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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 22, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Wizards63%10486
26Kings37%100109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
33.0
36.4
9
41%
4
8
1
2
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
2-7
6-12
29%
49%
1-3
33%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.7
26.6
35.0
19
68%
3
4
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
7-9
4-9
78%
45%
1-4
25%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
22.7
31.2
6
51%
7
2
1
1
0
0
5
2
0-2
0%
3-5
5-9
60%
56%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.5
19.4
25.3
11
48%
6
2
0
1
0
2
3
3
5-8
63%
3-8
5-9
38%
52%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.4
16.9
27.1
4
33%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
26.2
20.4
9
56%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
23.4
20.2
10
38%
6
1
2
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-12
3-5
42%
46%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.3
21.4
12.4
6
33%
4
0
1
0
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.8
20.4
10.1
4
29%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.3
12.0
3.7
6
51%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
0-0
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Toure' Murry
F · 6'5" 195 · 25.4
9.2
1.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.8
5.4
12.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.9
3.4
4.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.9
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.6
32.1
30.1
26
63%
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
4-4
100%
8-14
5-11
57%
48%
2-5
40%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.7
31.9
25.4
14
90%
2
5
3
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.1
31.0
25.5
17
77%
3
1
4
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
3-5
60%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
30.4
23.8
13
66%
2
6
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
1-2
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.6
22.8
22.0
20
69%
7
5
3
1
0
5
0
7
8-8
100%
6-11
5-11
55%
48%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.5
21.7
18.3
2
17%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
17.7
22.8
8
55%
3
3
0
1
1
2
0
3
2-3
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 39.0
17.6
23.4
6
43%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 34.8
14.8
16.5
0
0%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.7
13.0
25.8
3
52%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 30.4
4.5
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
60%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.5
2.5
9.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.2
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.