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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 10, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Mavericks
144
24Nuggets
143
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.8
38
28
25
9
4
1
1
3
2
0
9
5-5
100%
10-16
5-9
63%
50%
0-3
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.5
37
33
19
0
5
0
2
0
5
0
0
1-2
50%
9-16
6-13
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.8
31
21
24
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
48%
4-8
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.5
31
29
6
11
1
0
1
1
3
3
8
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
62%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.8
30
4
13
4
5
2
0
1
1
0
4
0-1
0%
5-9
0-1
56%
45%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.1
29
20
21
2
9
3
1
0
2
0
2
4-6
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
3-3
100%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.6
29
23
10
9
1
0
1
1
1
7
2
0-0
-
5-11
2-4
45%
50%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.4
22
15
15
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
6-8
3-6
75%
55%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.8
20
17
5
2
9
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.6
18
11
6
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
2-8
25%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.7
4
0
0-1
52%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.3
3
0
0-0
60%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.1
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.4
52
29
19
5
18
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
7-18
4-8
39%
48%
1-3
33%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.9
49
28
20
11
2
1
1
0
3
6
5
0-0
-
7-13
3-6
54%
49%
2-9
22%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.5
47
26
17
5
4
5
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
5-13
38%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.7
46
27
47
9
2
1
1
1
0
2
7
10-10
100%
8-11
3-6
73%
46%
7-12
58%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.4
32
28
14
9
1
1
1
0
3
5
4
2-3
67%
6-12
5-10
50%
53%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.6
20
18
14
12
0
0
0
0
2
7
5
4-6
67%
5-10
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.6
14
14
8
7
1
1
1
0
2
5
2
4-4
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.3
10
22
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.6
10
16
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.9
9
12
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.5
0
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
5
0
1-1
46%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.1
4
0
0-1
43%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.