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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 21, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Trail Blazers38%9786
7Grizzlies62%10197
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.7
39
34
27
3
7
0
1
0
5
0
3
9-9
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.4
36
30
8
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 27.0
32
27
8
7
1
1
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
52%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.7
18
34
16
5
0
0
1
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
7-11
8-17
64%
47%
0-1
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 26.3
15
34
0
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-2
0%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
26
17
13
6
1
1
1
0
3
0
6
1-1
100%
3-6
1-4
50%
41%
2-5
40%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 29.3
25
10
10
6
2
2
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
1-1
29%
44%
2-4
50%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 28.1
20
5
2
7
1
1
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.1
14
14
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.1
9
14
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-2
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.8
6
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.9
13
0
2-5
49%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.9
2
0
0-0
48%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
40
26
23
9
0
0
1
0
0
0
9
2-2
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
5-7
71%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.2
35
30
10
11
1
6
2
0
2
2
9
1-2
50%
3-5
4-8
60%
50%
1-1
100%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.4
34
30
21
2
9
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
48%
3-5
60%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.1
33
28
13
9
5
0
1
1
2
3
6
5-6
83%
4-15
5-10
27%
49%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.7
31
32
17
4
3
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
7-19
6-12
37%
48%
1-1
100%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.1
19
18
4
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.1
16
12
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.7
14
24
4
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-4
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.1
14
18
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
0-3
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.9
6
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.7
4
0
0-1
46%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 24.7
4
0
0-1
48%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.9
3
0
0-1
41%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.2
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.