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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 2, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat22%9688
2Cavaliers78%106114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.0
36.5
17.7
17
54%
8
2
1
0
0
2
3
5
2-2
100%
6-12
2-4
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
33.0
33.8
11
49%
3
7
0
1
1
2
1
2
3-3
100%
1-6
5-9
17%
52%
2-4
50%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.8
27.4
18.2
17
69%
8
1
1
0
0
2
2
6
1-3
33%
8-11
3-6
73%
56%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.5
17.2
27.7
3
50%
1
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.2
12.8
30.6
7
45%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
1-4
8-15
25%
50%
1-2
50%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.8
27.8
20.6
12
65%
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
5-5
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.9
26.0
27.0
6
51%
2
7
2
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 22.9
25.8
19.9
11
56%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.7
16.2
15.0
2
50%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
59%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
13.0
17.0
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.8
4.5
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.8
18.4
0
2-4
47%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.1
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.0
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.0
36.0
34.8
23
61%
1
5
4
1
0
4
0
1
4-4
100%
5-10
6-12
50%
50%
3-7
43%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.3
35.5
35.2
23
63%
8
7
1
2
3
3
1
7
4-5
80%
8-14
7-13
57%
58%
1-2
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.6
33.2
33.1
12
47%
3
4
0
1
2
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
3-10
30%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.7
22.9
25.0
7
61%
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
3-4
75%
2-4
4-7
50%
56%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.5
22.5
8.4
6
47%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
38%
1-4
25%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.1
28.7
20.9
8
69%
15
0
1
0
1
2
5
10
2-4
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.8
26.5
20.0
17
71%
3
1
4
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
46%
3-6
50%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.6
23.0
16.7
14
89%
1
4
2
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
4-5
80%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.4
4.5
4.6
4
82%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-2
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.6
3.8
2.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.1
3.5
2.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.9
4.8
0
1-1
52%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.3
1.8
0
0-0
49%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.6
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.