Final Win Prob. pScore
451%103
104
549%102
103
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
108.39689.2
HOU logo Rockets
107.297104.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS104
103
Q4 - 0:02.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)104
103
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Harden 1' Driving Layup104
103
Q4 - 0:06.0SASSUB: Green FOR Diaw104
103
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUROCKETS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 1)104
103
Q4 - 0:06.0SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)104
103
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)104
103
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)104
100
Q4 - 0:35.0SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup104
100
Q4 - 0:55.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)104
100
Q4 - 0:57.0HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup104
100
Q4 - 1:04HOUSUB: Brewer FOR Jones104
100
Q4 - 1:04HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)104
100
Q4 - 1:04SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)104
100
Q4 - 1:04SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)103
100
Q4 - 1:04HOUHoward P.FOUL (P5.PN)102
100
Q4 - 1:20HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)102
100
Q4 - 1:26HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)102
98
Q4 - 1:27SASMISS Leonard 13' Jump Shot102
98
Q4 - 1:45HOUHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T20)102
98
Q4 - 1:59SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P3.T15)102
98
Q4 - 1:59SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P4)102
98
Q4 - 2:13SASSpurs Rebound102
98
Q4 - 2:15HOUMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot102
98
Q4 - 2:21HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
98
Q4 - 2:23SASJones BLOCK (1 BLK)102
98
Q4 - 2:45HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)102
98
Q4 - 2:45HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)102
98
Q4 - 3:03SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)102
98
Q4 - 3:03SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)101
98
Q4 - 3:03HOUJones S.FOUL (P4.PN)100
98
Q4 - 3:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
98
Q4 - 3:24HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot100
98
Q4 - 3:36SASDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)100
98
Q4 - 3:36SASDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)99
98
Q4 - 3:36HOUHarden S.FOUL (P2.PN)98
98
Q4 - 3:43SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Green98
98
Q4 - 3:43HOUSUB: Howard FOR Brewer98
98
Q4 - 3:43HOUSUB: Jones FOR Smith98
98
Q4 - 3:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)98
98
Q4 - 3:56SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
98
Q4 - 4:12HOUBrewer 4' Layup (11 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)98
98
Q4 - 4:18HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)98
96
Q4 - 4:20SASMISS Leonard 20' Jump Shot98
96
Q4 - 4:35HOUSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)98
96
Q4 - 4:35HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)98
95
Q4 - 4:35SASDiaw L.B.FOUL (P5.PN)98
94
Q4 - 4:35HOUROCKETS Rebound98
94
Q4 - 4:35SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)98
94
Q4 - 4:35SASMISS Diaw 1' Tip Shot98
94
Q4 - 4:36SASMISS Diaw 8' Jump Shot98
94
Q4 - 4:58SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)98
94
Q4 - 5:00SASMISS Leonard 21' Pullup Jump Shot98
94
Q4 - 5:20HOUSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)98
94
Q4 - 5:20HOUROCKETS Rebound98
93
Q4 - 5:20HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 298
93
Q4 - 5:20SAS98
93
Q4 - 5:20SASParker Personal Take Foul (P1.PN)98
93
Q4 - 5:25SASLeonard 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)98
93
Q4 - 5:42SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)96
93
Q4 - 5:42HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 296
93
Q4 - 5:42HOUROCKETS Rebound96
93
Q4 - 5:42HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 296
93
Q4 - 5:4296
93
Q4 - 5:42SASGreen Personal Take Foul (P4.PN)96
93
Q4 - 5:52SASLeonard 21' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Green 4 AST)96
93
Q4 - 6:12SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
93
Q4 - 6:12HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 294
93
Q4 - 6:12HOUROCKETS Rebound94
93
Q4 - 6:12HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 294
93
Q4 - 6:12SASGreen Personal Take Foul (P3.PN)94
93
Q4 - 6:14HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
93
Q4 - 6:15SASMISS Diaw 6' Jump Shot94
93
Q4 - 6:34HOUSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)94
93
Q4 - 6:34HOUSUB: Terry FOR Prigioni94
92
Q4 - 6:34SASSUB: Parker FOR Mills94
92
Q4 - 6:34HOUROCKETS Rebound94
92
Q4 - 6:34HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 294
92
Q4 - 6:34SASMills Personal Take Foul (P5.PN)94
92
Q4 - 6:39SASDuncan Slam Dunk (27 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)94
92
Q4 - 6:44SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
92
Q4 - 6:46HOUMISS Brewer 4' Jump Shot92
92
Q4 - 6:50HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
92
Q4 - 6:52SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot92
92
Q4 - 7:03HOUSmith Dunk (16 PTS) (Prigioni 1 AST)92
92
Q4 - 7:08SASPrigioni STEAL (2 STL)92
90
Q4 - 7:18HOUSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)92
90
Q4 - 7:18HOUROCKETS Rebound92
89
Q4 - 7:18HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 292
89
Q4 - 7:18SASDiaw L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)92
89
Q4 - 7:19HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
89
Q4 - 7:19SASMISS Mills Free Throw 2 of 292
89
Q4 - 7:19SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)92
89
Q4 - 7:19HOUPrigioni P.FOUL (P2.PN)91
89
Q4 - 7:28HOUSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)91
89
Q4 - 7:28HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)91
88
Q4 - 7:28SASGreen Personal Take Foul (P2.PN)91
87
Q4 - 7:36SASDiaw 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)91
87
Q4 - 7:53HOUSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)89
87
Q4 - 7:53HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)89
86
Q4 - 7:53SASDiaw Personal Take Foul (P3.PN)89
85
Q4 - 7:55SASMills Foul Turnover (P2.T13)89
85
Q4 - 7:55SASMills OFF.Foul (P4)89
85
Q4 - 7:57HOUPrigioni Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)89
85
Q4 - 8:05HOUSUB: Harden FOR Howard89
85
Q4 - 8:05SASSUB: Green FOR Belinelli89
85
Q4 - 8:05SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T12)89
85
Q4 - 8:05SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P3)89
85
Q4 - 8:21HOUPrigioni 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)89
85
Q4 - 8:36SASDuncan 1' Layup (25 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)89
83
Q4 - 8:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
83
Q4 - 8:56HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)87
83
Q4 - 8:56HOUMISS Howard 1' Tip Shot87
83
Q4 - 8:58HOUMISS Smith 12' Turnaround Hook Shot87
83
Q4 - 9:13SASSUB: Duncan FOR Baynes87
83
Q4 - 9:13SASBaynes L.B.FOUL (P6.T4)87
83
Q4 - 9:13SASMills 21' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)87
83
Q4 - 9:29SASSUB: Leonard FOR Ginobili85
83
Q4 - 9:29SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)85
83
Q4 - 9:29HOUHoward L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)85
83
Q4 - 9:29HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)85
83
Q4 - 9:37HOUROCKETS Rebound85
80
Q4 - 9:38SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
80
Q4 - 9:52HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
80
Q4 - 9:52HOUSUB: Prigioni FOR Terry85
79
Q4 - 9:52HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)85
79
Q4 - 9:52SASGinobili S.FOUL (P4.T3)85
78
Q4 - 10:06HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)85
78
Q4 - 10:07SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)85
78
Q4 - 10:07SASMISS Baynes 1' Putback Layup85
78
Q4 - 10:08SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
78
Q4 - 10:08SASMISS Diaw 2' Tip Shot85
78
Q4 - 10:09SASMISS Diaw 2' Layup85
78
Q4 - 10:15SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
78
Q4 - 10:16HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
78
Q4 - 10:24HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
78
Q4 - 10:24HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 185
78
Q4 - 10:24SASGinobili S.FOUL (P3.T2)85
78
Q4 - 10:24HOUHoward 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)85
78
Q4 - 10:33SASMills Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)85
76
Q4 - 10:39HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T17)85
76
Q4 - 10:39HOUHoward Offensive Charge Foul (P3.T4)85
76
Q4 - 10:55SASBaynes Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)85
76
Q4 - 10:55HOUAriza S.FOUL (P3.T3)84
76
Q4 - 10:55SASBaynes 2' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)84
76
Q4 - 11:01HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)82
76
Q4 - 11:05SASHoward STEAL (2 STL)82
76
Q4 - 11:16HOUTerry P.FOUL (P3.T2)82
76
Q4 - 11:26HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T15)82
76
Q4 - 11:26HOUHoward OFF.Foul (P2)82
76
Q4 - 11:27HOUTerry Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)82
76
Q4 - 11:27SASBaynes T.FOUL (P5.T1)82
75
Q4 - 11:27SASBaynes P.FOUL (P5.T1)82
75
Q4 - 11:42HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)82
75
Q4 - 11:42SASMISS Baynes Free Throw 1 of 182
75
Q4 - 11:42HOUSmith S.FOUL (P4.T1)82
75
Q4 - 11:42SASBaynes 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)82
75
Q4 - 11:50HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)80
75
Q4 - 12:0080
75
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU80
75
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound80
75
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Harden 18' Step Back Jump Shot80
75
Q3 - 0:19.0SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Green 3 AST)80
75
Q3 - 0:28.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
75
Q3 - 0:30.0HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup77
75
Q3 - 0:39.0SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)77
75
Q3 - 0:43.0HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)74
75
Q3 - 0:56.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
75
Q3 - 0:56.0SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (23 PTS)74
75
Q3 - 0:56.0SASMISS Ginobili 7' Turnaround Jump Shot72
75
Q3 - 1:17HOUBrewer 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)72
75
Q3 - 1:35HOUROCKETS Rebound72
73
Q3 - 1:35HOUJump Ball Jones vs. Mills: Tip to Brewer72
73
Q3 - 1:38HOUMISS Harden 14' Step Back Jump Shot72
73
Q3 - 1:47HOUSUB: Jones FOR Smith72
73
Q3 - 1:47HOUROCKETS Rebound72
73
Q3 - 1:48HOUMISS Harden 28' 3PT Jump Shot72
73
Q3 - 1:54HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
73
Q3 - 1:54HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 272
73
Q3 - 1:54HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
73
Q3 - 1:54SASLeonard Personal Take Foul (P2.PN)72
72
Q3 - 1:58SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Green 2 AST)72
72
Q3 - 2:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
72
Q3 - 2:19HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 270
72
Q3 - 2:19HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
72
Q3 - 2:19SASMills Personal Take Foul (P3.PN)70
71
Q3 - 2:23HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
71
Q3 - 2:24SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
71
Q3 - 2:41SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
71
Q3 - 2:43HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 270
71
Q3 - 2:43HOUROCKETS Rebound70
71
Q3 - 2:43HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 270
71
Q3 - 2:43SASSUB: Green FOR Diaw70
71
Q3 - 2:43HOUSUB: Brewer FOR Jones70
71
Q3 - 2:43HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)70
71
Q3 - 2:43SASMills Personal Take Foul (P2.PN)70
71
Q3 - 2:49SASDuncan Dunk (19 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)70
71
Q3 - 2:59HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)68
71
Q3 - 3:09SASMills 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)68
68
Q3 - 3:22SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
68
Q3 - 3:22HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 265
68
Q3 - 3:22HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
68
Q3 - 3:22SASMills Personal Take Foul (P1.PN)65
67
Q3 - 3:24SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)65
67
Q3 - 3:24SASSpurs Rebound64
67
Q3 - 3:24SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 264
67
Q3 - 3:24HOUSmith S.FOUL (P3.PN)64
67
Q3 - 3:29HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)64
67
Q3 - 3:36HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
67
Q3 - 3:37SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
67
Q3 - 3:59HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)64
67
Q3 - 4:06SASPrigioni STEAL (1 STL)64
64
Q3 - 4:22SASSpurs Rebound64
64
Q3 - 4:24HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 264
64
Q3 - 4:24HOUROCKETS Rebound64
64
Q3 - 4:24HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 264
64
Q3 - 4:24SASDiaw Personal Take Foul (P2.PN)64
64
Q3 - 4:25SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)64
64
Q3 - 4:25SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
64
Q3 - 4:25HOUPrigioni L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)62
64
Q3 - 4:25SASSpurs Rebound62
64
Q3 - 4:25HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot62
64
Q3 - 4:40HOUSUB: Smith FOR Dorsey62
64
Q3 - 4:40SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.T4)62
64
Q3 - 4:50SASLeonard 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS)62
64
Q3 - 5:01HOUSUB: Prigioni FOR Terry60
64
Q3 - 5:01HOUDorsey Personal Block Foul (P2.T4)60
64
Q3 - 5:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
64
Q3 - 5:19HOUMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
64
Q3 - 5:39HOUROCKETS Rebound60
64
Q3 - 5:39SASMISS Ginobili 32' 3PT Jump Shot60
64
Q3 - 6:02HOUJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
64
Q3 - 6:02SASSUB: Mills FOR Parker60
63
Q3 - 6:02SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)60
63
Q3 - 6:02HOUROCKETS Rebound60
63
Q3 - 6:02HOUMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 260
63
Q3 - 6:02SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T3)60
63
Q3 - 6:14SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
63
Q3 - 6:14SASSpurs Rebound59
63
Q3 - 6:14SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 259
63
Q3 - 6:14HOUDorsey S.FOUL (P1.T3)59
63
Q3 - 6:33HOUJones Dunk (13 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)59
63
Q3 - 6:40SASSUB: Diaw FOR Baynes59
61
Q3 - 6:40SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Green59
61
Q3 - 6:40HOUSUB: Dorsey FOR Howard59
61
Q3 - 6:40SASBaynes P.FOUL (P4.T2)59
61
Q3 - 6:47SASLeonard 14' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)59
61
Q3 - 7:01HOUAriza 2' Layup (10 PTS)57
61
Q3 - 7:06HOUROCKETS Rebound57
59
Q3 - 7:06HOUMISS Harden 4' Driving Layup57
59
Q3 - 7:15HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)57
59
Q3 - 7:17SASMISS Parker 17' Pullup Jump Shot57
59
Q3 - 7:31HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
59
Q3 - 7:31HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
58
Q3 - 7:31SASBaynes S.FOUL (P3.T1)57
57
Q3 - 7:49SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)57
57
Q3 - 7:49SASSpurs Rebound56
57
Q3 - 7:49SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 256
57
Q3 - 7:49HOUJones S.FOUL (P3.T2)56
57
Q3 - 7:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
57
Q3 - 7:50SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot56
57
Q3 - 7:56SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
57
Q3 - 7:57HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
57
Q3 - 8:15SASLeonard 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
57
Q3 - 8:24HOUHoward 2' Layup (8 PTS)54
57
Q3 - 8:25HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
55
Q3 - 8:26HOUMISS Jones 1' Reverse Layup54
55
Q3 - 8:50SASBaynes Slam Dunk (8 PTS)54
55
Q3 - 8:51SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
55
Q3 - 8:52SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot52
55
Q3 - 9:04HOUJones 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS)52
55
Q3 - 9:25HOUHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending52
53
Q3 - 9:25SASParker 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)52
53
Q3 - 9:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
53
Q3 - 9:44HOUMISS Harden 18' Jump Shot50
53
Q3 - 9:55SASDuncan 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)50
53
Q3 - 10:15HOUJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)48
53
Q3 - 10:41SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Green 1 AST)48
50
Q3 - 11:03HOUJones 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
50
Q3 - 11:23SASAriza STEAL (1 STL)46
48
Q3 - 11:30SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
48
Q3 - 11:32HOUMISS Harden 1' Layup46
48
Q3 - 11:37SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)46
48
Q3 - 11:47HOUTerry P.FOUL (P2.T1)46
48
Q3 - 12:0046
48
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU46
48
Q2 - 0:00.0SASBaynes 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)46
48
Q2 - 0:19.0HOUTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)44
48
Q2 - 0:39.0SASLeonard 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)44
45
Q2 - 0:53.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
45
Q2 - 0:54.0SASMISS Green 12' Jump Shot42
45
Q2 - 1:04SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
45
Q2 - 1:05HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot42
45
Q2 - 1:18SASBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
45
Q2 - 1:18SASBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
45
Q2 - 1:18HOUJones P.FOUL (P2.PN)40
45
Q2 - 1:31HOUJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)40
45
Q2 - 1:35SASHarden STEAL (3 STL)40
45
Q2 - 1:37HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)40
45
Q2 - 1:57HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)40
45
Q2 - 1:58SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot40
45
Q2 - 2:23HOUHarden 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)40
45
Q2 - 2:29HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)40
42
Q2 - 2:30SASMISS Parker 20' Step Back Jump Shot40
42
Q2 - 2:52HOUJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)40
42
Q2 - 3:06HOUSUB: Jones FOR Dorsey40
42
Q2 - 3:06HOUSUB: Howard FOR Smith40
42
Q2 - 3:06SASSUB: Baynes FOR Bonner40
42
Q2 - 3:06HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)40
42
Q2 - 3:13SASDuncan 6' Turnaround Bank Shot (10 PTS)40
42
Q2 - 3:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
42
Q2 - 3:29HOUMISS Harden 1' Driving Layup38
42
Q2 - 3:46SASDuncan 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)38
42
Q2 - 4:07HOUTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)36
42
Q2 - 4:11HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
39
Q2 - 4:13SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup36
39
Q2 - 4:18SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
39
Q2 - 4:19HOUMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
39
Q2 - 4:31SASLeonard Violation:Jump Ball36
39
Q2 - 4:31HOUROCKETS Rebound36
39
Q2 - 4:31HOUJump Ball Dorsey vs. Leonard: Tip to36
39
Q2 - 4:33HOUMISS Smith 9' Running Hook Shot36
39
Q2 - 4:39HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
39
Q2 - 4:40HOUMISS Terry 22' Jump Shot36
39
Q2 - 4:58SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
39
Q2 - 4:58SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
39
Q2 - 4:58HOUHarden P.FOUL (P1.PN)34
39
Q2 - 4:58SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
39
Q2 - 5:01HOUMISS Harden 13' Step Back Jump Shot34
39
Q2 - 5:18SASDuncan 5' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)34
39
Q2 - 5:28HOUAriza P.FOUL (P2.T4)32
39
Q2 - 5:36SASSUB: Green FOR Belinelli32
39
Q2 - 5:36HOUSUB: Harden FOR Brewer32
39
Q2 - 5:3632
39
Q2 - 5:36HOUAriza Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)32
39
Q2 - 5:41HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
39
Q2 - 5:43SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup32
39
Q2 - 5:44SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
39
Q2 - 5:46SASMISS Leonard 2' Alley Oop Layup32
39
Q2 - 6:01HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
39
Q2 - 6:01HOUSUB: Dorsey FOR Jones32
38
Q2 - 6:01SASSUB: Duncan FOR Baynes32
38
Q2 - 6:01HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)32
38
Q2 - 6:01SASBonner S.FOUL (P1.T2)32
37
Q2 - 6:05HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
37
Q2 - 6:06SASMISS Belinelli 30' 3PT Jump Shot32
37
Q2 - 6:31HOUSmith Slam Dunk (6 PTS)32
37
Q2 - 6:34SASSmith STEAL (1 STL)32
35
Q2 - 6:42HOUSmith 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)32
35
Q2 - 6:53HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
33
Q2 - 6:55SASMISS Parker 12' Pullup Jump Shot32
33
Q2 - 7:10SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
33
Q2 - 7:12HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
33
Q2 - 7:17HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
33
Q2 - 7:19SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup32
33
Q2 - 7:24HOUBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)32
33
Q2 - 7:40SASBelinelli 21' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
33
Q2 - 7:53HOUSUB: Smith FOR Howard30
33
Q2 - 7:53SASSUB: Parker FOR Joseph30
33
Q2 - 7:53HOUJones L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)30
33
Q2 - 7:53SASSpurs Rebound30
33
Q2 - 7:53HOUMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot30
33
Q2 - 8:12HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
33
Q2 - 8:13SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot30
33
Q2 - 8:24HOUHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)30
33
Q2 - 8:43HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
33
Q2 - 8:43SASMISS Joseph Free Throw 2 of 230
33
Q2 - 8:43SASSUB: Baynes FOR Ayres30
33
Q2 - 8:43SASJoseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
33
Q2 - 8:43HOUTerry S.FOUL (P1.T2)29
33
Q2 - 9:01HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
33
Q2 - 9:01HOUSUB: Terry FOR Prigioni29
32
Q2 - 9:01HOUROCKETS Rebound29
32
Q2 - 9:01HOUMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 229
32
Q2 - 9:01SASLeonard S.FOUL (P1.T1)29
32
Q2 - 9:01HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
32
Q2 - 9:02HOUMISS Howard 7' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot29
32
Q2 - 9:23HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
32
Q2 - 9:24SASMISS Ayres 13' Jump Shot29
32
Q2 - 9:49HOUSUB: Ariza FOR Johnson29
32
Q2 - 9:49SASSUB: Leonard FOR Ginobili29
32
Q2 - 9:49SASSUB: Bonner FOR Diaw29
32
Q2 - 9:49SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)29
32
Q2 - 9:49HOUJones 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)29
32
Q2 - 10:07SASAyres 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)29
30
Q2 - 10:16SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
30
Q2 - 10:17HOUMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot27
30
Q2 - 10:28HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
30
Q2 - 10:30SASMISS Diaw 7' Hook Shot27
30
Q2 - 10:46HOUBrewer Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)27
30
Q2 - 10:58SASGinobili 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
30
Q2 - 11:16HOUJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
30
Q2 - 11:32SASDiaw 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)25
30
Q2 - 11:46HOUBrewer P.FOUL (P1.T1)23
30
Q2 - 12:0023
30
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU23
30
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
30
Q1 - 0:02.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot23
30
Q1 - 0:10.0HOUHarden 17' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
30
Q1 - 0:30.0SASDiaw 9' Fadeaway Bank Shot (4 PTS)23
28
Q1 - 0:49.0SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
28
Q1 - 0:49.0HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 221
28
Q1 - 0:49.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
28
Q1 - 0:49.0SASAyres S.FOUL (P2.PN)21
27
Q1 - 0:58.0SASGinobili 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)21
27
Q1 - 1:01SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
27
Q1 - 1:03SASSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)19
27
Q1 - 1:15SASAyres REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
27
Q1 - 1:16HOUMISS Brewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
27
Q1 - 1:29SASJoseph 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)19
27
Q1 - 1:42HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
27
Q1 - 1:55SASBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)17
27
Q1 - 2:08HOUSmith Personal Block Foul (P2.T4)14
27
Q1 - 2:15SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
27
Q1 - 2:17SASMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
27
Q1 - 2:43HOUBrewer 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)14
27
Q1 - 2:54HOUSUB: Johnson FOR Ariza14
25
Q1 - 2:54SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)14
25
Q1 - 2:54SASJoseph Foul Turnover (P1.T4)14
25
Q1 - 2:54SASJoseph Offensive Charge Foul (P1.PN)14
25
Q1 - 2:58SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
25
Q1 - 3:00HOUMISS Brewer 5' Hook Shot14
25
Q1 - 3:27SASAyres 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)14
25
Q1 - 3:42HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
25
Q1 - 3:42HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
24
Q1 - 3:42SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.PN)12
23
Q1 - 3:44SASHarden STEAL (2 STL)12
23
Q1 - 4:01HOUSmith 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)12
23
Q1 - 4:08SASSUB: Belinelli FOR Leonard12
21
Q1 - 4:15SASLeonard 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
21
Q1 - 4:31HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
21
Q1 - 4:31SASSUB: Joseph FOR Parker10
20
Q1 - 4:31HOUROCKETS Rebound10
20
Q1 - 4:31HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 210
20
Q1 - 4:31SASAyres Shooting Block Foul (P1.PN)10
20
Q1 - 4:41SASDiaw 3' Layup (2 PTS)10
20
Q1 - 4:51HOUSUB: Brewer FOR Jones8
20
Q1 - 4:51HOUSmith P.FOUL (P1.T3)8
20
Q1 - 5:04HOUJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
20
Q1 - 5:04SASSUB: Ayres FOR Duncan8
19
Q1 - 5:04HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
19
Q1 - 5:04SASDiaw S.FOUL (P1.PN)8
18
Q1 - 5:19SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)8
18
Q1 - 5:41HOUSUB: Smith FOR Howard6
18
Q1 - 5:41HOU6
18
Q1 - 5:41HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)6
18
Q1 - 5:41HOUJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
18
Q1 - 5:42HOUJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)6
18
Q1 - 5:44SASMISS Ginobili 15' Running Jump Shot6
18
Q1 - 6:05SASSpurs Rebound6
18
Q1 - 6:05HOUFree Throw 2 of 26
18
Q1 - 6:05HOUSUB: Prigioni FOR Terry6
18
Q1 - 6:05SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Green6
18
Q1 - 6:05HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)6
18
Q1 - 6:05SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T4)6
17
Q1 - 6:18SASDuncan 8' Fadeaway Bank Shot (4 PTS)6
17
Q1 - 6:37HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)4
17
Q1 - 6:37HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)4
16
Q1 - 6:37SASGreen S.FOUL (P1.T3)4
15
Q1 - 6:38HOUJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)4
15
Q1 - 6:41HOUMISS Jones 2' Layup4
15
Q1 - 6:42HOUJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
15
Q1 - 6:44HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
15
Q1 - 6:44HOUMISS Jones 2' Tip Shot4
15
Q1 - 6:45HOUMISS Harden 1' Layup4
15
Q1 - 6:56HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15
Q1 - 6:58SASHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)4
15
Q1 - 7:10HOUHarden 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
15
Q1 - 7:31SASDuncan Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
13
Q1 - 7:43SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13
Q1 - 7:43HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 22
13
Q1 - 7:43SASSpurs Violation: Delay of game Violation2
13
Q1 - 7:43SASSUB: Diaw FOR Baynes2
13
Q1 - 7:43HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
13
Q1 - 7:43SASBaynes S.FOUL (P2.T2)2
12
Q1 - 7:48SASHarden STEAL (1 STL)2
12
Q1 - 7:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12
Q1 - 7:56HOUMISS Terry 8' Jump Bank Shot2
12
Q1 - 8:20SASBaynes 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
12
Q1 - 8:38HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)0
12
Q1 - 8:57HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
9
Q1 - 8:58SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
9
Q1 - 9:03SASSpurs Rebound0
9
Q1 - 9:03SASTerry BLOCK (1 BLK)0
9
Q1 - 9:08HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
9
Q1 - 9:24SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
9
Q1 - 9:41HOUAriza P.FOUL (P1.T2)0
9
Q1 - 9:52HOUAriza Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)0
9
Q1 - 9:55HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
7
Q1 - 9:56SASMISS Parker 9' Running Hook Shot0
7
Q1 - 10:11SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
7
Q1 - 10:13SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot0
7
Q1 - 10:35HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
7
Q1 - 10:35SASBaynes S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
6
Q1 - 10:35HOUAriza 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)0
6
Q1 - 10:41HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 10:42SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 10:49HOUHoward P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
4
Q1 - 11:07HOUTerry 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
4
Q1 - 11:15HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:16SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)0
2
Q1 - 11:40HOUHoward 7' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Howard vs. Duncan: Tip to Terry0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.07 53.6%
HOU
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
17
28
61%
HOU
14
27
52%
Midrange
SAS
20
40
50%
HOU
8
18
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
HOU
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
Free Throws
SAS
18
24
75%
HOU
33
53
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2976%14.5 / 19
K. Leonard1847%9.0 / 19
P. Mills14140%7.0 / 5
A. Baynes1393%6.5 / 7
B. Diaw1036%5.0 / 14
M. Ginobili643%3.0 / 7
M. Belinelli563%2.5 / 4
J. Ayres467%2.0 / 3
C. Joseph375%1.5 / 2
T. Parker214%1.0 / 7
D. Green0-0.0 / 7
M. Bonner0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2045%10.0 / 22
T. Ariza19136%9.5 / 7
J. Harden1636%8.0 / 22
T. Jones1464%7.0 / 11
D. Howard1267%6.0 / 9
C. Brewer1161%5.5 / 9
J. Terry956%4.5 / 8
P. Prigioni2100%1.0 / 1
N. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
81
+14
-15
95
HOU
77
+14
-20
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.07 53.6%
HOU
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.5
107.0
SAS 108.3 +1.1
HOU 107.2
Pace
93.9
96.6
SAS 89.2
HOU 104.9 +15.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.6
SAS 16.1
HOU 13.7 −2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
51.2%
SAS 50.6%
HOU 53.8% +3.2%
TO %
14.2%
16.4%
SAS 14.3% −4.0%
HOU 18.3%
ORB %
23.4%
26.8%
SAS 30.2% +5.2%
HOU 25.0%
FTrt
25.6
31.2
SAS 28.2
HOU 80.3 +52.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
60.0%
SAS 56.1%
HOU 61.3% +5.2%
STL %
8.5%
9.8%
SAS 12.5% +3.2%
HOU 9.3%
BLK %
8.4%
8.0%
SAS 6.7%
HOU 7.4% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.0%
53.3%
SAS 53.6%
HOU 55.9% +2.3%
Rim FG%
59.6%
58.0%
SAS 60.7% +8.8%
HOU 51.9%
Mid FG%
42.1%
37.1%
SAS 50.0% +5.6%
HOU 44.4%
3P %
36.7%
34.8%
SAS 23.5%
HOU 42.9% +19.4%
FT %
78.0%
71.5%
SAS 75.0% +12.7%
HOU 62.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.3%
39.2%
SAS 32.9%
HOU 40.9% +8.0%
Mid Att. %
37.8%
21.6%
SAS 47.1%
HOU 27.3% −19.8%
3P Att. %
26.9%
39.2%
SAS 20.0%
HOU 31.8% +11.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points104104
Rebounds4039
Assists2319
Steals129
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)30 (3)
Field Goals41-8531-66
At-the-Rim FG17-2814-27
Midrange FG20-408-18
2-Point FG37-6822-45
3-Point FG4-179-21
Free Throws18-2433-53
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 225 · 24
39.2
18
47%
9
2
4
0
1
2
1
8
4-4
100%
7-15
47%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 39
34.2
29
76%
10
2
1
3
3
4
4
6
5-8
63%
12-15
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
27.9
2
14%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 28
24.0
0
0%
2
4
1
0
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-5
0%
C · 6'10" 260 · 28
18.2
13
93%
4
1
1
0
1
6
3
1
3-4
75%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33
25.8
10
36%
5
4
0
0
0
5
3
2
2-2
100%
4-12
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 38
21.2
6
43%
2
4
2
0
4
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29
14.4
5
63%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 185 · 27
11.5
14
140%
1
2
1
0
3
5
0
1
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
G · 6'2" 200 · 24
8.6
3
75%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28
8.3
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 205 · 29
#1 · F-G · 6'8" 230 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
54%
40
23
12
3
15
0
13
27
18-24
75%
37-68
54%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.