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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 13, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Grizzlies20%95107
1Warriors80%106111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
25.3
26.0
7
28%
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
3-12
4-7
25%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
21.8
34.1
4
33%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.5
21.1
31.9
9
45%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
1-3
33%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.7
21.0
33.7
10
57%
5
4
1
1
0
2
4
1
4-4
100%
3-7
6-13
43%
46%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.2
20.8
24.4
6
38%
2
4
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-2
0%
3-7
5-10
43%
48%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 24.8
24.3
9.4
10
85%
8
0
2
0
1
3
4
4
2-2
100%
4-4
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.1
21.4
16.2
8
40%
7
0
0
0
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
4-10
2-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.8
21.2
7.0
19
53%
2
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
5-7
71%
4-10
1-2
40%
42%
2-5
40%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.2
19.0
17.6
7
51%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
40%
1-3
33%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.2
16.3
17.6
2
14%
2
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
46%
0-0
-
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.0
10.3
3.6
16
78%
2
4
1
0
0
2
0
2
5-5
100%
4-6
0-1
67%
39%
1-2
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.9
8.8
5.1
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.3
8.8
4.4
7
72%
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
1-1
75%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.5
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
30.0
32.5
42
97%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
7-10
5-10
70%
48%
8-10
80%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.1
29.3
32.7
15
75%
4
8
1
2
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
4-8
75%
52%
3-6
50%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
27.1
32.2
5
63%
9
4
1
2
0
3
0
9
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.9
22.8
27.0
2
17%
2
2
2
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.4
16.5
25.1
6
75%
7
3
0
1
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
55%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.6
24.0
16.7
6
63%
1
2
2
1
0
3
0
1
2-4
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.2
20.4
27.2
2
33%
0
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.5
18.3
9.3
9
63%
5
1
0
0
3
1
1
4
3-5
60%
3-5
1-2
60%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.4
14.5
18.8
9
56%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.0
14.1
8.3
3
52%
2
0
0
0
0
4
2
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.7
12.8
9.6
4
29%
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.0
6.4
10.8
6
53%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.8
3.9
4.7
2
57%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.3
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.