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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 18, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs
114
23Bucks
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
39
26
20
8
4
2
1
0
1
2
6
4-4
100%
5-12
1-3
42%
47%
2-4
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.9
34
28
19
5
7
1
1
3
1
1
4
1-2
50%
9-14
5-9
64%
49%
0-2
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.7
27
31
14
2
2
4
2
1
1
0
2
6-8
75%
1-5
5-10
20%
53%
2-3
67%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.8
27
31
15
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-6
6-13
83%
49%
1-1
100%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.2
19
23
6
4
1
1
1
2
2
0
4
2-5
40%
2-2
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.9
31
22
18
6
5
1
0
0
0
0
6
8-8
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
51%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.0
24
23
11
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
2-6
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.6
16
11
3
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-3
33%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 28.5
7
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.9
6
8
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
5
10
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.9
3
10
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.3
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 20.3
37
34
19
9
3
1
1
2
1
1
8
3-3
100%
8-16
5-10
50%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.4
34
24
11
0
6
0
1
1
4
0
0
5-6
83%
3-9
4-8
33%
43%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
33
30
17
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
1-3
33%
5-9
4-8
56%
48%
2-5
40%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.6
30
35
15
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
4-6
5-10
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.1
17
24
10
7
2
0
1
0
2
3
4
2-4
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
45%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.6
24
21
12
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
2-2
100%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 20.6
20
21
4
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.5
18
6
4
11
1
0
0
1
0
4
7
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 24.2
13
21
5
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 24.9
10
12
6
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 21.8
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.7
10
0
1-1
51%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
7
0
1-2
46%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.0
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.