Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Spurs	78%	102	103	109.6	94	97.1
	26	Magic	22%	94	91	100.0	91	88.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 33	22.0	7	44%	0	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	1-1	100%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 24	20.9	10	63%	7	1	2	0	0	0	1	6	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	2-2	100%
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 30	20.9	8	44%	7	2	0	0	1	1	4	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 28	15.0	3	50%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 39	12.3	6	43%	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	30.4	12	46%	4	3	1	0	2	0	0	4	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	3-7	43%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 24	26.0	8	50%	7	2	0	0	1	3	0	7	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 28	24.0	18	64%	5	0	0	1	2	1	2	3	8-8	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33	23.7	11	61%	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 38	17.7	13	81%	3	3	2	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 27	12.0	3	38%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35	9.5	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28	5.8	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Reggie Williams #55 · F · 6'6" 205 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
Kyle Anderson #1 · F-G · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	51%	49	20	8	3	10	0	11	38	20-23	87%	22-57	39%	13-29	45%

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1 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 33	22.0	7	44%	0	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	1-1	100%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 24	20.9	10	63%	7	1	2	0	0	0	1	6	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	2-2	100%
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 30	20.9	8	44%	7	2	0	0	1	1	4	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 28	15.0	3	50%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 39	12.3	6	43%	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	30.4	12	46%	4	3	1	0	2	0	0	4	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	3-7	43%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 24	26.0	8	50%	7	2	0	0	1	3	0	7	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 28	24.0	18	64%	5	0	0	1	2	1	2	3	8-8	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33	23.7	11	61%	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 38	17.7	13	81%	3	3	2	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 27	12.0	3	38%	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35	9.5	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28	5.8	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Reggie Williams #55 · F · 6'6" 205 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
Kyle Anderson #1 · F-G · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	51%	49	20	8	3	10	0	11	38	20-23	87%	22-57	39%	13-29	45%

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26 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Victor Oladipo G · 6'4" 210 · 23	40.4	24	57%	6	7	0	0	3	1	1	5	4-4	100%	7-16	44%	2-3	67%
Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 23	39.6	18	56%	7	1	1	1	2	2	1	6	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	1-3	33%
Elfrid Payton G · 6'4" 195 · 21	35.6	14	47%	7	7	4	1	1	3	4	3	0-0	-	7-15	47%	0-0	-
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 24	33.2	16	38%	11	5	0	3	1	0	3	8	0-0	-	8-20	40%	0-1	0%
Dewayne Dedmon F · 7'0" 245 · 26	23.6	7	117%	10	0	0	1	2	6	3	7	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 25	17.0	2	14%	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Luke Ridnour G · 6'2" 175 · 34	16.1	6	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Willie Green G · 6'3" 205 · 34	12.7	4	67%	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Aaron Gordon F · 6'8" 235 · 20	11.4	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25	5.9	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 22	4.3	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Ben Gordon G · 6'3" 205 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Devyn Marble #11 · F · 6'6" 200 · 23	Inactive · INACTIVE
Evan Fournier #10 · G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	46%	50	24	7	7	12	0	14	36	8-9	89%	34-76	45%	5-17	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.02 51.0%

ORL

0.93 46.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

13

26

50%

ORL

19

38

50%

Midrange

SAS

9

31

29%

ORL

15

38

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

13

19.5

29

45%

67%

ORL

5

7.5

17

29%

44%

Free Throws

SAS

20

23

87%

ORL

8

9

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Baynes	18	64%	9.0 / 14
M. Ginobili	13	81%	6.5 / 8
M. Belinelli	12	46%	6.0 / 13
B. Diaw	11	61%	5.5 / 9
K. Leonard	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. Splitter	8	44%	4.0 / 9
C. Joseph	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Parker	7	44%	3.5 / 8
T. Duncan	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Green	3	50%	1.5 / 3
P. Mills	3	38%	1.5 / 4
M. Bonner	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Ayres	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Oladipo	24	57%	12.0 / 21
T. Harris	18	56%	9.0 / 16
N. Vučević	16	38%	8.0 / 21
E. Payton	14	47%	7.0 / 15
D. Dedmon	7	117%	3.5 / 3
L. Ridnour	6	50%	3.0 / 6
W. Green	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Nicholson	2	14%	1.0 / 7
A. Gordon	0	-	0.0 / 1
K. O'Quinn	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Harkless	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 108.5 27 102.1	SAS 109.6 +9.6 ORL 100.0
Pace	15 93.9 18 93.4	SAS 97.1 +8.9 ORL 88.2
Avg. Poss. Time	10 15.7 22 14.9	SAS 14.8 −1.5 ORL 16.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 51.7% 16 49.4%	SAS 48.3% +3.7% ORL 44.6%
TO %	12 14.2% 25 15.3%	SAS 10.3% −0.7% ORL 11.0%
ORB %	25 23.3% 27 23.1%	SAS 23.4% ORL 26.9% +3.5%
FTrt	24 25.6 29 23.0	SAS 26.7 +17.0 ORL 9.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 62.3% 27 55.0%	SAS 57.1% ORL 61.5% +4.4%
STL %	11 8.5% 14 8.4%	SAS 8.5% +0.8% ORL 7.7%
BLK %	10 8.4% 28 6.5%	SAS 3.9% ORL 12.3% +8.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 54.0% 21 51.1%	SAS 51.0% +4.6% ORL 46.4%
Rim FG%	9 59.6% 19 56.7%	SAS 50.0% ORL 50.0%
Mid FG%	3 42.1% 14 40.1%	SAS 29.0% ORL 39.5% +10.5%
3P %	6 36.7% 16 34.7%	SAS 44.8% +15.4% ORL 29.4%
FT %	4 78.0% 25 72.9%	SAS 87.0% ORL 88.9% +1.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 35.3% 7 38.9%	SAS 30.2% ORL 40.9% +10.6%
Mid Att. %	17 37.8% 16 37.6%	SAS 36.0% −4.8% ORL 40.9%
3P Att. %	15 26.9% 22 23.5%	SAS 33.7% +15.4% ORL 18.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	ORL
Possessions	94	91
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	103	91
Rebounds	49	50
Assists	20	24
Steals	8	7
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (1)	36 (2)
Field Goals	35-86	39-93
At-the-Rim FG	13-26	19-38
Midrange FG	9-31	15-38
2-Point FG	22-57	34-76
3-Point FG	13-29	5-17
Free Throws	20-23	8-9
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg