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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 20, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Celtics24%9789
2Spurs76%107101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
32.9
27.1
17
67%
1
4
0
1
0
4
0
1
2-4
50%
6-9
3-8
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.3
28.5
32.8
16
52%
3
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
1-1
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
46%
1-4
25%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.2
22.9
21.9
5
32%
9
2
0
0
0
2
3
6
1-2
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.0
22.7
30.6
10
48%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
41%
1-3
33%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
18.9
28.9
10
71%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
5-7
4-9
71%
49%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.7
31.9
26.5
14
43%
6
1
2
1
1
0
1
5
3-5
60%
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
1-5
20%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.0
26.6
16.6
7
40%
12
0
2
1
0
3
4
8
4-4
100%
0-4
1-3
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 24.1
17.8
15.7
4
40%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
39%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.9
15.7
19.6
0
0%
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
3-5
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.7
14.7
3.5
6
55%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-1
0%
3-5
0-0
60%
49%
0-0
-
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.3
6.0
9.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 31.3
1.3
2.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.1
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.0
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
33.5
29.9
10
40%
8
4
2
1
2
0
2
6
6-6
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
0-4
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.7
31.1
29.6
22
70%
7
2
3
2
0
0
0
7
4-4
100%
6-9
5-9
67%
55%
2-5
40%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.8
26.9
28.9
15
70%
0
7
0
1
0
6
0
0
5-6
83%
5-8
6-12
63%
51%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.2
25.0
21.2
18
80%
6
3
2
1
0
0
2
4
2-3
67%
8-10
3-6
80%
56%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.9
19.8
29.4
10
100%
6
3
2
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
5-5
5-10
100%
51%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.9
26.2
24.6
9
57%
4
4
0
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
1-4
25%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.0
23.6
23.2
5
25%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
49%
1-4
25%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.6
19.9
13.0
5
25%
0
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
50%
1-5
20%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.3
16.7
10.0
4
50%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 28.5
9.4
5.3
2
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.0
5.4
8.0
1
27%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
1.3
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
1.3
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.9
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.