Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Knicks	17%	92	112	120.4	93	87.3
	14	Hawks	83%	102	108	117.4	92	98.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jason Smith F · 7'0" 240 · 29	36.4	20	67%	9	5	0	2	2	2	2	7	5-5	100%	6-11	55%	1-2	50%
Tim Hardaway Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 23	35.8	23	64%	2	5	0	1	1	3	0	2	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	3-9	33%
Lance Thomas F · 6'8" 235 · 27	33.2	7	32%	4	3	2	0	2	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Langston Galloway G · 6'2" 200 · 23	32.4	26	108%	5	6	1	0	3	3	0	5	0-0	-	4-6	67%	6-6	100%
Cole Aldrich C · 6'11" 253 · 26	9.9	2	100%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 25	25.9	12	86%	4	3	0	1	2	2	1	3	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Lou Amundson F · 6'9" 220 · 32	23.8	8	57%	5	3	2	3	1	3	2	3	2-6	33%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Shane Larkin G · 5'11" 175 · 23	22.1	9	56%	3	7	2	0	3	1	0	3	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Cleanthony Early F · 6'8" 210 · 24	12.4	5	50%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Ricky Ledo G · 6'7" 195 · 23	8.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Andrea Bargnani C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29	NWT - Illness
Travis Wear F · 6'10" 225 · 25	NWT - Sore Back
Alexey Shved #1 · G · 6'6" 187 · 26	Inactive · INACTIVE
Jose Calderon #3 · G · 6'3" 200 · 34	Inactive · INACTIVE
Carmelo Anthony #7 · F · 6'8" 240 · 31	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	64%	39	33	7	7	17	0	9	30	13-19	68%	30-52	58%	13-25	52%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jason Smith F · 7'0" 240 · 29	36.4	20	67%	9	5	0	2	2	2	2	7	5-5	100%	6-11	55%	1-2	50%
Tim Hardaway Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 23	35.8	23	64%	2	5	0	1	1	3	0	2	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	3-9	33%
Lance Thomas F · 6'8" 235 · 27	33.2	7	32%	4	3	2	0	2	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Langston Galloway G · 6'2" 200 · 23	32.4	26	108%	5	6	1	0	3	3	0	5	0-0	-	4-6	67%	6-6	100%
Cole Aldrich C · 6'11" 253 · 26	9.9	2	100%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 25	25.9	12	86%	4	3	0	1	2	2	1	3	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Lou Amundson F · 6'9" 220 · 32	23.8	8	57%	5	3	2	3	1	3	2	3	2-6	33%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Shane Larkin G · 5'11" 175 · 23	22.1	9	56%	3	7	2	0	3	1	0	3	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Cleanthony Early F · 6'8" 210 · 24	12.4	5	50%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Ricky Ledo G · 6'7" 195 · 23	8.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Andrea Bargnani C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29	NWT - Illness
Travis Wear F · 6'10" 225 · 25	NWT - Sore Back
Alexey Shved #1 · G · 6'6" 187 · 26	Inactive · INACTIVE
Jose Calderon #3 · G · 6'3" 200 · 34	Inactive · INACTIVE
Carmelo Anthony #7 · F · 6'8" 240 · 31	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	64%	39	33	7	7	17	0	9	30	13-19	68%	30-52	58%	13-25	52%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 34	34.2	19	79%	5	3	0	0	1	2	1	4	7-7	100%	0-1	0%	4-9	44%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 27	34.0	19	50%	5	9	2	0	2	1	1	4	4-4	100%	6-15	40%	1-2	50%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 29	33.5	16	57%	4	3	1	0	1	2	2	2	4-6	67%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Al Horford F · 6'8" 240 · 29	33.0	18	53%	6	1	2	1	2	3	3	3	0-0	-	9-17	53%	0-0	-
Mike Muscala C · 6'11" 240 · 24	24.5	2	50%	3	3	1	2	0	5	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 27	21.8	5	42%	6	2	3	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 36	16.7	4	67%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kent Bazemore G · 6'5" 201 · 26	16.4	10	50%	6	1	0	0	0	3	1	5	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 25	16.0	12	60%	0	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 24	9.9	3	30%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 22	DND - Rest
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 33	NWT - Illness
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Paul Millsap #4 · F · 6'8" 246 · 30	Inactive · INACTIVE
Thabo Sefolosha #25 · F · 6'7" 220 · 31	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	54%	37	27	10	3	8	0	12	25	19-23	83%	28-56	50%	11-32	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NYK	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	NYK	ATL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

NYK

1.27 63.6%

ATL

1.08 54.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NYK

11

18

61%

ATL

12

24

50%

Midrange

NYK

19

34

56%

ATL

16

32

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NYK

13

19.5

25

52%

78%

ATL

11

16.5

32

34%

52%

Free Throws

NYK

13

19

68%

ATL

19

23

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Galloway	26	108%	13.0 / 12
T. Hardaway	23	64%	11.5 / 18
J. Smith	20	67%	10.0 / 15
Q. Acy	12	86%	6.0 / 7
S. Larkin	9	56%	4.5 / 8
L. Amundson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
L. Thomas	7	32%	3.5 / 11
C. Early	5	50%	2.5 / 5
C. Aldrich	2	100%	1.0 / 1
R. Ledo	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Korver	19	79%	9.5 / 12
J. Teague	19	50%	9.5 / 19
A. Horford	18	53%	9.0 / 17
D. Carroll	16	57%	8.0 / 14
S. Mack	12	60%	6.0 / 10
K. Bazemore	10	50%	5.0 / 10
M. Scott	5	42%	2.5 / 6
E. Brand	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Jenkins	3	30%	1.5 / 5
M. Muscala	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 99.8 6 108.9	NYK 120.4 +3.0 ATL 117.4
Pace	27 91.3 12 94.0	NYK 87.3 ATL 98.4 +11.1
Avg. Poss. Time	4 16.2 17 15.1	NYK 16.5 ATL 14.6 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 47.0% 3 52.7%	NYK 64.3% +13.7% ATL 50.6%
TO %	21 15.0% 16 14.3%	NYK 17.4% ATL 7.5% −9.9%
ORB %	18 24.5% 30 21.4%	NYK 26.5% ATL 28.6% +2.1%
FTrt	27 23.4 21 25.9	NYK 24.7 ATL 26.1 +1.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 60.6% 1 67.6%	NYK 76.7% +7.5% ATL 69.2%
STL %	21 7.6% 4 9.6%	NYK 7.5% ATL 10.9% +3.4%
BLK %	13 8.0% 11 8.1%	NYK 12.5% +6.7% ATL 5.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 49.2% 3 54.7%	NYK 63.6% +9.6% ATL 54.0%
Rim FG%	28 53.5% 12 58.1%	NYK 61.1% +11.1% ATL 50.0%
Mid FG%	18 39.8% 2 42.2%	NYK 55.9% +5.9% ATL 50.0%
3P %	15 34.7% 2 38.0%	NYK 52.0% +17.6% ATL 34.4%
FT %	8 76.9% 5 77.8%	NYK 68.4% ATL 82.6% +14.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 31.2% 14 36.1%	NYK 23.4% ATL 27.3% +3.9%
Mid Att. %	27 44.8% 5 31.8%	NYK 44.2% ATL 36.4% −7.8%
3P Att. %	21 24.0% 4 32.1%	NYK 32.5% ATL 36.4% +3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NYK	ATL
Possessions	93	92
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	112	108
Rebounds	39	37
Assists	33	27
Steals	7	10
Blocks	7	3
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (6)	25 (2)
Field Goals	43-77	39-88
At-the-Rim FG	11-18	12-24
Midrange FG	19-34	16-32
2-Point FG	30-52	28-56
3-Point FG	13-25	11-32
Free Throws	13-19	19-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg