Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Rockets	31%	98	98	105.4	93	105.9
	2	Spurs	69%	104	110	117.0	94	83.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 26	35.4	22	58%	4	4	1	0	1	1	2	2	8-8	100%	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 30	34.4	19	79%	2	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	5-6	83%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 29	21.7	16	67%	11	1	1	0	3	2	4	7	2-4	50%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Terrence Jones F · 6'9" 252 · 23	16.8	2	33%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 38	16.0	4	40%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%

Josh Smith · 6'9" 225 · 29	27.2	13	50%	3	5	1	0	4	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-8	38%
Pablo Prigioni G · 6'3" 185 · 38	25.7	6	50%	2	5	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 29	23.1	2	17%	4	2	1	1	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Joey Dorsey · 6'8" 268 · 31	15.3	2	33%	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	6	0-4	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
KJ McDaniels G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22	6.3	4	40%	1	2	0	2	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Nick Johnson G · 6'3" 202 · 22	6.3	6	60%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Clint Capela C · 6'10" 256 · 21	6.3	2	33%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kostas Papanikolaou F · 6'8" 235 · 25	5.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patrick Beverley #2 · G · 6'1" 185 · 27	Inactive · INACTIVE
Donatas Motiejunas #20 · F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	52%	39	25	7	3	13	0	8	31	10-16	63%	29-59	49%	10-25	40%

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5 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 26	35.4	22	58%	4	4	1	0	1	1	2	2	8-8	100%	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 30	34.4	19	79%	2	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	5-6	83%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 29	21.7	16	67%	11	1	1	0	3	2	4	7	2-4	50%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Terrence Jones F · 6'9" 252 · 23	16.8	2	33%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 38	16.0	4	40%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%

Josh Smith · 6'9" 225 · 29	27.2	13	50%	3	5	1	0	4	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-8	38%
Pablo Prigioni G · 6'3" 185 · 38	25.7	6	50%	2	5	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 29	23.1	2	17%	4	2	1	1	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Joey Dorsey · 6'8" 268 · 31	15.3	2	33%	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	6	0-4	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
KJ McDaniels G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22	6.3	4	40%	1	2	0	2	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Nick Johnson G · 6'3" 202 · 22	6.3	6	60%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Clint Capela C · 6'10" 256 · 21	6.3	2	33%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kostas Papanikolaou F · 6'8" 235 · 25	5.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patrick Beverley #2 · G · 6'1" 185 · 27	Inactive · INACTIVE
Donatas Motiejunas #20 · F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	52%	39	25	7	3	13	0	8	31	10-16	63%	29-59	49%	10-25	40%

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 24	34.8	20	63%	3	2	4	0	2	2	1	2	2-2	100%	9-12	75%	0-3	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 39	27.6	6	50%	10	1	2	4	2	2	2	8	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 28	26.3	10	45%	2	3	0	1	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 33	25.6	27	71%	1	4	0	0	2	1	0	1	1-3	33%	13-18	72%	0-0	-
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 28	24.6	8	67%	12	0	1	0	1	2	4	8	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-

Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33	27.2	15	54%	9	2	0	1	0	1	2	7	0-0	-	6-11	55%	1-3	33%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 24	21.7	4	40%	2	5	2	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 38	18.1	13	81%	2	2	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
Reggie Williams F · 6'6" 205 · 29	10.2	3	38%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 27	6.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28	6.3	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 22	6.3	2	25%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35	5.1	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tiago Splitter #22 · C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30	Inactive · INACTIVE
Marco Belinelli #3 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	47	21	11	7	9	0	13	34	7-9	78%	41-74	55%	7-21	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.03 51.6%

SAS

1.08 53.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

22

30

73%

SAS

21

29

72%

Midrange

HOU

7

29

24%

SAS

20

45

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

10

15.0

25

40%

60%

SAS

7

10.5

21

33%

50%

Free Throws

HOU

10

16

63%

SAS

7

9

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	22	58%	11.0 / 19
T. Ariza	19	79%	9.5 / 12
D. Howard	16	67%	8.0 / 12
J. Smith	13	50%	6.5 / 13
P. Prigioni	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Johnson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Terry	4	40%	2.0 / 5
K. McDaniels	4	40%	2.0 / 5
T. Jones	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Brewer	2	17%	1.0 / 6
J. Dorsey	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Capela	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	27	71%	13.5 / 19
K. Leonard	20	63%	10.0 / 16
B. Diaw	15	54%	7.5 / 14
M. Ginobili	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Green	10	45%	5.0 / 11
A. Baynes	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. Duncan	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Joseph	4	40%	2.0 / 5
R. Williams	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Ayres	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Anderson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
P. Mills	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 107.0 9 108.5	HOU 105.4 SAS 117.0 +11.6
Pace	2 96.6 15 93.9	HOU 105.9 +22.2 SAS 83.8
Avg. Poss. Time	27 14.6 10 15.7	HOU 13.6 −3.6 SAS 17.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 51.2% 5 51.7%	HOU 52.4% SAS 54.2% +1.8%
TO %	28 16.4% 12 14.2%	HOU 14.1% SAS 8.3% −5.8%
ORB %	7 26.7% 25 23.3%	HOU 19.0% SAS 29.5% +10.5%
FTrt	2 31.2 24 25.6	HOU 19.0 +9.5 SAS 9.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 60.0% 7 62.3%	HOU 64.1% +20.3% SAS 43.8%
STL %	3 9.8% 11 8.5%	HOU 7.5% SAS 11.7% +4.2%
BLK %	14 8.0% 10 8.4%	HOU 4.1% SAS 11.9% +7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 53.3% 5 54.0%	HOU 51.6% SAS 53.9% +2.3%
Rim FG%	14 58.0% 9 59.6%	HOU 73.3% +0.9% SAS 72.4%
Mid FG%	27 37.1% 3 42.1%	HOU 24.1% SAS 44.4% +20.3%
3P %	14 34.8% 6 36.7%	HOU 40.0% +6.7% SAS 33.3%
FT %	27 71.5% 4 78.0%	HOU 62.5% SAS 77.8% +15.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 39.2% 16 35.3%	HOU 35.7% +5.2% SAS 30.5%
Mid Att. %	1 21.6% 17 37.8%	HOU 34.5% −12.8% SAS 47.4%
3P Att. %	1 39.2% 15 26.9%	HOU 29.8% +7.7% SAS 22.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Game Totals	HOU	SAS
Possessions	93	94
Possession Minutes	21.1	26.9
Points	98	110
Rebounds	39	47
Assists	25	21
Steals	7	11
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (2)	9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	34 (1)
Field Goals	39-84	48-95
At-the-Rim FG	22-30	21-29
Midrange FG	7-29	20-45
2-Point FG	29-59	41-74
3-Point FG	10-25	7-21
Free Throws	10-16	7-9
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg