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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 1, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pistons42%10078
23Hornets58%103102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
31.2
31.4
10
63%
8
4
1
1
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
2-5
40%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.0
28.7
27.5
9
26%
7
8
0
1
0
3
2
5
2-3
67%
2-12
5-10
17%
48%
1-4
25%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.6
28.1
31.3
13
36%
9
0
2
1
0
1
2
7
1-7
14%
6-15
7-13
40%
54%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 35.0
26.9
19.8
5
42%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.1
14.1
34.0
2
17%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.6
33.8
20.5
15
54%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
46%
1-4
25%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 35.1
20.6
25.0
4
29%
7
2
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
19.9
14.9
6
77%
7
0
2
0
4
0
2
5
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 32.4
19.3
11.1
6
34%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
40%
0-2
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
12.8
8.0
6
61%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
2.3
3.4
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.4
2.3
2.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.0
10.7
0
1-3
43%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.5
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 24.9
33.2
34.4
17
63%
6
4
3
1
0
1
0
6
1-1
100%
5-11
5-12
45%
45%
2-2
100%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.3
30.6
31.2
14
57%
5
1
2
1
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 28.8
28.8
30.7
18
76%
6
1
1
1
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
51%
3-6
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 30.2
26.2
25.2
11
38%
9
3
0
1
4
2
1
8
3-6
50%
4-12
6-12
33%
52%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 25.9
21.6
16.4
2
25%
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 32.3
24.9
26.1
13
41%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-12
3-7
42%
46%
1-4
25%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
22.9
14.1
12
47%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
2-6
1-2
33%
45%
1-4
25%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 22.6
21.8
21.2
8
60%
10
1
1
0
2
1
6
4
4-6
67%
2-4
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.1
16.9
13.6
0
0%
8
0
0
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 29.3
8.9
4.6
2
33%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 19.6
2.3
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.7
2.1
2.2
5
125%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 24.6
9.2
0
1-3
50%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 22.5
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.