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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 30, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Kings32%9883
9Grizzlies68%10597
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.1
30
29
8
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
47%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.6
29
33
24
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
8-15
5-11
53%
47%
2-3
67%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
29
30
12
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
4-7
57%
4-7
3-7
57%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.7
29
19
4
6
2
0
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 34.9
18
8
7
7
1
1
0
0
1
3
4
1-2
50%
3-4
1-1
75%
45%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.5
24
19
4
5
3
1
0
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
24
20
10
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
4-11
2-4
36%
48%
0-3
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 39.0
19
16
0
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.8
18
25
7
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.5
14
4
7
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
3-6
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 30.5
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
60%
0-0
-
David Wear
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.5
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.6
34
1
8-17
48%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.6
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.5
34
31
18
4
2
1
1
2
1
1
3
4-6
67%
4-8
4-7
50%
50%
2-6
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
33
30
16
4
4
1
1
1
0
0
4
2-3
67%
4-6
4-8
67%
48%
2-5
40%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.5
31
28
10
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
50%
0-4
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.7
30
29
15
7
3
1
1
0
3
2
5
5-6
83%
5-11
6-12
45%
50%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.2
27
30
8
11
6
3
1
1
4
5
6
0-0
-
4-11
6-12
36%
51%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.2
25
19
9
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
3-6
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.1
24
15
8
12
0
0
0
3
2
5
7
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.7
17
20
7
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
53%
1-1
100%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.1
15
15
4
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 24.8
4
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.2
11
0
2-3
52%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.7
5
0
1-1
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.9
4
0
1-1
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.2
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.