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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 25, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Nets41%9991
21Hornets59%10288
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.0
39.2
30.9
34
63%
10
0
2
1
3
2
1
9
2-2
100%
16-26
7-14
62%
51%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 33.7
35.2
31.1
5
26%
6
5
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-1
0%
1-6
4-8
17%
48%
1-3
33%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
30.7
26.7
10
45%
7
14
0
1
0
2
0
7
5-5
100%
1-7
3-7
14%
45%
1-2
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.8
22.8
30.6
11
44%
4
1
0
2
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.2
11.2
14.8
4
40%
2
1
0
1
2
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
25.0
27.6
4
33%
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32.4
24.8
19.9
13
65%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
48%
1-4
25%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.4
24.0
22.3
6
34%
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.1
21.0
16.3
4
50%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-4
50%
59%
0-0
-
Cory Jefferson
F · 6'9" 218 · 24.2
6.1
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.2
2.8
0
0-1
43%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 28.5
2.3
0
0-1
50%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 29.5
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 21.5
37.8
32.3
6
38%
10
4
0
1
2
1
1
9
0-0
-
3-8
5-9
38%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.3
36.8
31.4
23
55%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
10-18
5-10
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 30.2
34.9
26.7
23
58%
10
2
0
1
2
2
3
7
1-2
50%
11-19
7-13
58%
51%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 24.9
32.6
30.6
11
36%
4
6
1
1
1
0
0
4
3-5
60%
4-12
5-11
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 28.8
28.9
31.0
8
50%
7
1
0
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
2-4
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 32.3
30.3
29.8
9
36%
4
6
0
1
0
4
0
4
4-6
67%
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
1-6
17%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 24.6
13.7
19.8
3
17%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-8
3-6
13%
50%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 22.6
13.1
17.2
5
46%
8
0
0
0
0
0
5
3
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.1
12.0
9.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 29.3
4.7
0
0-1
47%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.2
4.5
0
0-1
44%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 25.8
3.2
0
0-1
46%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 19.6
2.4
0
0-1
51%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 22.5
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.