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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 13, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Knicks20%93112
9Hawks80%104108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.1
36
26
20
9
5
0
0
2
2
2
7
5-5
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
46%
1-2
50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.1
36
26
23
2
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-3
67%
6-8
2-6
75%
45%
3-9
33%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.0
33
29
7
4
3
2
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
43%
1-3
33%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.3
32
34
26
5
6
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
4-9
67%
42%
6-6
100%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 26.4
10
16
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.5
26
22
12
4
3
0
1
1
2
1
3
1-1
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
1-2
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.3
24
19
8
5
3
2
1
3
1
2
3
2-6
33%
3-4
2-5
75%
43%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.5
22
29
9
3
7
2
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
4-6
3-5
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.0
12
10
5
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.6
8
13
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.5
13
0
2-5
46%
Travis Wear
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
5
0
1-1
43%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 26.3
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.5
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.1
34
19
19
5
3
0
0
0
1
1
4
7-7
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
4-9
44%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.8
34
17
19
5
9
2
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
6-15
3-5
40%
52%
1-2
50%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.7
33
19
16
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
4-6
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
58%
2-6
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.9
33
19
18
6
1
2
1
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
9-17
4-8
53%
57%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.8
25
25
2
3
3
1
1
2
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
4-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.7
22
26
5
6
2
3
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
56%
1-4
25%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.1
17
13
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.8
16
22
10
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
3-4
75%
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.0
16
20
12
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
2-4
50%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
10
19
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-3
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.6
22
1
4-8
48%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.7
15
0
1-2
51%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.9
15
0
1-3
44%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.2
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.