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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 1, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs74%105103
27Magic26%9691
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.9
22
28
7
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-6
5-11
17%
51%
1-1
100%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
21
33
10
7
1
2
2
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
1-5
6-10
20%
55%
2-2
100%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.2
21
24
8
7
2
0
1
0
1
4
3
2-2
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
56%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
15
23
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
1-3
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.9
12
25
6
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
51%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.0
30
20
12
4
3
1
0
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
1-5
2-3
20%
49%
3-7
43%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
26
12
8
7
2
0
0
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
52%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.3
24
13
18
5
0
0
0
1
2
2
3
8-8
100%
5-10
2-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.0
24
24
11
4
4
2
1
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.7
18
19
13
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
3-5
60%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.6
12
11
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-4
25%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.0
9
10
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.9
6
7
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
55%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 28.5
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.9
40
34
24
6
7
0
2
0
3
1
5
4-4
100%
7-16
5-12
44%
47%
2-3
67%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
40
29
18
7
1
1
1
1
2
1
6
3-4
75%
6-11
4-8
55%
50%
1-3
33%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.1
36
35
14
7
7
4
2
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
7-15
5-10
47%
45%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.4
33
32
16
11
5
0
1
3
1
3
8
0-0
-
8-20
8-15
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.6
24
12
7
10
0
0
0
1
2
3
7
1-1
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
17
20
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 34.1
16
16
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.7
13
19
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.5
11
14
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25.0
6
6
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
4
11
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 31.9
11
0
1-1
46%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.0
6
0
1-1
44%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.5
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.