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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 10, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies45%9289
16Jazz55%9488
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.7
38
29
14
10
2
2
1
0
2
2
8
4-6
67%
5-13
5-10
38%
48%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.2
37
30
22
7
6
0
1
1
1
1
6
4-6
67%
9-17
6-11
53%
49%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
36
31
12
4
3
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-4
50%
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
0-3
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
35
18
20
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
7-11
2-5
64%
51%
2-2
100%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.5
34
28
15
3
1
3
1
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
49%
2-3
67%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.2
18
10
0
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.2
15
18
4
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.1
14
16
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.9
5
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.0
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.8
4
8
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.3
7
0
1-2
49%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 24.8
6
0
1-1
49%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.5
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.0
38
25
27
7
3
2
1
0
2
1
6
9-12
75%
6-12
3-7
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 22.5
37
28
18
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
3-7
43%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 22.8
36
31
14
14
2
0
1
3
3
7
7
0-0
-
7-11
4-6
64%
59%
0-0
-
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 19.7
33
30
3
0
5
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
1-4
25%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 23.7
31
23
5
10
1
1
1
0
2
1
9
1-2
50%
2-10
5-10
20%
53%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 27.5
17
21
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Bryce Cotton
G · 6'1" 165 · 22.7
15
6
11
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-3
33%
2-3
0-1
67%
41%
2-2
100%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.4
15
26
0
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 27.5
10
9
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
1-1
100%
Elijah Millsap
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.7
4
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Jack Cooley
C · 6'10" 274 · 24.0
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 24.9
14
1
1-1
50%
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.8
2
0
0-0
48%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 23.7
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.