Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Celtics	19%	102	99	104.2	95	102.3
	3	Cavaliers	81%	112	90	92.8	97	90.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Evan Turner F · 6'7" 220 · 26	34.4	4	25%	6	13	1	0	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 21	33.7	19	79%	3	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	2-5	40%	4-5	80%	3-5	60%
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 24	31.3	15	63%	2	4	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
Brandon Bass F · 6'8" 250 · 30	29.1	12	75%	5	1	3	0	4	3	3	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 25	18.2	13	59%	6	3	1	0	0	3	1	5	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 25	25.6	7	32%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 26	23.3	17	57%	3	5	0	0	2	1	0	3	7-8	88%	2-6	33%	2-6	33%
Jared Sullinger C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23	19.4	5	36%	8	2	1	2	4	4	1	7	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 28	15.0	5	50%	6	0	2	0	0	1	4	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Kelly Olynyk F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24	10.1	2	25%	2	1	0	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Phil Pressey G · 5'11" 175 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Gigi Datome F · 6'8" 215 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Babb #52 · G · 6'5" 225 · 25	Inactive · INACTIVE
James Young #13 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	52%	43	30	11	2	14	0	11	32	15-21	71%	30-62	48%	8-22	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

16 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Evan Turner F · 6'7" 220 · 26	34.4	4	25%	6	13	1	0	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 21	33.7	19	79%	3	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	2-5	40%	4-5	80%	3-5	60%
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 24	31.3	15	63%	2	4	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
Brandon Bass F · 6'8" 250 · 30	29.1	12	75%	5	1	3	0	4	3	3	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 25	18.2	13	59%	6	3	1	0	0	3	1	5	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 25	25.6	7	32%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 26	23.3	17	57%	3	5	0	0	2	1	0	3	7-8	88%	2-6	33%	2-6	33%
Jared Sullinger C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23	19.4	5	36%	8	2	1	2	4	4	1	7	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 28	15.0	5	50%	6	0	2	0	0	1	4	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Kelly Olynyk F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24	10.1	2	25%	2	1	0	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Phil Pressey G · 5'11" 175 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Gigi Datome F · 6'8" 215 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Babb #52 · G · 6'5" 225 · 25	Inactive · INACTIVE
James Young #13 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	52%	43	30	11	2	14	0	11	32	15-21	71%	30-62	48%	8-22	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Matthew Dellavedova G · 6'4" 198 · 25	41.5	9	56%	3	8	1	0	3	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Kevin Love F · 6'10" 251 · 27	30.9	19	73%	6	4	0	0	2	1	2	4	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	4-8	50%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 30	26.1	14	39%	3	7	1	0	3	1	0	3	4-9	44%	5-9	56%	0-5	0%
JR Smith G · 6'6" 225 · 30	18.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 29	16.5	13	59%	2	0	0	1	3	2	1	1	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-0	-

Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35	23.1	11	69%	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Shawn Marion G-F · 6'7" 228 · 37	21.0	4	33%	5	1	0	1	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35	18.1	9	45%	0	0	2	0	0	3	0	0	7-9	78%	1-1	100%	0-6	0%
Tristan Thompson C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24	16.2	2	50%	12	1	0	0	1	1	4	8	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kendrick Perkins C · 6'10" 270 · 30	14.9	4	50%	3	0	0	0	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Joe Harris F-G · 6'6" 219 · 24	13.3	5	83%	2	1	0	0	3	4	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Kyrie Irving G · 6'2" 195 · 23	DND - Right Hip Soreness
Brendan Haywood C · 7'0" 263 · 35	DNP - Coach's Decision
Iman Shumpert #4 · G · 6'5" 212 · 25	Inactive · INACTIVE
Anderson Varejao #17 · F · 6'11" 260 · 33	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	50%	42	25	4	2	20	0	12	30	17-25	68%	23-43	53%	9-34	26%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	CLE

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.03 51.6%

CLE

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

9

17

53%

CLE

14

21

67%

Midrange

BOS

21

45

47%

CLE

9

22

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

8

12.0

22

36%

55%

CLE

9

13.5

34

26%

40%

Free Throws

BOS

15

21

71%

CLE

17

25

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Smart	19	79%	9.5 / 12
I. Thomas	17	57%	8.5 / 15
A. Bradley	15	63%	7.5 / 12
T. Zeller	13	59%	6.5 / 11
B. Bass	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Crowder	7	32%	3.5 / 11
J. Sullinger	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Jerebko	5	50%	2.5 / 5
E. Turner	4	25%	2.0 / 8
K. Olynyk	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Love	19	73%	9.5 / 13
L. James	14	39%	7.0 / 18
T. Mozgov	13	59%	6.5 / 11
M. Miller	11	69%	5.5 / 8
M. Dellavedova	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Jones	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Harris	5	83%	2.5 / 3
S. Marion	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Perkins	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. Thompson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 104.8 3 111.3	BOS 104.2 +11.4 CLE 92.8
Pace	5 95.8 25 92.3	BOS 102.3 +11.8 CLE 90.5
Avg. Poss. Time	29 14.4 8 15.8	BOS 14.1 −1.8 CLE 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 48.9% 4 52.0%	BOS 50.0% +2.6% CLE 47.4%
TO %	7 13.7% 19 14.7%	BOS 13.9% −6.1% CLE 20.0%
ORB %	16 24.7% 6 26.9%	BOS 26.8% CLE 27.3% +0.5%
FTrt	28 23.3 10 28.7	BOS 25.0 CLE 32.5 +7.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 62.9% 13 58.7%	BOS 78.9% +0.8% CLE 78.1%
STL %	10 8.5% 19 7.9%	BOS 11.6% +7.5% CLE 4.1%
BLK %	30 5.7% 25 6.8%	BOS 4.7% +1.5% CLE 3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 51.1% 4 54.3%	BOS 51.6% +2.1% CLE 49.5%
Rim FG%	17 57.3% 6 59.7%	BOS 52.9% CLE 66.7% +13.8%
Mid FG%	7 40.9% 19 39.8%	BOS 46.7% +5.8% CLE 40.9%
3P %	27 32.7% 5 36.7%	BOS 36.4% +9.9% CLE 26.5%
FT %	14 75.4% 18 75.1%	BOS 71.4% +3.4% CLE 68.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 34.7% 15 35.5%	BOS 20.2% CLE 27.3% +7.0%
Mid Att. %	15 37.3% 4 31.0%	BOS 53.6% CLE 28.6% −25.0%
3P Att. %	13 28.0% 2 33.4%	BOS 26.2% CLE 44.2% +18.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	BOS	CLE
Possessions	95	97
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	99	90
Rebounds	43	42
Assists	30	25
Steals	11	4
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	20 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	30 (3)
Field Goals	38-84	32-77
At-the-Rim FG	9-17	14-21
Midrange FG	21-45	9-22
2-Point FG	30-62	23-43
3-Point FG	8-22	9-34
Free Throws	15-21	17-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg