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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 12, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Mavericks64%107120
26Lakers36%102106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.5
30
31
4
1
5
1
2
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
6-12
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.1
30
26
11
8
11
1
1
0
3
1
7
2-2
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
49%
1-1
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.8
29
29
16
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.5
27
27
20
9
1
0
1
2
0
2
7
2-4
50%
9-10
3-5
90%
63%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.8
27
23
17
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
7-9
78%
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
2-4
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.6
26
23
10
10
1
1
1
0
2
2
8
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
1-2
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.6
20
13
14
4
1
2
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
49%
3-6
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.8
18
17
9
0
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.8
18
14
15
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-8
2-3
75%
46%
1-2
50%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
12
4
4
1
0
0
0
4
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
53%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.7
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.3
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
62%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.4
16
0
4-7
56%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.1
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jabari Brown
G · 6'5" 214 · 22.3
42
31
18
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
8-9
89%
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
2-6
33%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 22.8
39
34
26
1
6
2
1
1
4
0
1
5-5
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
49%
3-6
50%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
39
33
10
2
6
1
1
1
1
0
2
6-7
86%
2-5
2-5
40%
42%
0-5
0%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
33
23
10
19
0
1
0
1
3
3
16
4-6
67%
3-5
3-6
60%
55%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.8
20
34
16
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
47%
4-5
80%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.1
24
21
10
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
44%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.9
23
20
11
5
2
0
0
1
1
2
3
3-5
60%
4-7
3-5
57%
58%
0-0
-
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.8
19
17
5
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.6
12
0
2-4
47%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.4
9
0
1-2
45%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 27.7
7
0
2-3
49%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 33.4
7
0
1-3
49%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.9
6
0
1-2
44%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.8
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 20.4
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 36.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.