Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Spurs	79%	100	95	106.7	89	86.0
	18	Heat	21%	92	81	91.0	89	92.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 24	37.9	22	69%	9	3	4	2	1	2	1	8	5-6	83%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 33	26.1	16	62%	2	5	1	0	4	2	0	2	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 39	23.6	12	55%	11	1	1	3	0	2	2	9	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 30	22.6	7	50%	6	0	1	1	3	2	0	6	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 28	14.8	3	50%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-1	0%	0-0	-	1-3	33%

Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33	25.3	11	46%	2	2	0	0	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	23.1	6	50%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 24	22.5	7	50%	3	4	4	0	1	3	2	1	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 38	17.9	2	25%	1	1	0	0	5	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35	13.3	6	150%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 28	9.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 27	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Reggie Williams F · 6'6" 205 · 29	1.2	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jeff Ayres #11 · F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28	Inactive · INACTIVE
Kyle Anderson #1 · F-G · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	56%	38	21	11	6	19	0	8	30	13-17	76%	29-56	52%	8-18	44%

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1 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 24	37.9	22	69%	9	3	4	2	1	2	1	8	5-6	83%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 33	26.1	16	62%	2	5	1	0	4	2	0	2	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 39	23.6	12	55%	11	1	1	3	0	2	2	9	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 30	22.6	7	50%	6	0	1	1	3	2	0	6	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 28	14.8	3	50%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-1	0%	0-0	-	1-3	33%

Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33	25.3	11	46%	2	2	0	0	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	23.1	6	50%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 24	22.5	7	50%	3	4	4	0	1	3	2	1	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 38	17.9	2	25%	1	1	0	0	5	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35	13.3	6	150%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 28	9.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 27	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Reggie Williams F · 6'6" 205 · 29	1.2	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jeff Ayres #11 · F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28	Inactive · INACTIVE
Kyle Anderson #1 · F-G · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	56%	38	21	11	6	19	0	8	30	13-17	76%	29-56	52%	8-18	44%

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18 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 29	39.3	19	56%	1	3	0	0	4	2	1	0	6-6	100%	5-11	45%	1-3	33%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 33	33.6	15	36%	5	1	0	0	3	2	1	4	2-2	100%	5-17	29%	1-3	33%
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 25	26.7	7	44%	4	0	1	0	1	3	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Henry Walker F · 6'6" 235 · 27	25.9	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Chris Andersen C · 6'10" 245 · 37	23.5	4	25%	10	1	2	2	4	1	5	5	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 23	25.1	8	50%	3	2	3	0	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 29	23.6	10	71%	0	3	1	0	3	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-2	100%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 26	23.3	10	71%	6	1	2	2	0	3	1	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 26	18.1	6	50%	2	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Zoran Dragic G-F · 6'5" 200 · 26	1.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 35	NWT - Illness
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28	Inactive · INACTIVE
Shabazz Napier #13 · G · 6'1" 175 · 24	Inactive · INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 31	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	81	47%	33	11	9	4	18	0	10	23	12-12	100%	27-64	42%	5-15	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.12 55.9%

MIA

0.94 47.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

16

23

70%

MIA

16

25

64%

Midrange

SAS

13

33

39%

MIA

11

39

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

8

12.0

18

44%

67%

MIA

5

7.5

15

33%

50%

Free Throws

SAS

13

17

76%

MIA

12

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	22	69%	11.0 / 16
T. Parker	16	62%	8.0 / 13
T. Duncan	12	55%	6.0 / 11
B. Diaw	11	46%	5.5 / 12
T. Splitter	7	50%	3.5 / 7
C. Joseph	7	50%	3.5 / 7
M. Belinelli	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Bonner	6	150%	3.0 / 2
D. Green	3	50%	1.5 / 3
R. Williams	3	150%	1.5 / 1
M. Ginobili	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Dragic	19	56%	9.5 / 17
D. Wade	15	36%	7.5 / 21
M. Chalmers	10	71%	5.0 / 7
H. Whiteside	10	71%	5.0 / 7
T. Johnson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Ennis III	7	44%	3.5 / 8
M. Beasley	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Andersen	4	25%	2.0 / 8
H. Walker	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 108.5 21 103.9	SAS 106.7 +15.7 MIA 91.0
Pace	15 93.9 29 91.0	SAS 86.0 MIA 92.3 +6.3
Avg. Poss. Time	10 15.7 2 16.3	SAS 16.8 MIA 15.6 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 51.7% 12 50.0%	SAS 55.4% +11.7% MIA 43.7%
TO %	12 14.2% 24 15.2%	SAS 18.9% MIA 17.6% −1.3%
ORB %	25 23.3% 26 23.2%	SAS 25.8% +0.8% MIA 25.0%
FTrt	24 25.6 4 30.6	SAS 23.0 +7.8 MIA 15.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 62.3% 22 56.4%	SAS 56.8% +22.4% MIA 34.4%
STL %	11 8.5% 8 8.6%	SAS 12.4% +2.3% MIA 10.1%
BLK %	10 8.4% 12 8.0%	SAS 9.4% +2.3% MIA 7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 54.0% 13 52.2%	SAS 55.9% +8.8% MIA 47.1%
Rim FG%	9 59.6% 8 59.7%	SAS 69.6% +5.6% MIA 64.0%
Mid FG%	3 42.1% 8 40.9%	SAS 39.4% +11.2% MIA 28.2%
3P %	6 36.7% 24 33.5%	SAS 44.4% +11.1% MIA 33.3%
FT %	4 78.0% 22 74.1%	SAS 76.5% MIA 100.0% +23.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 35.3% 18 35.1%	SAS 31.1% MIA 31.6% +0.6%
Mid Att. %	17 37.8% 22 38.7%	SAS 44.6% −4.8% MIA 49.4%
3P Att. %	15 26.9% 17 26.2%	SAS 24.3% +5.3% MIA 19.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	MIA
Possessions	89	89
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	95	81
Rebounds	38	33
Assists	21	11
Steals	11	9
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (6)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	23 (1)
Field Goals	37-74	32-79
At-the-Rim FG	16-23	16-25
Midrange FG	13-33	11-39
2-Point FG	29-56	27-64
3-Point FG	8-18	5-15
Free Throws	13-17	12-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg