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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 20, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Nuggets
91
14Heat
108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.4
38
28
10
5
12
1
1
1
2
2
3
0-4
0%
5-10
3-7
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.9
36
27
13
7
3
0
1
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
49%
1-3
33%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
35
26
20
6
2
4
1
2
1
2
4
0-5
0%
10-15
5-9
67%
53%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.5
30
27
16
1
1
0
1
0
3
1
0
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
4-11
36%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.6
30
14
16
7
0
2
1
1
4
3
4
2-2
100%
7-10
2-5
70%
47%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.2
17
23
7
2
1
2
1
1
3
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
1-1
100%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.5
14
16
2
3
0
1
0
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
13
16
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-4
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.5
13
8
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
42%
0-4
0%
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.9
11
6
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.5
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
27
1
2-5
45%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.1
23
1
2-5
45%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
35
34
18
8
5
2
1
1
3
5
3
0-0
-
9-14
5-9
64%
54%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.8
33
28
14
10
0
2
1
2
1
1
9
4-6
67%
5-9
5-9
56%
58%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.2
31
30
22
1
4
1
1
0
4
0
1
4-4
100%
9-18
8-16
50%
53%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.9
28
35
15
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
50%
3-5
60%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.8
14
21
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
34
19
9
8
7
3
0
1
3
0
8
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
1-5
20%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
28
22
10
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
6-7
86%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.4
20
15
9
3
2
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
3-5
60%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.7
15
16
5
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
62%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 22.9
1
14
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.7
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.7
5
0
0-1
47%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.7
5
0
0-1
44%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.1
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.