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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 8, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets
98
4Spurs
110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.6
35
36
22
4
4
1
2
0
1
2
2
8-8
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
48%
2-6
33%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.8
34
33
19
2
2
2
2
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
5-6
83%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.3
22
18
16
11
1
1
0
0
3
4
7
2-4
50%
7-10
3-6
70%
57%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.2
17
22
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.6
16
23
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.3
27
26
13
3
5
1
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
3-8
38%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.9
26
22
6
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.1
23
26
2
4
2
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
4-7
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.3
15
19
2
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-4
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.3
6
6
6
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
41%
0-0
-
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.9
6
5
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.2
6
2
4
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
6
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.5
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
35
25
20
3
2
4
2
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
9-12
5-9
75%
54%
0-3
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.0
28
22
6
10
1
2
1
4
2
2
8
2-2
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
26
21
10
2
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
2-6
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.9
26
21
27
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-3
33%
13-18
4-8
72%
50%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.3
25
18
8
12
0
1
0
0
1
4
8
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.0
27
24
15
9
2
0
1
1
0
2
7
0-0
-
6-11
3-7
55%
52%
1-3
33%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
22
17
4
2
5
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.7
18
19
13
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
3-4
75%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
10
7
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.7
6
15
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.9
6
10
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
6
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.0
5
15
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.0
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.