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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 4, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Warriors
123
14Mavericks
110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
30
18
5
6
4
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-2
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
1-3
33%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
28
24
13
10
3
4
1
0
2
3
7
3-4
75%
5-8
2-5
63%
49%
0-3
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
28
31
21
3
3
2
1
0
2
1
2
2-4
50%
2-7
5-9
29%
48%
5-10
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.1
27
32
11
4
3
1
2
0
1
2
2
2-3
67%
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
1-4
25%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.3
18
24
8
11
2
0
1
1
1
3
8
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
55%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.2
28
26
18
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
54%
4-9
44%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.6
25
19
9
4
5
0
1
0
3
1
3
5-6
83%
2-2
3-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.3
22
15
10
1
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
5-5
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.5
15
8
10
9
0
1
0
1
0
5
4
2-4
50%
4-6
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.7
10
16
18
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
4-4
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
49%
2-2
100%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.0
10
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-2
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.9
22
1
4-7
52%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.7
5
0
0-1
48%
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.9
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.4
33
33
14
2
1
0
2
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
6-15
6-13
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.8
27
8
13
3
0
3
0
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
1-3
1-1
33%
46%
2-5
40%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.5
24
28
10
13
0
0
1
0
0
3
10
2-4
50%
4-5
3-5
80%
61%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.8
23
30
18
4
2
0
1
1
2
0
4
12-15
80%
3-5
5-10
60%
48%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.1
19
27
4
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
2-4
4-8
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.5
31
22
7
7
1
3
1
0
1
2
5
3-6
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.8
23
15
14
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
5-9
2-4
56%
44%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.1
23
22
6
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
4-5
80%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.4
15
16
10
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-3
67%
4-9
4-7
44%
53%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.6
11
6
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.8
4
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.7
4
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
3
3
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
4-4
100%
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.