for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, March 24, 2015
Final Win Prob. pScore
15
Heat
47%95
88
22
Bucks
53%96
89
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
97.89093.3
MIL logo Bucks
101.18885.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
89
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL88
89
Q4 - 0:00.0MILMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Pachulia 7 AST)88
89
Q4 - 0:00.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)88
86
Q4 - 0:03.0MILMISS Bayless 1' Layup88
86
Q4 - 0:09.0MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T20)88
86
Q4 - 0:09.0MILJump Ball Bayless vs. Beasley: Tip to Middleton88
86
Q4 - 0:10.0MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Plumlee88
86
Q4 - 0:10.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
86
Q4 - 0:12.0MILMISS Ilyasova Free Throw 2 of 288
86
Q4 - 0:12.0MILSUB: Plumlee FOR Pachulia88
86
Q4 - 0:12.0MIASUB: Beasley FOR Walker88
86
Q4 - 0:12.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
86
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWalker S.FOUL (P2.T3)88
85
Q4 - 0:12.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)88
85
Q4 - 0:12.0MILMISS Middleton 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
85
Q4 - 0:17.0MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Plumlee88
85
Q4 - 0:17.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 6 Short 1)88
85
Q4 - 0:17.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)88
85
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 288
85
Q4 - 0:17.0MIASUB: Walker FOR Chalmers88
85
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)88
85
Q4 - 0:17.0MILBayless Personal Take Foul (P2.PN)87
85
Q4 - 0:18.0MILSUB: Plumlee FOR Pachulia87
85
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAHeat Rebound87
85
Q4 - 0:18.0MIL87
85
Q4 - 0:19.0MILMISS Pachulia Layup87
85
Q4 - 0:28.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
85
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot87
85
Q4 - 0:47.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Walker87
85
Q4 - 0:47.0MILMiddleton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T21)87
85
Q4 - 1:03MIASUB: Haslem FOR Andersen87
85
Q4 - 1:03MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)87
85
Q4 - 1:03MIAWade 1' Layup (20 PTS)87
85
Q4 - 1:20MILPachulia Layup (14 PTS)85
85
Q4 - 1:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)85
83
Q4 - 2:03MILBayless 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pachulia 6 AST)85
83
Q4 - 2:12MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)85
81
Q4 - 2:14MIAIlyasova BLOCK (3 BLK)85
81
Q4 - 2:37MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
81
Q4 - 2:38MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
81
Q4 - 2:49MIASUB: Walker FOR Beasley85
81
Q4 - 2:49MIABeasley P.FOUL (P2.T2)85
81
Q4 - 3:00MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)85
81
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Beasley 1' Layup85
81
Q4 - 3:18MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)85
81
Q4 - 3:18MILIlyasova 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bayless 5 AST)85
81
Q4 - 3:29MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)85
79
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot85
79
Q4 - 3:52MILMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)85
79
Q4 - 4:10MIAAndersen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T18)85
76
Q4 - 4:25MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
76
Q4 - 4:27MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
76
Q4 - 4:38MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)85
76
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot85
76
Q4 - 4:50MIASUB: Deng FOR Chalmers85
76
Q4 - 4:50MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)85
76
Q4 - 4:59MILIlyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)85
76
Q4 - 5:12MIAPachulia STEAL (5 STL)85
73
Q4 - 5:22MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)85
73
Q4 - 5:22MILPachulia L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)85
73
Q4 - 5:22MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
73
Q4 - 5:22MILMISS Ilyasova 11' Jump Shot85
73
Q4 - 5:36MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)85
73
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS Beasley 11' Jump Shot85
73
Q4 - 6:03MILAntetokounmpo 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Middleton 2 AST)85
73
Q4 - 6:13MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)85
71
Q4 - 6:14MILMISS Antetokounmpo 20' Jump Shot85
71
Q4 - 6:33MIAWade Dunk (18 PTS)85
71
Q4 - 6:37MILAntetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T20)83
71
Q4 - 6:42MIABayless STEAL (2 STL)83
71
Q4 - 6:56MIAChalmers Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
71
Q4 - 6:56MIAChalmers Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (13 PTS)82
71
Q4 - 6:56MIL81
71
Q4 - 6:56MILIlyasova C.P.FOUL (P3.T3)81
71
Q4 - 6:56MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)81
71
Q4 - 7:15MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)81
71
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot81
71
Q4 - 7:41MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Carter-Williams81
71
Q4 - 7:41MILCarter-Williams L.B.FOUL (P6.T2)81
71
Q4 - 7:41MIAHeat Rebound81
71
Q4 - 7:41MILMISS Bayless 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
71
Q4 - 7:57MIASUB: Wade FOR Walker81
71
Q4 - 7:57MIASUB: Andersen FOR Haslem81
71
Q4 - 7:57MIAHeat Violation: Delay of game Violation81
71
Q4 - 7:57MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T15)81
71
Q4 - 7:57MIAHaslem OFF.Foul (P5)81
71
Q4 - 8:07MILBayless 1' Layup (8 PTS)81
71
Q4 - 8:11MIAPachulia STEAL (4 STL)81
69
Q4 - 8:20MILCarter-Williams Personal Block Foul (P5.T1)81
69
Q4 - 8:36MILAntetokounmpo 4' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)81
69
Q4 - 8:53MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Plumlee81
67
Q4 - 8:5381
67
Q4 - 8:53MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P4.T1)81
67
Q4 - 9:02MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T13)81
67
Q4 - 9:02MIAChalmers OFF.Foul (P3)81
67
Q4 - 9:19MILAntetokounmpo 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)81
67
Q4 - 9:26MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)81
65
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
65
Q4 - 9:42MILCarter-Williams Foul Turnover (P6.T18)81
65
Q4 - 9:42MILCarter-Williams OFF.Foul (P4)81
65
Q4 - 9:53MIADragic Layup (16 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)81
65
Q4 - 10:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
65
Q4 - 10:17MILMISS Plumlee 1' Layup79
65
Q4 - 10:21MIL79
65
Q4 - 10:21MILBUCKS Rebound79
65
Q4 - 10:21MILMISS Bayless 1' Layup79
65
Q4 - 10:43MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
65
Q4 - 10:44MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
65
Q4 - 10:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
65
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup79
65
Q4 - 11:09MILAntetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17)79
65
Q4 - 11:15MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
65
Q4 - 11:17MIAPlumlee BLOCK (1 BLK)79
65
Q4 - 11:36MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
65
Q4 - 11:37MILMISS Middleton 2' Layup79
65
Q4 - 12:0079
65
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA79
65
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound79
65
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
65
Q3 - 0:03.0MILSUB: Carter-Williams FOR Bayless79
65
Q3 - 0:03.0MILAntetokounmpo Foul Turnover (P4.T16)79
65
Q3 - 0:03.0MILAntetokounmpo Offensive Charge Foul (P4.T3)79
65
Q3 - 0:05.0MILBayless REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
65
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
65
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
65
Q3 - 0:29.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 8' Jump Shot79
65
Q3 - 0:38.0MILHenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)79
65
Q3 - 0:40.0MILMISS Plumlee Alley Oop Dunk79
65
Q3 - 0:54.0MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)79
65
Q3 - 0:55.0MILMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
65
Q3 - 1:02MILBayless REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
65
Q3 - 1:03MILMISS Bayless 8' Jump Shot79
65
Q3 - 1:15MIAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)79
65
Q3 - 1:31MILBayless 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Henson 1 AST)76
65
Q3 - 1:49MIADragic Driving Layup (14 PTS)76
63
Q3 - 2:01MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)74
63
Q3 - 2:15MILPlumlee 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)74
63
Q3 - 2:20MILMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
61
Q3 - 2:21MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
61
Q3 - 2:30MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
61
Q3 - 2:32MILMISS Mayo 16' Jump Shot74
61
Q3 - 2:47MIAAndersen Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)74
61
Q3 - 3:05MILPlumlee 1' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)72
61
Q3 - 3:22MILSUB: Plumlee FOR Middleton72
59
Q3 - 3:22MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)72
59
Q3 - 3:23MIAWalker 29' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)72
59
Q3 - 3:32MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
59
Q3 - 3:33MILMISS Henson 1' Layup69
59
Q3 - 3:45MIADeng 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)69
59
Q3 - 3:55MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
59
Q3 - 3:56MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)67
59
Q3 - 3:56MILMISS Henson 1' Tip Shot67
59
Q3 - 3:57MILMISS Mayo 1' Layup67
59
Q3 - 3:58MILMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
59
Q3 - 3:59MILMISS Mayo 9' Jump Shot67
59
Q3 - 4:10MIAAndersen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T12)67
59
Q3 - 4:26MILSUB: Henson FOR Pachulia67
59
Q3 - 4:26MIASUB: Dragic FOR Wade67
59
Q3 - 4:26MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T15)67
59
Q3 - 4:26MILPachulia OFF.Foul (P2)67
59
Q3 - 4:40MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
59
Q3 - 4:42MIAAntetokounmpo BLOCK (3 BLK)67
59
Q3 - 5:02MILPachulia 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)67
59
Q3 - 5:06MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
57
Q3 - 5:09MILMISS Bayless 1' Layup67
57
Q3 - 5:15MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)67
57
Q3 - 5:28MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
57
Q3 - 5:29MILMISS Pachulia 12' Jump Shot64
57
Q3 - 5:50MILSUB: Mayo FOR Ilyasova64
57
Q3 - 5:50MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)64
57
Q3 - 5:50MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)64
57
Q3 - 6:04MIAWade Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)64
57
Q3 - 6:04MILBUCKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Pachulia )63
57
Q3 - 6:20MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Dragic63
57
Q3 - 6:20MIAHeat Rebound63
57
Q3 - 6:21MILMISS Antetokounmpo 19' Jump Shot63
57
Q3 - 6:40MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
57
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Deng 13' Jump Shot63
57
Q3 - 6:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
57
Q3 - 6:52MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
57
Q3 - 6:52MILMISS Ilyasova Tip Shot63
57
Q3 - 6:53MILMISS Middleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
57
Q3 - 7:06MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)63
57
Q3 - 7:19MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
57
Q3 - 7:19MILIlyasova 1' Tip Shot (13 PTS)60
57
Q3 - 7:21MILMISS Pachulia 2' Reverse Layup60
55
Q3 - 7:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)60
55
Q3 - 7:30MIASUB: Andersen FOR Haslem59
55
Q3 - 7:30MILSUB: Bayless FOR Carter-Williams59
55
Q3 - 7:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
55
Q3 - 7:30MILMiddleton S.FOUL (P2.T2)58
55
Q3 - 7:45MILMiddleton Dunk (7 PTS) (Pachulia 5 AST)58
55
Q3 - 8:01MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)58
53
Q3 - 8:13MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
53
Q3 - 8:14MILMISS Middleton 16' Jump Shot55
53
Q3 - 8:19MIASUB: Walker FOR Beasley55
53
Q3 - 8:19MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)55
53
Q3 - 8:19MILBUCKS Rebound55
53
Q3 - 8:19MILMISS Middleton 10' Jump Shot55
53
Q3 - 8:43MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)55
53
Q3 - 9:03MILCarter-Williams Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)53
53
Q3 - 9:17MIABeasley 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)53
53
Q3 - 9:28MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
53
Q3 - 9:28MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
52
Q3 - 9:28MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T2)51
51
Q3 - 9:32MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
51
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
51
Q3 - 9:49MILAntetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)51
51
Q3 - 10:12MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
51
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot51
51
Q3 - 10:25MILAntetokounmpo Foul Turnover (P2.T12)51
51
Q3 - 10:25MILAntetokounmpo Offensive Charge Foul (P3.T1)51
51
Q3 - 10:28MIAIlyasova STEAL (1 STL)51
51
Q3 - 10:45MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
51
Q3 - 10:47MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Layup51
51
Q3 - 10:56MIL51
51
Q3 - 10:56MIL51
51
Q3 - 10:56MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
51
Q3 - 10:56MILMISS Antetokounmpo 2' Hook Shot51
51
Q3 - 11:00MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
51
Q3 - 11:02MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 151
51
Q3 - 11:02MIADeng S.FOUL (P2.T1)51
51
Q3 - 11:02MILPachulia Layup (10 PTS) (Carter-Williams 4 AST)51
51
Q3 - 11:13MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)51
49
Q3 - 11:21MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T11)51
49
Q3 - 11:21MILPachulia OFF.Foul (P1)51
49
Q3 - 11:31MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
49
Q3 - 11:34MIAIlyasova BLOCK (2 BLK)51
49
Q3 - 12:0051
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA51
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound51
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 71' 3PT Jump Shot51
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)51
49
Q2 - 0:05.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
49
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAAntetokounmpo BLOCK (2 BLK)51
49
Q2 - 0:30.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
49
Q2 - 0:32.0MILMISS Middleton 20' Jump Shot51
49
Q2 - 0:35.0MIABeasley 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)51
49
Q2 - 0:44.0MILIlyasova Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)49
49
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
49
Q2 - 1:17MILMiddleton 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)47
49
Q2 - 1:30MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)47
47
Q2 - 1:43MILIlyasova Personal Block Foul (P1.T4)44
47
Q2 - 1:54MILPachulia 1' Layup (8 PTS)44
47
Q2 - 1:56MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
45
Q2 - 1:57MILMISS Ilyasova Layup44
45
Q2 - 2:02MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
45
Q2 - 2:04MIABayless BLOCK (1 BLK)44
45
Q2 - 2:05MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
45
Q2 - 2:06MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
45
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot44
45
Q2 - 2:08MIAMISS Deng 1' Layup44
45
Q2 - 2:33MILAntetokounmpo Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)44
45
Q2 - 2:43MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)44
43
Q2 - 2:43MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Plumlee43
43
Q2 - 2:43MILSUB: Bayless FOR Carter-Williams43
43
Q2 - 2:43MIASUB: Wade FOR Chalmers43
43
Q2 - 2:43MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)43
43
Q2 - 2:43MILCarter-Williams S.FOUL (P3.T3)43
43
Q2 - 2:43MIADragic Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)43
43
Q2 - 2:46MILMiddleton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)41
43
Q2 - 3:10MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)41
43
Q2 - 3:25MILPlumlee Dunk (4 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)38
43
Q2 - 3:40MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
41
Q2 - 3:41MILMISS Middleton 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
41
Q2 - 4:04MIADragic 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
41
Q2 - 4:14MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)36
41
Q2 - 4:21MILAntetokounmpo 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Plumlee 1 AST)36
41
Q2 - 4:32MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
39
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
39
Q2 - 4:52MILPachulia Dunk (6 PTS)36
39
Q2 - 4:56MIAPachulia STEAL (3 STL)36
37
Q2 - 5:00MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
37
Q2 - 5:00MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade36
36
Q2 - 5:00MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
36
Q2 - 5:00MIAAndersen Shooting Block Foul (P1.T4)36
35
Q2 - 5:21MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
35
Q2 - 5:22MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
35
Q2 - 5:41MIASUB: Dragic FOR Walker36
35
Q2 - 5:41MIASUB: Andersen FOR Whiteside36
35
Q2 - 5:50MILPlumlee Layup (2 PTS) (Pachulia 4 AST)36
35
Q2 - 6:00MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
33
Q2 - 6:02MIAAntetokounmpo BLOCK (1 BLK)36
33
Q2 - 6:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)36
33
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot36
33
Q2 - 6:27MILSUB: Middleton FOR Bayless36
33
Q2 - 6:27MILCarter-Williams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)36
33
Q2 - 6:31MIAPachulia STEAL (2 STL)36
33
Q2 - 6:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)36
33
Q2 - 6:44MILMISS Carter-Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
33
Q2 - 7:01MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
33
Q2 - 7:02MIAMISS Deng 15' Jump Shot36
33
Q2 - 7:19MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Andersen36
33
Q2 - 7:19MIASUB: Deng FOR Chalmers36
33
Q2 - 7:19MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)36
33
Q2 - 7:21MILBayless Layup (4 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)36
33
Q2 - 7:37MIAWade 2' Layup (9 PTS)36
31
Q2 - 7:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
31
Q2 - 7:48MILMISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
31
Q2 - 7:54MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
31
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot34
31
Q2 - 8:11MILAntetokounmpo 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)34
31
Q2 - 8:15MIABayless STEAL (1 STL)34
29
Q2 - 8:38MILCarter-Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
29
Q2 - 8:38MILCarter-Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
28
Q2 - 8:3834
27
Q2 - 8:38MIAWalker S.FOUL (P1.T3)34
27
Q2 - 8:43MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
27
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Jump Shot34
27
Q2 - 9:06MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
27
Q2 - 9:06MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Henson34
26
Q2 - 9:06MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
26
Q2 - 9:06MIABeasley Shooting Block Foul (P1.T2)34
25
Q2 - 9:22MIAWade 19' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)34
25
Q2 - 9:33MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
25
Q2 - 9:34MILMISS Plumlee 6' Hook Shot32
25
Q2 - 9:53MIASUB: Wade FOR Dragic32
25
Q2 - 9:53MIAWalker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)32
25
Q2 - 10:08MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)32
25
Q2 - 10:08MILSUB: Carter-Williams FOR Ennis32
24
Q2 - 10:08MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.T1)32
24
Q2 - 10:08MILHenson Layup (4 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)32
24
Q2 - 10:25MIAChalmers 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)32
22
Q2 - 10:34MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)30
22
Q2 - 10:58MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)30
22
Q2 - 10:58MILEnnis S.FOUL (P1.T2)29
22
Q2 - 10:58MIAChalmers 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
22
Q2 - 11:17MIAHeat Rebound27
22
Q2 - 11:17MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
22
Q2 - 11:17MILMISS Plumlee 1' Layup27
22
Q2 - 11:17MILMISS Henson 1' Layup27
22
Q2 - 11:31MIAAndersen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)27
22
Q2 - 11:31MILHenson L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)27
22
Q2 - 11:38MIAHeat Rebound27
22
Q2 - 11:39MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot27
22
Q2 - 12:0027
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL27
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound27
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Ilyasova 19' Jump Shot27
22
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAAndersen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
22
Q1 - 0:29.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
22
Q1 - 0:30.0MILMISS Middleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
22
Q1 - 0:40.0MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
22
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Dragic 12' Jump Shot25
22
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
22
Q1 - 0:51.0MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
22
Q1 - 1:07MIADragic Layup (4 PTS)25
22
Q1 - 1:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
22
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 223
22
Q1 - 1:19MIAHeat Rebound23
22
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 223
22
Q1 - 1:19MILBayless P.FOUL (P1.PN)23
22
Q1 - 1:36MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
22
Q1 - 1:37MILMISS Henson Free Throw 1 of 123
22
Q1 - 1:37MIASUB: Beasley FOR Deng23
22
Q1 - 1:37MIASUB: Andersen FOR Whiteside23
22
Q1 - 1:37MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P1.PN)23
22
Q1 - 1:37MILHenson 1' Layup (2 PTS)23
22
Q1 - 1:37MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
20
Q1 - 1:37MILMISS Bayless 8' Jump Shot23
20
Q1 - 1:57MIAChalmers Layup (4 PTS)23
20
Q1 - 2:01MILEnnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)21
20
Q1 - 2:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
20
Q1 - 2:12MILSUB: Ennis FOR Carter-Williams20
20
Q1 - 2:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
20
Q1 - 2:12MILCarter-Williams S.FOUL (P2.PN)19
20
Q1 - 2:24MILCarter-Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)19
20
Q1 - 2:37MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)19
20
Q1 - 2:37MILHenson S.FOUL (P1.T4)18
20
Q1 - 2:37MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (6 PTS)18
20
Q1 - 2:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)16
20
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot16
20
Q1 - 2:55MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
20
Q1 - 2:57MILMISS Middleton Free Throw 2 of 216
20
Q1 - 2:57MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
20
Q1 - 2:57MIADeng S.FOUL (P1.PN)16
19
Q1 - 2:57MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
19
Q1 - 2:57MILMISS Middleton 1' Layup16
19
Q1 - 3:12MIADragic P.FOUL (P2.T4)16
19
Q1 - 3:18MIADragic Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
19
Q1 - 3:18MIADragic OFF.Foul (P1)16
19
Q1 - 3:25MILBayless 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter-Williams 3 AST)16
19
Q1 - 3:38MIAChalmers L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)16
17
Q1 - 3:38MILBUCKS Rebound16
17
Q1 - 3:38MILMISS Bayless 16' Jump Shot16
17
Q1 - 3:41MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
17
Q1 - 3:42MILMISS Middleton 3PT Jump Shot16
17
Q1 - 3:59MIADragic 1' Layup (2 PTS)16
17
Q1 - 4:17MILSUB: Henson FOR Pachulia14
17
Q1 - 4:17MIASUB: Dragic FOR Wade14
17
Q1 - 4:17MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)14
17
Q1 - 4:18MILIlyasova Layup (11 PTS) (Carter-Williams 2 AST)14
17
Q1 - 4:29MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
15
Q1 - 4:32MIAPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)14
15
Q1 - 4:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
15
Q1 - 4:42MILMISS Middleton 16' Turnaround Jump Shot14
15
Q1 - 4:56MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15
Q1 - 4:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
15
Q1 - 4:57MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Tip Shot14
15
Q1 - 4:59MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup14
15
Q1 - 5:13MILIlyasova Layup (9 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)14
15
Q1 - 5:24MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
13
Q1 - 5:24MIAWade Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T2)14
13
Q1 - 5:47MILPachulia Dunk (2 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)14
13
Q1 - 6:01MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Dragic14
11
Q1 - 6:01MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem14
11
Q1 - 6:01MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
11
Q1 - 6:08MIADeng Layup (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)14
11
Q1 - 6:12MILCarter-Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
11
Q1 - 6:25MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)12
11
Q1 - 6:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
11
Q1 - 6:33MILMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot9
11
Q1 - 6:41MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
11
Q1 - 6:43MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot9
11
Q1 - 7:01MILCarter-Williams 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
11
Q1 - 7:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
9
Q1 - 7:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
9
Q1 - 7:12MILMiddleton S.FOUL (P1.T3)7
9
Q1 - 7:28MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
9
Q1 - 7:28MILIlyasova 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)7
9
Q1 - 7:32MILMISS Pachulia 3' Layup7
7
Q1 - 7:40MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
7
Q1 - 7:43MIAIlyasova BLOCK (1 BLK)7
7
Q1 - 7:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
7
Q1 - 7:50MILMISS Carter-Williams 8' Jump Shot7
7
Q1 - 8:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
7
Q1 - 8:10MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)7
7
Q1 - 8:12MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup5
7
Q1 - 8:26MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
7
Q1 - 8:27MILMISS Carter-Williams 16' Jump Shot5
7
Q1 - 8:49MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
7
Q1 - 8:49MILSUB: Bayless FOR Antetokounmpo4
7
Q1 - 8:49MIAHeat Rebound4
7
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 24
7
Q1 - 8:49MILAntetokounmpo S.FOUL (P2.T2)4
7
Q1 - 9:04MILMiddleton 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter-Williams 1 AST)4
7
Q1 - 9:26MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)4
5
Q1 - 9:41MILCarter-Williams P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
5
Q1 - 9:54MIAHeat Rebound2
5
Q1 - 9:54MILMISS Ilyasova 3PT Jump Shot2
5
Q1 - 10:12MIADeng 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
5
Q1 - 10:23MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)0
5
Q1 - 10:23MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)0
4
Q1 - 10:23MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
3
Q1 - 10:33MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
3
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Deng 11' Running Jump Shot0
3
Q1 - 11:00MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)0
3
Q1 - 11:12MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:28MILAntetokounmpo Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T2)0
0
Q1 - 11:28MILAntetokounmpo OFF.Foul (P1)0
0
Q1 - 11:35MIAPachulia STEAL (1 STL)0
0
Q1 - 11:40MILCarter-Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Pachulia vs. Whiteside: Tip to Antetokounmpo0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.2%
MIL
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
33
55%
MIL
23
42
55%
Midrange
MIA
7
23
30%
MIL
9
28
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
MIL
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
MIA
14
18
78%
MIL
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2162%10.5 / 17
G. Dragic1662%8.0 / 13
M. Chalmers1464%7.0 / 11
L. Deng1350%6.5 / 13
H. Walker9113%4.5 / 4
H. Whiteside750%3.5 / 7
M. Beasley422%2.0 / 9
C. Andersen450%2.0 / 4
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Ilyasova1956%9.5 / 17
G. Antetokounmpo1667%8.0 / 12
Z. Pachulia1458%7.0 / 12
K. Middleton1336%6.5 / 18
J. Bayless1038%5.0 / 13
M. Plumlee850%4.0 / 8
J. Henson550%2.5 / 5
M. Carter-Williams440%2.0 / 5
O. Mayo0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+11
-18
83
MIL
68
+24
-20
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.2%
MIL
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
103.1
MIA 97.8
MIL 101.1 +3.4
Pace
91.0
93.7
MIA 93.3 +8.3
MIL 85.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.8
MIA 15.4 −1.5
MIL 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
49.9%
MIA 49.3% +5.6%
MIL 43.7%
TO %
15.2%
16.8%
MIA 19.4%
MIL 18.2% −1.2%
ORB %
23.3%
25.5%
MIA 19.5%
MIL 43.5% +24.0%
FTrt
30.6
25.8
MIA 24.0 +4.5
MIL 19.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
62.7%
MIA 54.5%
MIL 69.4% +14.9%
STL %
8.6%
10.1%
MIA 12.2% +3.1%
MIL 9.1%
BLK %
8.0%
8.6%
MIA 5.7%
MIL 16.1% +10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
52.1%
MIA 51.2% +4.8%
MIL 46.4%
Rim FG%
59.7%
56.4%
MIA 54.5%
MIL 54.8% +0.3%
Mid FG%
40.9%
40.4%
MIA 30.4%
MIL 32.1% +1.7%
3P %
33.5%
36.3%
MIA 42.1% +18.6%
MIL 23.5%
FT %
74.1%
75.7%
MIA 77.8% +1.3%
MIL 76.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
39.8%
MIA 44.0%
MIL 48.3% +4.3%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
37.8%
MIA 30.7% −1.5%
MIL 32.2%
3P Att. %
26.2%
22.3%
MIA 25.3% +5.8%
MIL 19.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points8889
Rebounds3453
Assists1825
Steals118
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)18 (2)20 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)20 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (5)33 (0)
Field Goals33-7536-87
At-the-Rim FG18-3323-42
Midrange FG7-239-28
2-Point FG25-5632-70
3-Point FG8-194-17
Free Throws14-1813-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

15 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29
40.2
16
62%
3
6
2
0
3
2
0
3
1-3
33%
6-9
67%
1-3
33%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
34.5
13
50%
4
2
0
0
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
3-9
33%
2-3
67%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
30.8
21
62%
2
4
3
0
5
1
0
2
6-7
86%
6-11
55%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
15.6
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
5
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
12.0
7
50%
8
0
1
2
1
1
4
4
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
27.0
14
64%
1
2
3
0
2
4
1
0
5-5
100%
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 27
26.8
9
113%
4
0
1
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-4
75%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
26.7
4
22%
6
1
1
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-2
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
26.4
4
50%
6
2
0
1
3
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 26
Chris Bosh
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
 51%
34
18
11
4
18
0
8
26
14-18
78%
25-56
45%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.