Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Nuggets	11%	96	93	97.9	95	102.3
	2	Spurs	89%	109	123	126.8	97	90.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 27	30.2	20	77%	3	1	2	0	1	1	0	3	3-3	100%	7-10	70%	1-2	50%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	28.1	7	39%	3	2	0	1	1	3	1	2	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	24.3	7	32%	1	7	0	1	3	0	0	1	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Kenneth Faried C · 6'8" 228 · 25	20.6	10	56%	6	0	0	0	3	3	4	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 32	19.9	11	79%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%

Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 21	26.4	6	75%	9	0	3	0	1	4	3	6	0-2	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24	26.0	4	22%	2	1	2	0	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27	23.6	4	29%	6	2	0	0	3	0	2	4	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 33	16.4	14	70%	3	1	0	1	2	2	1	2	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-4	25%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 21	14.0	8	67%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	9.7	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-0	-
Ian Clark G · 6'3" 175 · 24	0.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Joffrey Lauvergne C · 6'11" 260 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Darrell Arthur #0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 27	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	51%	34	17	8	3	18	0	11	23	7-11	64%	34-70	49%	6-17	35%

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25 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 27	30.2	20	77%	3	1	2	0	1	1	0	3	3-3	100%	7-10	70%	1-2	50%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	28.1	7	39%	3	2	0	1	1	3	1	2	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	24.3	7	32%	1	7	0	1	3	0	0	1	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Kenneth Faried C · 6'8" 228 · 25	20.6	10	56%	6	0	0	0	3	3	4	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 32	19.9	11	79%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%

Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 21	26.4	6	75%	9	0	3	0	1	4	3	6	0-2	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24	26.0	4	22%	2	1	2	0	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27	23.6	4	29%	6	2	0	0	3	0	2	4	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 33	16.4	14	70%	3	1	0	1	2	2	1	2	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-4	25%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 21	14.0	8	67%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	9.7	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-0	-
Ian Clark G · 6'3" 175 · 24	0.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Joffrey Lauvergne C · 6'11" 260 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Darrell Arthur #0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 27	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	51%	34	17	8	3	18	0	11	23	7-11	64%	34-70	49%	6-17	35%

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 33	25.0	4	50%	0	9	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 24	21.6	20	77%	2	4	1	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	7-9	78%	2-4	50%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 28	20.3	21	117%	1	1	1	1	2	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	6-6	100%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 39	19.9	4	100%	7	4	0	2	2	1	0	7	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 30	6.5	7	88%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33	25.6	13	59%	4	2	1	1	2	0	1	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35	21.9	3	50%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	20.7	14	58%	6	0	0	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-10	40%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 38	19.0	4	33%	6	5	2	0	1	1	3	3	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 28	18.6	18	82%	4	0	1	2	1	2	2	2	6-6	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 24	17.1	7	70%	2	3	1	0	3	1	1	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 27	14.4	2	14%	2	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28	9.4	6	75%	5	0	1	1	3	1	1	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Reggie Williams #55 · F · 6'6" 205 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
Kyle Anderson #1 · F-G · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	65%	45	33	11	8	18	0	14	31	15-17	88%	33-51	65%	14-34	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.01 50.5%

SAS

1.31 65.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

18

33

55%

SAS

13

24

54%

Midrange

DEN

16

37

43%

SAS

20

27

74%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

6

9.0

17

35%

53%

SAS

14

21.0

34

41%

62%

Free Throws

DEN

7

11

64%

SAS

15

17

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari	20	77%	10.0 / 13
J. Nelson	14	70%	7.0 / 10
R. Foye	11	79%	5.5 / 7
K. Faried	10	56%	5.0 / 9
G. Harris	8	67%	4.0 / 6
W. Chandler	7	39%	3.5 / 9
T. Lawson	7	32%	3.5 / 11
J. Nurkić	6	75%	3.0 / 4
W. Barton	4	22%	2.0 / 9
J. Hickson	4	29%	2.0 / 7
I. Clark	2	100%	1.0 / 1
E. Green	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Green	21	117%	10.5 / 9
K. Leonard	20	77%	10.0 / 13
A. Baynes	18	82%	9.0 / 11
M. Belinelli	14	58%	7.0 / 12
B. Diaw	13	59%	6.5 / 11
T. Splitter	7	88%	3.5 / 4
C. Joseph	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Ayres	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Parker	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. Duncan	4	100%	2.0 / 2
M. Ginobili	4	33%	2.0 / 6
M. Bonner	3	50%	1.5 / 3
P. Mills	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 104.8 9 108.5	DEN 97.9 SAS 126.8 +28.9
Pace	4 95.9 15 93.9	DEN 102.3 +11.8 SAS 90.5
Avg. Poss. Time	28 14.4 10 15.7	DEN 14.1 −1.8 SAS 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 47.9% 5 51.7%	DEN 49.4% SAS 63.5% +14.1%
TO %	15 14.3% 12 14.2%	DEN 16.4% SAS 16.3% −0.1%
ORB %	10 26.5% 25 23.3%	DEN 26.2% SAS 37.8% +11.6%
FTrt	12 27.8 24 25.6	DEN 12.6 SAS 20.0 +7.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.7% 7 62.3%	DEN 42.5% SAS 70.2% +27.7%
STL %	17 8.0% 11 8.5%	DEN 8.4% SAS 11.3% +2.9%
BLK %	22 7.2% 10 8.4%	DEN 5.9% SAS 11.4% +5.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 50.7% 5 54.0%	DEN 50.5% SAS 65.4% +14.9%
Rim FG%	22 56.1% 9 59.6%	DEN 54.5% +0.3% SAS 54.2%
Mid FG%	24 37.9% 3 42.1%	DEN 43.2% SAS 74.1% +30.9%
3P %	28 32.5% 6 36.7%	DEN 35.3% SAS 41.2% +5.9%
FT %	24 73.5% 4 78.0%	DEN 63.6% SAS 88.2% +24.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 38.2% 16 35.3%	DEN 37.9% +9.7% SAS 28.2%
Mid Att. %	6 33.4% 17 37.8%	DEN 42.5% SAS 31.8% −10.8%
3P Att. %	12 28.4% 15 26.9%	DEN 19.5% SAS 40.0% +20.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	SAS
Possessions	95	97
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	93	123
Rebounds	34	45
Assists	17	33
Steals	8	11
Blocks	3	8
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (1)	31 (3)
Field Goals	40-87	47-85
At-the-Rim FG	18-33	13-24
Midrange FG	16-37	20-27
2-Point FG	34-70	33-51
3-Point FG	6-17	14-34
Free Throws	7-11	15-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg