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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 22, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Cavaliers69%105108
23Bucks31%9890
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.2
39
35
28
10
6
5
1
1
5
2
8
7-7
100%
9-13
7-13
69%
56%
1-4
25%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.5
37
28
23
4
1
3
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
7-9
78%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.0
31
32
20
3
7
2
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
8-14
5-10
57%
48%
1-5
20%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.5
29
32
9
3
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
1-5
20%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.7
22
26
10
2
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
4-5
4-7
80%
54%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.7
30
24
10
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
2-3
67%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.0
24
22
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
1-6
17%
1-5
2-4
20%
51%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.5
17
18
5
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
38%
1-3
33%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.5
7
13
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.4
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.1
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.9
4
0
0-1
49%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.3
2
0
0-0
47%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.6
39
35
15
5
7
1
1
0
5
0
5
4-5
80%
4-5
5-10
80%
49%
1-2
50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 20.3
35
36
15
9
5
1
1
1
3
1
8
5-6
83%
5-11
6-11
45%
51%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
34
30
14
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
1-3
33%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.4
34
29
19
3
5
4
1
2
6
1
2
0-0
-
8-12
5-11
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.1
31
24
11
9
3
2
1
0
4
2
7
1-1
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
46%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.6
23
20
4
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 24.9
15
8
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
50%
0-3
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 24.2
15
17
4
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
55%
0-0
-
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 20.6
9
17
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.6
3
12
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 21.8
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.7
7
0
0-1
52%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
6
0
1-2
47%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.0
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.