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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 27, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pistons56%102111
27Magic44%10097
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.1
38.8
34.6
10
24%
5
1
4
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
4-15
4-8
27%
48%
0-5
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
31.4
23.8
11
92%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
3-5
60%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.9
31.2
30.4
26
57%
11
10
1
1
0
3
3
8
7-9
78%
8-17
5-11
47%
49%
1-2
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.6
27.6
31.1
16
71%
9
0
1
1
2
1
4
5
2-5
40%
7-9
7-13
78%
55%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 35.0
19.3
19.4
3
75%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 35.1
27.0
26.5
23
70%
7
1
1
1
0
0
4
3
2-3
67%
9-14
3-6
64%
44%
1-1
100%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.6
21.5
23.2
12
64%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
20.4
14.7
3
61%
0
0
1
0
4
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.0
16.8
15.8
7
45%
2
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
6.0
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
3.7
0
0-0
43%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 32.3
2.9
0
0-1
40%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.4
2.4
0
0-0
44%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.8
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.1
38.8
33.6
14
64%
4
13
0
2
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
46%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
36.3
24.1
21
54%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
3-3
100%
9-15
3-6
60%
51%
0-3
0%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.9
35.6
35.4
16
71%
3
7
1
2
1
3
0
3
3-3
100%
5-8
6-12
63%
48%
1-2
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.4
33.2
32.2
20
56%
14
1
0
1
1
1
3
11
0-0
-
10-18
8-15
56%
53%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
27.1
15.4
10
56%
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
48%
0-2
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.7
22.2
16.7
7
44%
2
2
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 34.1
17.1
16.4
5
83%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.5
14.1
13.1
4
50%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 31.9
9.4
11.9
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-2
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
6.2
13.5
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.6
17.1
0
2-3
54%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25.0
8.7
0
1-2
53%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.0
8.3
0
1-2
45%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.5
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.