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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 4, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Celtics39%104117
13Raptors61%108116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
41.8
29.1
18
53%
6
10
3
1
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
9-15
4-8
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.4
37.9
31.5
7
27%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-10
4-8
20%
47%
1-3
33%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.1
31.9
28.1
15
73%
4
4
2
1
1
2
1
3
1-3
33%
4-4
2-4
100%
42%
2-5
40%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
25.7
25.9
11
49%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-5
60%
4-9
4-7
44%
50%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.2
24.7
22.3
20
79%
9
3
0
0
0
0
2
7
4-6
67%
8-10
4-8
80%
53%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.7
30.1
22.0
3
31%
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.2
26.9
23.6
25
63%
2
4
0
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
48%
3-8
38%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.0
24.4
19.5
16
68%
2
0
2
1
1
3
1
1
4-4
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
2-5
40%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.1
12.2
9.1
0
0%
7
0
2
0
1
2
4
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.1
9.5
19.3
2
33%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.4
7.8
0
1-2
48%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 24.1
6.9
0
1-1
42%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.7
5.3
0
0-1
51%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 31.4
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
43.4
36.3
38
63%
1
3
1
1
0
6
0
1
10-12
83%
14-24
7-15
58%
46%
0-1
0%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 28.2
37.4
30.2
8
44%
4
3
1
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
2-6
33%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 29.4
35.8
15.6
18
106%
8
0
2
0
1
1
1
7
8-8
100%
5-5
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.9
32.7
28.3
12
45%
14
2
0
0
1
1
2
12
2-3
67%
5-12
5-9
42%
57%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 24.2
29.7
24.1
4
52%
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
47%
1-3
33%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.4
34.4
28.1
27
66%
2
4
1
1
1
3
1
1
6-8
75%
6-9
3-6
67%
48%
3-8
38%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.1
31.6
26.3
0
0%
7
2
2
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
54%
0-5
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.1
15.3
19.3
9
73%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-5
60%
3-4
3-5
75%
56%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31.8
4.8
3.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 27.9
22.0
1
3-5
59%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
3.2
0
0-1
50%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.5
3.0
0
0-0
52%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 19.5
2.8
0
0-1
50%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 22.7
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.