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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 27, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat30%9586
8Hawks70%10299
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.5
40
23
12
9
5
4
1
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
4-11
36%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.9
33
32
17
11
1
0
1
1
3
4
7
3-4
75%
7-11
3-7
64%
47%
0-4
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
27
35
6
2
3
1
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
52%
0-3
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.8
26
24
6
8
2
0
1
0
0
3
5
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.2
22
30
13
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-8
7-15
25%
50%
3-5
60%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.9
30
30
13
1
5
2
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
3-7
43%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 22.9
23
11
2
6
0
2
0
1
1
2
4
2-4
50%
0-4
1-2
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
22
21
9
3
3
0
1
2
4
0
3
1-2
50%
4-6
3-7
67%
46%
0-0
-
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.7
15
11
8
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.8
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.7
15
0
2-3
59%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.7
7
0
0-1
40%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.8
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.1
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.0
33
29
8
2
3
2
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
2-5
40%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.1
33
32
21
9
4
1
2
2
2
0
9
5-5
100%
8-10
5-10
80%
52%
0-2
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.5
33
23
12
3
11
1
1
0
2
0
3
6-6
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
0-2
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.7
33
31
24
4
2
2
1
0
4
2
2
5-7
71%
5-7
3-5
71%
55%
3-5
60%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.8
31
29
15
3
4
0
1
1
3
0
3
1-2
50%
7-9
6-11
78%
56%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
25
10
4
2
5
3
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
1-2
29%
49%
0-2
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.7
22
5
8
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-6
1-1
33%
54%
1-1
100%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.7
18
18
5
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.9
13
10
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
52%
0-1
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.8
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.7
20
0
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.0
10
0
1-2
50%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
6
0
0-1
52%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.8
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.