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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 22, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Mavericks59%10692
17Suns41%10398
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.4
37.4
32.8
11
23%
2
2
3
2
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
4-19
6-12
21%
48%
0-3
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.1
35.0
27.7
12
46%
2
6
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.8
33.3
28.1
11
55%
7
4
2
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
4-7
5-9
57%
50%
1-3
33%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.4
33.0
31.0
19
48%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
3-6
50%
5-10
4-7
50%
53%
2-7
29%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.5
30.9
30.9
7
36%
11
2
0
1
0
3
6
5
3-6
50%
2-7
3-5
29%
63%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.5
26.9
18.9
3
26%
9
2
1
1
1
2
4
5
1-2
50%
1-5
2-3
20%
50%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.3
17.1
11.8
16
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
7-11
2-5
64%
54%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.7
11.1
6.5
10
73%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
0-1
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.1
8.6
19.9
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.7
4.6
2.7
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.6
2.2
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.1
3.1
0
0-1
52%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
2.9
0
0-1
59%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.7
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
41.2
31.4
19
48%
13
1
1
1
0
3
3
10
5-6
83%
7-15
6-12
47%
49%
0-2
0%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.3
36.8
34.4
20
52%
6
9
3
2
2
7
1
5
7-10
70%
5-9
5-10
56%
50%
1-6
17%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
35.7
34.6
11
56%
11
7
3
1
0
2
0
11
2-2
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
49%
1-5
20%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 29.9
33.5
34.1
15
59%
5
0
3
1
1
4
1
4
0-4
0%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
3-5
60%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 21.8
25.7
14.7
10
71%
6
1
0
0
3
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
51%
0-0
-
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.5
24.1
17.2
8
74%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
4-5
3-6
80%
51%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.5
22.3
30.1
8
57%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
5-7
57%
63%
0-0
-
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.6
10.9
18.7
5
125%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
46%
1-1
100%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.5
9.8
13.3
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.1
6.9
0
1-2
47%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27.8
4.4
0
1-1
44%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 33.6
4.3
0
1-1
39%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.0
2.6
0
0-0
48%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 23.3
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.