Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Mavericks	66%	108	144	119.0	121	101.2
	25	Nuggets	34%	104	143	119.2	120	98.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 37	37.6	25	60%	9	4	1	3	2	2	0	9	5-5	100%	10-16	63%	0-3	0%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 29	37.2	19	53%	0	5	0	0	5	2	0	0	1-2	50%	9-16	56%	0-1	0%
Richard Jefferson F · 6'7" 233 · 35	31.4	24	71%	4	2	0	0	2	4	0	4	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	4-8	50%
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 33	30.9	6	100%	11	1	0	1	3	4	3	8	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 31	29.9	13	54%	4	5	2	1	1	1	0	4	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%

Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 32	29.4	21	88%	2	9	3	0	2	0	0	2	4-6	67%	4-6	67%	3-3	100%
Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 25	28.8	10	45%	9	1	0	1	1	2	7	2	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Amar'e Stoudemire F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32	21.8	15	75%	4	0	1	0	0	2	0	4	3-4	75%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 31	19.8	5	50%	2	9	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 31	18.2	6	30%	3	3	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-8	25%
Bernard James C · 6'10" 235 · 30	5.0	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dwight Powell F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Smith C · 6'10" 250 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Rajon Rondo #9 · G · 6'1" 186 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
Chandler Parsons #25 · F · 6'10" 230 · 26	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	144	59%	49	39	8	6	17	0	11	38	19-24	79%	46-80	57%	11-29	38%

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8 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 37	37.6	25	60%	9	4	1	3	2	2	0	9	5-5	100%	10-16	63%	0-3	0%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 29	37.2	19	53%	0	5	0	0	5	2	0	0	1-2	50%	9-16	56%	0-1	0%
Richard Jefferson F · 6'7" 233 · 35	31.4	24	71%	4	2	0	0	2	4	0	4	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	4-8	50%
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 33	30.9	6	100%	11	1	0	1	3	4	3	8	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 31	29.9	13	54%	4	5	2	1	1	1	0	4	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%

Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 32	29.4	21	88%	2	9	3	0	2	0	0	2	4-6	67%	4-6	67%	3-3	100%
Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 25	28.8	10	45%	9	1	0	1	1	2	7	2	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Amar'e Stoudemire F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32	21.8	15	75%	4	0	1	0	0	2	0	4	3-4	75%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 31	19.8	5	50%	2	9	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 31	18.2	6	30%	3	3	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-8	25%
Bernard James C · 6'10" 235 · 30	5.0	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dwight Powell F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Smith C · 6'10" 250 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Rajon Rondo #9 · G · 6'1" 186 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
Chandler Parsons #25 · F · 6'10" 230 · 26	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	144	59%	49	39	8	6	17	0	11	38	19-24	79%	46-80	57%	11-29	38%

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25 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	52.2	19	43%	5	18	0	0	2	0	0	5	2-2	100%	7-18	39%	1-3	33%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	48.7	20	45%	11	2	1	0	3	3	6	5	0-0	-	7-13	54%	2-9	22%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 32	47.1	17	47%	5	4	5	0	3	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	5-13	38%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 27	45.8	47	84%	9	2	1	1	0	4	2	7	10-10	100%	8-11	73%	7-12	58%
Kenneth Faried C · 6'8" 228 · 25	32.1	14	54%	9	1	1	0	3	5	5	4	2-3	67%	6-12	50%	0-0	-

JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27	20.3	14	54%	12	0	0	0	2	2	7	5	4-6	67%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 21	14.5	8	40%	7	1	1	0	2	5	5	2	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24	10.3	2	25%	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 21	9.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	8.8	2	20%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Joffrey Lauvergne C · 6'11" 260 · 24	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Ian Clark G · 6'3" 175 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jameer Nelson #28 · G · 6'0" 190 · 33	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	143	51%	61	29	10	1	15	0	27	34	22-25	88%	38-82	46%	15-43	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.17 58.5%

DEN

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

31

45

69%

DEN

23

46

50%

Midrange

DAL

15

35

43%

DEN

15

36

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

11

16.5

29

38%

57%

DEN

15

22.5

43

35%

52%

Free Throws

DAL

19

24

79%

DEN

22

25

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki	25	60%	12.5 / 21
R. Jefferson	24	71%	12.0 / 17
D. Harris	21	88%	10.5 / 12
M. Ellis	19	53%	9.5 / 18
A. Stoudemire	15	75%	7.5 / 10
R. Felton	13	54%	6.5 / 12
A. Aminu	10	45%	5.0 / 11
T. Chandler	6	100%	3.0 / 3
C. Villanueva	6	30%	3.0 / 10
J. Barea	5	50%	2.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari	47	84%	23.5 / 28
W. Chandler	20	45%	10.0 / 22
T. Lawson	19	43%	9.5 / 22
R. Foye	17	47%	8.5 / 18
K. Faried	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Hickson	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Nurkić	8	40%	4.0 / 10
W. Barton	2	25%	1.0 / 4
E. Green	2	20%	1.0 / 5
G. Harris	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 109.3 18 104.8	DAL 119.0 DEN 119.2 +0.2
Pace	8 95.4 4 95.9	DAL 101.2 +2.9 DEN 98.3
Avg. Poss. Time	18 15.1 28 14.4	DAL 14.2 −0.4 DEN 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 51.5% 25 47.9%	DAL 57.3% +8.9% DEN 48.4%
TO %	3 13.0% 15 14.3%	DAL 12.4% DEN 9.9% −2.5%
ORB %	24 23.6% 10 26.5%	DAL 24.4% DEN 41.5% +17.1%
FTrt	19 26.2 12 27.8	DAL 22.0 +2.0 DEN 20.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 56.7% 17 57.7%	DAL 68.4% +13.7% DEN 54.7%
STL %	13 8.4% 17 8.0%	DAL 6.6% DEN 8.3% +1.7%
BLK %	17 7.6% 22 7.2%	DAL 7.3% +6.0% DEN 1.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 53.7% 24 50.7%	DAL 58.5% +7.1% DEN 51.4%
Rim FG%	4 60.3% 22 56.1%	DAL 68.9% +18.9% DEN 50.0%
Mid FG%	5 41.5% 24 37.9%	DAL 42.9% +1.2% DEN 41.7%
3P %	13 35.2% 28 32.5%	DAL 37.9% +3.0% DEN 34.9%
FT %	16 75.2% 24 73.5%	DAL 79.2% DEN 88.0% +8.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 35.3% 10 38.2%	DAL 41.3% +4.5% DEN 36.8%
Mid Att. %	12 35.1% 6 33.4%	DAL 32.1% DEN 28.8% −3.3%
3P Att. %	9 29.6% 12 28.4%	DAL 26.6% DEN 34.4% +7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	DEN
Possessions	121	120
Possession Minutes	28.7	29.3
Points	144	143
Rebounds	49	61
Assists	39	29
Steals	8	10
Blocks	6	1
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (7)	27 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (2)	34 (2)
Field Goals	57-109	53-125
At-the-Rim FG	31-45	23-46
Midrange FG	15-35	15-36
2-Point FG	46-80	38-82
3-Point FG	11-29	15-43
Free Throws	19-24	22-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg