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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 30, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets47%10496
12Raptors53%10599
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.7
39.1
36.2
15
45%
8
5
2
2
1
2
0
8
2-4
50%
2-7
2-4
29%
49%
3-8
38%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.6
38.0
35.9
31
57%
5
5
1
2
0
3
2
3
10-12
83%
6-14
5-11
43%
49%
3-8
38%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.3
27.9
31.2
8
25%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
0-4
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.5
25.3
20.8
8
80%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.3
20.4
18.8
7
90%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.1
31.9
24.3
13
37%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
1-4
25%
6-13
4-7
46%
51%
0-3
0%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.9
22.6
20.6
3
104%
2
7
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.9
19.2
2.0
8
63%
9
0
0
0
2
2
3
6
0-3
0%
4-5
0-1
80%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.3
15.8
9.6
3
44%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.3
18.5
0
3-6
58%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.2
8.7
0
2-3
56%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.1
2.1
0
0-0
44%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.7
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
41.1
37.5
42
61%
11
1
1
1
1
6
1
10
12-17
71%
12-23
7-15
52%
45%
2-4
50%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 28.2
33.7
27.2
3
15%
3
7
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
47%
1-6
17%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 27.9
33.0
29.2
8
57%
16
3
1
1
1
3
6
10
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
58%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.9
28.4
27.1
15
67%
9
1
1
0
5
1
3
6
5-5
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
56%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 24.1
23.2
27.0
5
42%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.0
27.6
24.8
7
72%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.4
26.8
26.2
13
72%
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
3-6
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.1
19.5
16.4
6
41%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
0-2
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 29.4
6.7
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31.8
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
2.3
0
0-0
48%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 19.5
2.3
0
0-1
48%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.5
1.7
0
0-0
52%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 29.0
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.