Final Win Prob. pScore
1749%99
98
2251%100
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
107.79183.1
DET logo Pistons
111.28998.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET98
99
Q4 - 0:00.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)98
99
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
99
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)98
99
Q4 - 0:05.0DETJackson Driving Layup (29 PTS)98
99
Q4 - 0:09.0DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
97
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot98
97
Q4 - 0:31.0DETJackson Foul Turnover (P7.T16)98
97
Q4 - 0:31.0DETJackson Offensive Charge Foul (P5.PN)98
97
Q4 - 0:51.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)98
97
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Jump Shot98
97
Q4 - 1:09MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)98
97
Q4 - 1:09DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jackson 11 AST)98
97
Q4 - 1:19MIADragic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T14)98
94
Q4 - 1:34DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)98
94
Q4 - 1:34MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Johnson98
93
Q4 - 1:34DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)98
93
Q4 - 1:34MIAJohnson L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)98
92
Q4 - 1:34DETPISTONS Rebound98
92
Q4 - 1:34MIAMISS Dragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
92
Q4 - 1:57DETJackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)98
92
Q4 - 2:13MIAWhiteside Dunk (13 PTS)98
89
Q4 - 2:37DETJackson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (24 PTS)96
89
Q4 - 2:50DETPISTONS Rebound96
87
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot96
87
Q4 - 3:17DETJackson 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS)96
87
Q4 - 3:25DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)96
85
Q4 - 3:33MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)96
85
Q4 - 3:33MIASUB: Deng FOR Walker95
85
Q4 - 3:33MIAHeat Rebound95
85
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 295
85
Q4 - 3:33DETTolliver S.FOUL (P5.T4)95
85
Q4 - 3:50DETCaldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)95
85
Q4 - 4:14MIADragic 1' Reverse Layup (21 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)95
83
Q4 - 4:19DETJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T15)93
83
Q4 - 4:27DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)93
83
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot93
83
Q4 - 4:49MIASUB: Johnson FOR Ennis93
83
Q4 - 4:49MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)93
83
Q4 - 4:49DETDrummond Dunk (11 PTS) (Jackson 10 AST)93
83
Q4 - 4:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)93
81
Q4 - 5:14DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)93
81
Q4 - 5:14MIASUB: Dragic FOR Chalmers93
80
Q4 - 5:14MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P5.T4)93
80
Q4 - 5:14DETJackson 10' Jump Shot (19 PTS)93
80
Q4 - 5:32MIA93
78
Q4 - 5:32MIAWade P.FOUL (P3.T3)93
78
Q4 - 5:32MIACaldwell-Pope STEAL (3 STL)93
78
Q4 - 5:44MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
78
Q4 - 5:45DETMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot93
78
Q4 - 6:00DETPISTONS Rebound93
78
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot93
78
Q4 - 6:16DETSUB: Prince FOR Lucas III93
78
Q4 - 6:16MIAHeat Rebound93
78
Q4 - 6:17MIADrummond BLOCK (3 BLK)93
78
Q4 - 6:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)93
78
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS Ennis 6' Jump Shot93
78
Q4 - 6:45MIAHeat Rebound93
78
Q4 - 6:46DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup93
78
Q4 - 6:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)93
78
Q4 - 6:49DETMISS Lucas III 27' 3PT Jump Shot93
78
Q4 - 7:02DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)93
78
Q4 - 7:02MIAEnnis Putback Dunk (7 PTS)93
78
Q4 - 7:02MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
78
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Jump Shot91
78
Q4 - 7:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)91
78
Q4 - 7:22MIASUB: Walker FOR Deng91
78
Q4 - 7:22DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 291
78
Q4 - 7:22DETSUB: Drummond FOR Anthony91
78
Q4 - 7:22MIASUB: Wade FOR Dragic91
78
Q4 - 7:22MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Haslem91
78
Q4 - 7:22DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)91
78
Q4 - 7:22MIADragic S.FOUL (P2.T2)91
77
Q4 - 7:28MIACaldwell-Pope STEAL (2 STL)91
77
Q4 - 7:43DETLucas III Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)91
77
Q4 - 7:48MIALucas III STEAL (1 STL)91
77
Q4 - 8:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)91
77
Q4 - 8:06DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
77
Q4 - 8:23DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
77
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Deng 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
77
Q4 - 8:30MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
77
Q4 - 8:31DETMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot91
77
Q4 - 8:43MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)91
77
Q4 - 9:03DETJackson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)89
77
Q4 - 9:03DETJump Ball Jackson vs. Haslem: Tip to Ennis89
77
Q4 - 9:20DETSUB: Tolliver FOR Meeks89
77
Q4 - 9:20DETSUB: Lucas III FOR Prince89
77
Q4 - 9:20DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)89
77
Q4 - 9:20MIAEnnis Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)89
77
Q4 - 9:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
77
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Haslem 2' Tip Shot87
77
Q4 - 9:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
77
Q4 - 9:29MIAMISS Deng Layup87
77
Q4 - 9:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
77
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Ennis 3PT Jump Shot87
77
Q4 - 9:50DETJackson 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)87
77
Q4 - 10:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)87
75
Q4 - 10:02DETSUB: Anthony FOR Drummond86
75
Q4 - 10:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)86
75
Q4 - 10:02DETDrummond S.FOUL (P5.T3)85
75
Q4 - 10:23DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)85
75
Q4 - 10:39MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)85
73
Q4 - 10:39MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)84
73
Q4 - 10:39DETJackson S.FOUL (P4.T2)83
73
Q4 - 10:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
73
Q4 - 10:45DETMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
73
Q4 - 10:51MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)83
73
Q4 - 11:07DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)83
73
Q4 - 11:07DETPISTONS Rebound83
72
Q4 - 11:07DETMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 283
72
Q4 - 11:07MIADragic S.FOUL (P1.T1)83
72
Q4 - 11:27MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)83
72
Q4 - 11:27DETSUB: Caldwell-Pope FOR Butler82
72
Q4 - 11:27DETSUB: Jackson FOR Lucas III82
72
Q4 - 11:27MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)82
72
Q4 - 11:27DETButler S.FOUL (P3.T1)81
72
Q4 - 11:38MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
72
Q4 - 11:39DETMISS Meeks 14' Running Jump Shot81
72
Q4 - 12:0081
72
Q3 - 0:00.0DET81
72
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound81
72
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Lucas III 11' Jump Shot81
72
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAHaslem Dunk (4 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)81
72
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
72
Q3 - 0:30.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot79
72
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)79
72
Q3 - 0:48.0DETLucas III S.FOUL (P1.PN)78
72
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAEnnis Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)78
72
Q3 - 1:04MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
72
Q3 - 1:05DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 276
72
Q3 - 1:05DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
72
Q3 - 1:05MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P4.T3)76
71
Q3 - 1:15MIADeng 1' Layup (13 PTS)76
71
Q3 - 1:17MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
71
Q3 - 1:19MIAMISS Chalmers 14' Jump Shot74
71
Q3 - 1:35MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
71
Q3 - 1:37DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot74
71
Q3 - 1:49DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
71
Q3 - 1:50MIAMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot74
71
Q3 - 2:09DETSUB: Lucas III FOR Jackson74
71
Q3 - 2:09MIASUB: Deng FOR Walker74
71
Q3 - 2:09MIASUB: Dragic FOR Wade74
71
Q3 - 2:09MIASUB: Haslem FOR Whiteside74
71
Q3 - 2:09DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)74
71
Q3 - 2:09MIAHeat Rebound74
71
Q3 - 2:09DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Driving Dunk74
71
Q3 - 2:19DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
71
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot74
71
Q3 - 2:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
71
Q3 - 2:36DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
71
Q3 - 2:59DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
71
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
71
Q3 - 3:08DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)74
71
Q3 - 3:22MIAWade Driving Dunk (24 PTS)74
71
Q3 - 3:44DETJackson 7' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)72
71
Q3 - 3:57MIAWalker Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)72
69
Q3 - 3:57DETSUB: Prince FOR Tolliver71
69
Q3 - 3:57MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)71
69
Q3 - 3:57MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)70
69
Q3 - 3:57DETTolliver S.FOUL (P4.PN)69
69
Q3 - 4:15DETTolliver 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jackson 9 AST)69
69
Q3 - 4:29MIAWade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)69
66
Q3 - 4:44DETSUB: Anthony FOR Drummond67
66
Q3 - 4:44DETDrummond P.FOUL (P4.T4)67
66
Q3 - 4:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)67
66
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot67
66
Q3 - 5:09MIASUB: Ennis FOR Deng67
66
Q3 - 5:09DETJackson Foul Turnover (P3.T11)67
66
Q3 - 5:09DETJackson OFF.Foul (P3)67
66
Q3 - 5:27MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)67
66
Q3 - 5:41MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)65
66
Q3 - 5:42DETButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 8 AST)65
66
Q3 - 6:00DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)65
63
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
63
Q3 - 6:20MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Dragic65
63
Q3 - 6:20DETCaldwell-Pope P.FOUL (P1.T3)65
63
Q3 - 6:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
63
Q3 - 6:20DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
63
Q3 - 6:43MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)65
63
Q3 - 6:58DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
63
Q3 - 6:58DETPISTONS Rebound63
62
Q3 - 6:58DETMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 263
62
Q3 - 6:58MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T2)63
62
Q3 - 7:01DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)63
62
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Dragic 16' Jump Shot63
62
Q3 - 7:08MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
62
Q3 - 7:10DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup63
62
Q3 - 7:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)63
62
Q3 - 7:12DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 4' Jump Shot63
62
Q3 - 7:36MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)63
62
Q3 - 7:57DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Jackson 7 AST)61
62
Q3 - 8:06MIADeng P.FOUL (P1.T1)61
60
Q3 - 8:15DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
60
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 161
60
Q3 - 8:16DET61
60
Q3 - 8:16DETDrummond S.FOUL (P3.T2)61
60
Q3 - 8:16MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (8 PTS)61
60
Q3 - 8:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
60
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup59
60
Q3 - 8:34DETTolliver 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)59
60
Q3 - 8:42DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)59
57
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot59
57
Q3 - 9:05DETCaldwell-Pope 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
57
Q3 - 9:24DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)59
55
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot59
55
Q3 - 9:46DETTolliver 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)59
55
Q3 - 10:01MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
52
Q3 - 10:01MIAHeat Rebound58
52
Q3 - 10:01MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 258
52
Q3 - 10:01DETDrummond S.FOUL (P2.T1)58
52
Q3 - 10:25DETDrummond 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)58
52
Q3 - 10:54MIADragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)58
50
Q3 - 11:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
50
Q3 - 11:07DETMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot55
50
Q3 - 11:27DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
50
Q3 - 11:28DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
50
Q3 - 11:44DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
50
Q3 - 11:46MIADrummond BLOCK (2 BLK)55
50
Q3 - 12:0055
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
50
Q2 - 0:00.0DET55
50
Q2 - 0:01.0DETWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)55
50
Q2 - 0:08.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
47
Q2 - 0:08.0DETSUB: Jackson FOR Lucas III54
47
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAHeat Rebound54
47
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 254
47
Q2 - 0:08.0DETWilliams P.FOUL (P1.PN)54
47
Q2 - 0:25.0DETSUB: Prince FOR Butler54
47
Q2 - 0:25.0DETSUB: Lucas III FOR Jackson54
47
Q2 - 0:25.0MIASUB: Dragic FOR Johnson54
47
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAHeat Rebound54
47
Q2 - 0:25.0DETMISS Jackson 28' 3PT Jump Shot54
47
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)54
47
Q2 - 0:55.0DETCaldwell-Pope Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)52
47
Q2 - 1:00DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
45
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot52
45
Q2 - 1:18DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)52
45
Q2 - 1:18MIASUB: Andersen FOR Whiteside52
44
Q2 - 1:18DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
44
Q2 - 1:18MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T4)52
43
Q2 - 1:28MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)52
43
Q2 - 1:41DETDrummond P.FOUL (P1.T2)50
43
Q2 - 1:41MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
43
Q2 - 1:42DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup50
43
Q2 - 1:56MIAWhiteside 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)50
43
Q2 - 2:17DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
43
Q2 - 2:17DETPISTONS Rebound48
42
Q2 - 2:17DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 248
42
Q2 - 2:17MIAEnnis S.FOUL (P2.T3)48
42
Q2 - 2:28MIAEnnis Violation:Kicked Ball48
42
Q2 - 2:35DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
42
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
42
Q2 - 2:50DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)48
42
Q2 - 2:50MIASUB: Wade FOR Dragic48
41
Q2 - 2:50DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)48
41
Q2 - 2:50MIAEnnis S.FOUL (P1.T2)48
40
Q2 - 2:54DETWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
40
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
40
Q2 - 3:16DETSUB: Williams FOR Tolliver48
40
Q2 - 3:16DETSUB: Butler FOR Prince48
40
Q2 - 3:16DETTolliver Foul Turnover (P2.T10)48
40
Q2 - 3:16DETTolliver OFF.Foul (P3)48
40
Q2 - 3:19DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
40
Q2 - 3:19MIAMISS Whiteside Tip Shot48
40
Q2 - 3:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
40
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot48
40
Q2 - 3:33DETDrummond Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)48
40
Q2 - 3:48MIACaldwell-Pope STEAL (1 STL)48
40
Q2 - 4:10DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)48
40
Q2 - 4:29MIADeng 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)48
40
Q2 - 4:42MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)46
40
Q2 - 4:51DETPrince 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)46
40
Q2 - 5:04MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T7)46
38
Q2 - 5:04MIAJohnson OFF.Foul (P1)46
38
Q2 - 5:21DETTolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)46
38
Q2 - 5:26DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)46
35
Q2 - 5:27DETMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot46
35
Q2 - 5:40DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)46
35
Q2 - 5:40MIASUB: Ennis FOR Wade46
35
Q2 - 5:4046
35
Q2 - 5:44MIADragic Layup (11 PTS)46
35
Q2 - 5:45MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
35
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Johnson 3' Jump Shot44
35
Q2 - 5:50MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
35
Q2 - 5:51DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 5' Jump Shot44
35
Q2 - 6:00MIAWhiteside Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)44
35
Q2 - 6:00DETSUB: Drummond FOR Anthony44
35
Q2 - 6:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
35
Q2 - 6:02DETMISS Jackson 1' Layup44
35
Q2 - 6:15MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)44
35
Q2 - 6:27MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Andersen42
35
Q2 - 6:27DETSUB: Caldwell-Pope FOR Meeks42
35
Q2 - 6:27DETJackson Palming Turnover (P2.T7)42
35
Q2 - 6:39MIADragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)42
35
Q2 - 7:03DETJackson 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
35
Q2 - 7:26MIAWade 1' Layup (12 PTS)39
33
Q2 - 7:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
33
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot37
33
Q2 - 7:44MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
33
Q2 - 7:47DETMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
33
Q2 - 8:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)37
33
Q2 - 8:03DETTolliver S.FOUL (P2.T1)36
33
Q2 - 8:03MIAWade 5' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)36
33
Q2 - 8:06DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
33
Q2 - 8:10DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
33
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper34
33
Q2 - 8:26MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
33
Q2 - 8:27DETMISS Tolliver 4' Jump Shot34
33
Q2 - 8:41DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
33
Q2 - 8:43MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup34
33
Q2 - 8:59DETAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)34
33
Q2 - 9:11MIASUB: Johnson FOR Chalmers34
31
Q2 - 9:11MIASUB: Deng FOR Walker34
31
Q2 - 9:11MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.T1)34
31
Q2 - 9:16MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
31
Q2 - 9:31DETSUB: Jackson FOR Lucas III32
31
Q2 - 9:31DETMeeks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
31
Q2 - 9:41MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)32
31
Q2 - 10:05MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
31
Q2 - 10:06DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot30
31
Q2 - 10:20DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)30
31
Q2 - 10:28MIAChalmers 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)30
31
Q2 - 10:33DETLucas III Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)28
31
Q2 - 10:47MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)28
31
Q2 - 10:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
31
Q2 - 10:56DETMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
31
Q2 - 11:03DETPISTONS Rebound26
31
Q2 - 11:03DETMISS Prince 1' Layup26
31
Q2 - 11:04DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
31
Q2 - 11:05DETMISS Prince 6' Jump Shot26
31
Q2 - 11:16MIADragic 7' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)26
31
Q2 - 11:28DETMeeks 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)24
31
Q2 - 11:44MIAAndersen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T5)24
29
Q2 - 12:0024
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
29
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
29
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
29
Q1 - 0:08.0DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 224
29
Q1 - 0:08.0DETSUB: Tolliver FOR Butler24
29
Q1 - 0:08.0DETPISTONS Rebound24
29
Q1 - 0:08.0DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 224
29
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.PN)24
29
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAPrince STEAL (1 STL)24
29
Q1 - 0:28.0DETLucas III Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)24
29
Q1 - 0:35.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
29
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
29
Q1 - 0:56.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
29
Q1 - 0:56.0DETPISTONS Rebound24
28
Q1 - 0:56.0DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 224
28
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAWalker S.FOUL (P2.PN)24
28
Q1 - 1:19MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)24
28
Q1 - 1:37DETLucas III 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
28
Q1 - 2:04MIAAndersen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)21
26
Q1 - 2:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
26
Q1 - 2:20DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
26
Q1 - 2:24DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
26
Q1 - 2:26DETMISS Lucas III 17' Running Jump Shot19
26
Q1 - 2:39MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
26
Q1 - 2:39MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
26
Q1 - 2:39DETButler P.FOUL (P2.PN)17
26
Q1 - 2:49DETSUB: Prince FOR Tolliver17
26
Q1 - 2:49DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
26
Q1 - 2:49DETDrummond Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
26
Q1 - 3:04MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)17
26
Q1 - 3:20DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)15
26
Q1 - 3:20MIASUB: Andersen FOR Whiteside15
25
Q1 - 3:20MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P2.T4)15
25
Q1 - 3:20DETDrummond 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)15
25
Q1 - 3:29MIASUB: Dragic FOR Wade15
23
Q1 - 3:29MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T3)15
23
Q1 - 3:45MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
23
Q1 - 3:47MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
23
Q1 - 3:49DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 6' Running Jump Shot15
23
Q1 - 4:07MIAWalker P.FOUL (P1.T2)15
23
Q1 - 4:07DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
23
Q1 - 4:08DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
23
Q1 - 4:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
23
Q1 - 4:28MIAHeat Rebound14
23
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 214
23
Q1 - 4:28DETButler S.FOUL (P1.T4)14
23
Q1 - 4:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
23
Q1 - 4:34DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot14
23
Q1 - 4:48DETPISTONS Rebound14
23
Q1 - 4:48MIADrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)14
23
Q1 - 4:59DETSUB: Lucas III FOR Jackson14
23
Q1 - 4:59MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem14
23
Q1 - 4:59DETJackson P.FOUL (P2.T3)14
23
Q1 - 5:13DETTolliver 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)14
23
Q1 - 5:29MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
20
Q1 - 5:29MIAWhiteside OFF.Foul (P1)14
20
Q1 - 5:40MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
20
Q1 - 5:41DETMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
20
Q1 - 5:56DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
20
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 214
20
Q1 - 5:57MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
20
Q1 - 5:57DETJackson S.FOUL (P1.T2)13
20
Q1 - 6:09MIAHeat Rebound13
20
Q1 - 6:09DETMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
20
Q1 - 6:27MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)13
20
Q1 - 6:41MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)11
20
Q1 - 6:41DETDrummond Putback Dunk (4 PTS)11
20
Q1 - 6:42DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
18
Q1 - 6:44DETMISS Jackson 1' Layup11
18
Q1 - 6:54DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
18
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Haslem 5' Running Jump Shot11
18
Q1 - 7:10MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Dragic11
18
Q1 - 7:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
18
Q1 - 7:21DETMISS Tolliver Layup11
18
Q1 - 7:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
18
Q1 - 7:29MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot11
18
Q1 - 7:56DETButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)11
18
Q1 - 8:09MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
15
Q1 - 8:09MIAHeat Rebound10
15
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 210
15
Q1 - 8:09DETTolliver S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
15
Q1 - 8:24DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)10
15
Q1 - 8:35MIAWhiteside Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)10
13
Q1 - 8:46DETJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)8
13
Q1 - 9:13MIADeng 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)8
10
Q1 - 9:29DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)5
10
Q1 - 9:39DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
7
Q1 - 9:40MIAMISS Haslem 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
7
Q1 - 10:01DETJackson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)5
7
Q1 - 10:16MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)5
5
Q1 - 10:39DETJackson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
5
Q1 - 11:02MIADeng Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
3
Q1 - 11:18DETButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
3
Q1 - 11:18MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:18DETButler 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:34MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:46DETTolliver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Whiteside: Tip to Jackson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.4%
DET
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
30
63%
DET
11
23
48%
Midrange
MIA
13
27
48%
DET
13
24
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
DET
12
18.0
26
46%
69%
Free Throws
MIA
19
26
73%
DET
15
23
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2463%12.0 / 19
G. Dragic2175%10.5 / 14
L. Deng1350%6.5 / 13
H. Whiteside1354%6.5 / 12
M. Chalmers956%4.5 / 8
J. Ennis III770%3.5 / 5
U. Haslem650%3.0 / 6
H. Walker325%1.5 / 6
C. Andersen2100%1.0 / 1
T. Johnson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jackson2969%14.5 / 21
K. Caldwell-Pope1948%9.5 / 20
A. Tolliver1568%7.5 / 11
A. Drummond1169%5.5 / 8
C. Butler9150%4.5 / 3
T. Prince735%3.5 / 10
S. Williams3150%1.5 / 1
J. Lucas III225%1.0 / 4
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
J. Meeks225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+13
-14
90
DET
73
+10
-16
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.4%
DET
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
105.1
MIA 107.7
DET 111.2 +3.5
Pace
91.0
93.1
MIA 83.1
DET 98.6 +15.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.6
MIA 17.3
DET 14.6 −2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.2%
MIA 51.3%
DET 57.5% +6.2%
TO %
15.2%
13.5%
MIA 13.7% −2.4%
DET 16.1%
ORB %
23.3%
27.7%
MIA 30.6% +7.1%
DET 23.5%
FTrt
30.6
26.1
MIA 33.8 +2.3
DET 31.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
58.2%
MIA 51.4%
DET 55.6% +4.2%
STL %
8.6%
8.1%
MIA 6.6%
DET 6.7% +0.1%
BLK %
8.0%
7.6%
MIA 14.9% +9.6%
DET 5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
50.0%
MIA 54.4%
DET 58.2% +3.8%
Rim FG%
59.7%
53.4%
MIA 63.3% +15.5%
DET 47.8%
Mid FG%
40.9%
37.8%
MIA 48.1%
DET 54.2% +6.1%
3P %
33.5%
34.4%
MIA 25.0%
DET 46.2% +21.2%
FT %
74.1%
70.3%
MIA 73.1% +7.9%
DET 65.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
40.8%
MIA 39.0% +7.5%
DET 31.5%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
30.1%
MIA 35.1%
DET 32.9% −2.2%
3P Att. %
26.2%
29.0%
MIA 26.0%
DET 35.6% +9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9189
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points9899
Rebounds3733
Assists1920
Steals66
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (4)25 (4)
Field Goals37-7736-73
At-the-Rim FG19-3011-23
Midrange FG13-2713-24
2-Point FG32-5724-47
3-Point FG5-2012-26
Free Throws19-2615-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
38.4
13
50%
8
2
1
0
3
1
2
6
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
2-5
40%
G · 6'3" 190 · 29
35.6
21
75%
2
7
1
1
2
2
1
1
5-6
83%
5-8
63%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
34.9
24
63%
2
3
1
0
2
3
1
1
2-3
67%
11-16
69%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
31.0
13
54%
12
0
1
6
3
2
4
8
3-7
43%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
13.8
6
50%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
24.6
9
56%
2
1
1
0
1
5
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'6" 235 · 27
21.5
3
25%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
18.0
7
70%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 23
12.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
10.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 26
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'1" 175 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
54%
37
19
6
7
14
0
11
26
19-26
73%
32-57
56%
5-20
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.