Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Nuggets	33%	98	91	98.9	92	100.4
	13	Heat	67%	104	108	113.7	95	88.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	38.0	10	36%	5	12	1	1	2	1	2	3	0-4	0%	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	36.4	13	72%	7	3	0	0	0	1	1	6	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	35.5	20	59%	6	2	4	2	1	3	2	4	0-5	0%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	30.2	16	57%	1	1	0	0	3	3	1	0	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	4-11	36%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 21	30.0	16	73%	7	0	2	1	4	5	3	4	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	0-0	-

Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24	17.4	7	58%	2	1	2	1	3	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27	14.1	2	100%	3	0	1	2	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	13.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 21	12.6	2	14%	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	11.1	5	63%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Joffrey Lauvergne C · 6'11" 260 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	52%	35	21	11	7	16	0	10	25	10-19	53%	30-52	58%	7-27	26%

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21 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	38.0	10	36%	5	12	1	1	2	1	2	3	0-4	0%	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	36.4	13	72%	7	3	0	0	0	1	1	6	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	35.5	20	59%	6	2	4	2	1	3	2	4	0-5	0%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	30.2	16	57%	1	1	0	0	3	3	1	0	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	4-11	36%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 21	30.0	16	73%	7	0	2	1	4	5	3	4	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	0-0	-

Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24	17.4	7	58%	2	1	2	1	3	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27	14.1	2	100%	3	0	1	2	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	13.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 21	12.6	2	14%	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	11.1	5	63%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Joffrey Lauvergne C · 6'11" 260 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	52%	35	21	11	7	16	0	10	25	10-19	53%	30-52	58%	7-27	26%

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13 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 29	34.7	18	64%	8	5	2	1	3	1	5	3	0-0	-	9-14	64%	0-0	-
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 26	32.7	14	58%	10	0	2	2	1	2	1	9	4-6	67%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 33	30.9	22	55%	1	4	1	0	4	3	0	1	4-4	100%	9-18	50%	0-0	-
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 30	28.4	15	75%	0	2	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 35	13.6	6	60%	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%

Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 26	34.4	9	35%	8	7	3	1	3	1	0	8	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-5	20%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 29	28.2	10	71%	4	3	0	0	1	5	0	4	6-7	86%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Henry Walker F · 6'6" 235 · 27	19.6	9	75%	3	2	0	2	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37	15.3	5	83%	7	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zoran Dragic G-F · 6'5" 200 · 26	0.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	57%	44	23	8	7	16	0	10	34	15-19	79%	36-65	55%	7-16	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.03 51.7%

MIA

1.15 57.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

21

33

64%

MIA

22

36

61%

Midrange

DEN

9

19

47%

MIA

14

29

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

7

10.5

27

26%

39%

MIA

7

10.5

16

44%

66%

Free Throws

DEN

10

19

53%

MIA

15

19

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Faried	20	59%	10.0 / 17
R. Foye	16	57%	8.0 / 14
J. Nurkić	16	73%	8.0 / 11
W. Chandler	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Lawson	10	36%	5.0 / 14
W. Barton	7	58%	3.5 / 6
E. Green	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Hickson	2	100%	1.0 / 1
G. Harris	2	14%	1.0 / 7
D. Arthur	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	22	55%	11.0 / 20
G. Dragic	18	64%	9.0 / 14
L. Deng	15	75%	7.5 / 10
H. Whiteside	14	58%	7.0 / 12
M. Chalmers	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Beasley	9	35%	4.5 / 13
H. Walker	9	75%	4.5 / 6
U. Haslem	6	60%	3.0 / 5
C. Andersen	5	83%	2.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 104.8 21 103.9	DEN 98.9 MIA 113.7 +14.8
Pace	4 95.9 29 91.0	DEN 100.4 +12.0 MIA 88.4
Avg. Poss. Time	28 14.4 2 16.3	DEN 14.3 −1.9 MIA 16.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 47.9% 12 50.0%	DEN 51.3% MIA 57.4% +6.1%
TO %	15 14.3% 24 15.2%	DEN 15.5% MIA 15.2% −0.3%
ORB %	10 26.5% 26 23.2%	DEN 22.7% MIA 28.6% +5.9%
FTrt	12 27.8 4 30.6	DEN 24.1 +0.6 MIA 23.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.7% 22 56.4%	DEN 56.8% +3.3% MIA 53.5%
STL %	17 8.0% 8 8.6%	DEN 12.0% +3.6% MIA 8.4%
BLK %	22 7.2% 12 8.0%	DEN 10.8% MIA 13.5% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 50.7% 13 52.2%	DEN 51.7% MIA 57.4% +5.7%
Rim FG%	22 56.1% 8 59.7%	DEN 63.6% +2.5% MIA 61.1%
Mid FG%	24 37.9% 8 40.9%	DEN 47.4% MIA 48.3% +0.9%
3P %	28 32.5% 24 33.5%	DEN 25.9% MIA 43.8% +17.9%
FT %	24 73.5% 22 74.1%	DEN 52.6% MIA 78.9% +26.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 38.2% 18 35.1%	DEN 41.8% MIA 44.4% +2.7%
Mid Att. %	6 33.4% 22 38.7%	DEN 24.1% −11.8% MIA 35.8%
3P Att. %	12 28.4% 17 26.2%	DEN 34.2% +14.4% MIA 19.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	MIA
Possessions	92	95
Possession Minutes	22.0	25.8
Points	91	108
Rebounds	35	44
Assists	21	23
Steals	11	8
Blocks	7	7
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (1)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (1)	34 (2)
Field Goals	37-79	43-81
At-the-Rim FG	21-33	22-36
Midrange FG	9-19	14-29
2-Point FG	30-52	36-65
3-Point FG	7-27	7-16
Free Throws	10-19	15-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg