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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 10, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs51%103104
6Rockets49%102103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
39
28
18
9
2
4
2
0
1
1
8
4-4
100%
7-15
5-10
47%
54%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.0
34
23
29
10
2
1
1
3
3
4
6
5-8
63%
12-15
4-7
80%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.9
28
22
2
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
4-9
14%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
24
23
0
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-5
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.3
18
20
13
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
3-4
75%
5-6
3-6
83%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.0
26
25
10
5
4
0
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
4-12
4-7
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.7
21
19
6
2
4
2
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
0-2
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.0
14
23
5
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.7
11
12
14
1
2
1
0
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
3-3
100%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
9
18
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.9
8
9
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.0
7
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
8
0
1-1
51%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.6
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.8
43
33
19
4
0
1
2
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
48%
4-5
80%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.6
38
35
16
2
10
3
2
0
4
0
2
4-6
67%
3-14
5-11
21%
49%
2-5
40%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.6
31
19
9
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
2-5
40%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.2
30
20
14
6
1
0
0
1
3
3
3
3-4
75%
4-8
3-6
50%
55%
1-1
100%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.3
27
20
12
14
2
2
0
2
4
2
12
6-9
67%
3-5
4-7
60%
58%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.1
23
24
11
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
5-6
83%
3-5
3-7
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.3
22
26
20
6
3
1
1
1
3
0
6
12-26
46%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.9
17
23
2
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.3
5
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.3
5
17
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.9
6
0
1-2
48%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
5
0
0-1
45%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.2
4
0
0-1
45%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.6
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.