Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Rockets	46%	103	96	101.1	95	106.8
	11	Raptors	54%	104	99	105.3	94	85.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 30	39.1	15	44%	8	5	2	1	2	2	0	8	2-4	50%	2-7	29%	3-8	38%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 26	38.0	31	57%	5	5	1	0	3	3	2	3	10-12	83%	6-14	43%	3-8	38%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 29	27.9	8	25%	4	2	1	0	2	3	1	3	2-4	50%	3-10	30%	0-4	0%
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 38	25.3	8	80%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Joey Dorsey C · 6'8" 268 · 31	20.4	7	88%	4	1	0	0	1	4	2	2	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 29	31.9	13	38%	5	1	1	0	1	2	1	4	1-4	25%	6-13	46%	0-3	0%
Pablo Prigioni G · 6'3" 185 · 38	22.6	3	150%	2	7	2	0	1	0	1	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Clint Capela C · 6'10" 256 · 21	19.2	8	67%	9	0	0	2	2	2	3	6	0-3	0%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Nick Johnson G · 6'3" 202 · 22	15.8	3	50%	4	0	0	0	0	5	2	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 29	DND - Rest
Terrence Jones F · 6'9" 252 · 23	NWT - Pneumothorax
KJ McDaniels G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Patrick Beverley #2 · G · 6'1" 185 · 27	Inactive · INACTIVE
Kostas Papanikolaou #16 · F · 6'8" 235 · 25	Inactive · INACTIVE
Donatas Motiejunas #20 · F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	48%	41	21	7	3	13	0	12	29	18-31	58%	27-57	47%	8-27	30%

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5 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 30	39.1	15	44%	8	5	2	1	2	2	0	8	2-4	50%	2-7	29%	3-8	38%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 26	38.0	31	57%	5	5	1	0	3	3	2	3	10-12	83%	6-14	43%	3-8	38%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 29	27.9	8	25%	4	2	1	0	2	3	1	3	2-4	50%	3-10	30%	0-4	0%
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 38	25.3	8	80%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Joey Dorsey C · 6'8" 268 · 31	20.4	7	88%	4	1	0	0	1	4	2	2	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 29	31.9	13	38%	5	1	1	0	1	2	1	4	1-4	25%	6-13	46%	0-3	0%
Pablo Prigioni G · 6'3" 185 · 38	22.6	3	150%	2	7	2	0	1	0	1	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Clint Capela C · 6'10" 256 · 21	19.2	8	67%	9	0	0	2	2	2	3	6	0-3	0%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Nick Johnson G · 6'3" 202 · 22	15.8	3	50%	4	0	0	0	0	5	2	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 29	DND - Rest
Terrence Jones F · 6'9" 252 · 23	NWT - Pneumothorax
KJ McDaniels G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Patrick Beverley #2 · G · 6'1" 185 · 27	Inactive · INACTIVE
Kostas Papanikolaou #16 · F · 6'8" 235 · 25	Inactive · INACTIVE
Donatas Motiejunas #20 · F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	48%	41	21	7	3	13	0	12	29	18-31	58%	27-57	47%	8-27	30%

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11 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 26	41.1	42	60%	11	1	1	1	6	2	1	10	12-17	71%	12-23	52%	2-4	50%
Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 28	33.7	3	15%	3	7	2	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-6	17%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 28	33.0	8	57%	16	3	1	1	3	3	6	10	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 23	28.4	15	68%	9	1	1	5	1	5	3	6	5-5	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Terrence Ross F · 6'7" 206 · 24	23.2	5	42%	1	1	1	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%

Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 26	27.6	7	70%	4	0	1	0	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 28	26.8	13	72%	2	5	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 28	19.5	6	43%	2	2	1	0	2	3	0	2	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 29	6.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bruno Caboclo F · 6'9" 205 · 20	DNP - Coach's Decision
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Stiemsma C · 6'11" 260 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry #7 · G · 6'0" 196 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
Lucas Nogueira #92 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	54%	48	20	9	7	15	0	12	36	21-27	78%	27-56	48%	8-22	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.96 48.0%

TOR

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

20

39

51%

TOR

17

30

57%

Midrange

HOU

7

18

39%

TOR

10

26

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

8

12.0

27

30%

44%

TOR

8

12.0

22

36%

55%

Free Throws

HOU

18

31

58%

TOR

21

27

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	31	57%	15.5 / 27
T. Ariza	15	44%	7.5 / 17
C. Brewer	13	38%	6.5 / 17
J. Smith	8	25%	4.0 / 16
J. Terry	8	80%	4.0 / 5
C. Capela	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Dorsey	7	88%	3.5 / 4
P. Prigioni	3	150%	1.5 / 1
N. Johnson	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	42	60%	21.0 / 35
J. Valančiūnas	15	68%	7.5 / 11
L. Williams	13	72%	6.5 / 9
A. Johnson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
P. Patterson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Johnson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
T. Ross	5	42%	2.5 / 6
G. Vasquez	3	15%	1.5 / 10

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 107.0 4 111.2	HOU 101.1 TOR 105.3 +4.3
Pace	2 96.6 23 92.8	HOU 106.8 +21.7 TOR 85.1
Avg. Poss. Time	27 14.6 9 15.8	HOU 13.5 −3.4 TOR 16.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 51.2% 8 50.8%	HOU 46.4% TOR 50.0% +3.6%
TO %	28 16.4% 4 13.0%	HOU 12.5% −2.6% TOR 15.1%
ORB %	7 26.7% 11 25.6%	HOU 25.0% TOR 29.3% +4.3%
FTrt	2 31.2 8 29.5	HOU 36.9 +2.3 TOR 34.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 60.0% 28 54.7%	HOU 60.0% +2.9% TOR 57.1%
STL %	3 9.8% 18 8.0%	HOU 7.4% TOR 9.6% +2.2%
BLK %	14 8.0% 23 7.2%	HOU 5.4% TOR 12.3% +6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 53.3% 6 53.8%	HOU 48.0% TOR 53.8% +5.8%
Rim FG%	14 58.0% 10 59.4%	HOU 51.3% TOR 56.7% +5.4%
Mid FG%	27 37.1% 11 40.5%	HOU 38.9% +0.4% TOR 38.5%
3P %	14 34.8% 11 35.2%	HOU 29.6% TOR 36.4% +6.8%
FT %	27 71.5% 2 78.7%	HOU 58.1% TOR 77.8% +19.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 39.2% 19 35.0%	HOU 46.4% +8.0% TOR 38.5%
Mid Att. %	1 21.6% 10 34.9%	HOU 21.4% −11.9% TOR 33.3%
3P Att. %	1 39.2% 8 30.2%	HOU 32.1% +3.9% TOR 28.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Game Totals	HOU	TOR
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	21.4	26.5
Points	96	99
Rebounds	41	48
Assists	21	20
Steals	7	9
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (6)	12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	36 (1)
Field Goals	35-84	35-78
At-the-Rim FG	20-39	17-30
Midrange FG	7-18	10-26
2-Point FG	27-57	27-56
3-Point FG	8-27	8-22
Free Throws	18-31	21-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg