
8
9
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
5
0
0-1
44%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 32.3
4
0
0-1
40%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.3
2
0
0-0
42%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.8
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.7
26
24
15
1
8
3
1
1
3
0
1
3-4
75%
6-11
3-8
55%
43%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.5
26
21
4
6
5
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
0-6
2-5
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 34.2
25
17
14
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
3-5
60%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.0
22
12
6
6
0
2
0
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.9
22
30
11
4
0
1
2
3
1
3
1
1-2
50%
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.0
25
24
10
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.0
24
26
8
1
1
2
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.3
22
22
3
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 23.8
22
26
9
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
0-4
2-4
0%
45%
2-6
33%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.0
16
17
12
6
0
1
1
3
1
2
4
0-0
-
6-9
3-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Furkan Aldemir
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.6
9
4
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 25.0
12
0
2-4
51%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 21.2
3
0
0-1
44%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.0
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.