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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 14, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Raptors45%10693
10Celtics55%10895
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 29.1
34.6
26.6
16
37%
6
4
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-4
50%
4-16
3-6
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 28.2
32.3
26.8
11
79%
5
7
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
3-6
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.9
29.4
19.6
10
51%
8
0
1
0
2
4
2
6
2-4
50%
4-8
4-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 24.2
27.7
20.7
12
46%
3
0
2
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
2-6
33%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 29.4
23.4
29.5
0
0%
6
0
2
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.5
30.6
27.0
16
45%
5
3
1
1
1
4
1
4
10-11
91%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
0-4
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.1
27.1
29.4
10
67%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-1
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
53%
2-3
67%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.1
19.1
10.0
10
83%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-5
2-3
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.0
15.8
11.0
8
80%
8
2
1
0
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
58%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
34.9
1
7-15
45%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31.8
10.9
0
1-2
45%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
2.7
0
0-1
48%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.5
2.3
0
0-0
53%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 22.7
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 19.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
31.3
28.4
14
50%
7
9
1
1
1
7
1
6
0-0
-
7-14
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.1
30.5
30.1
9
38%
5
3
1
2
2
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
45%
1-4
25%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
28.3
21.9
13
49%
9
1
0
0
0
0
4
5
5-5
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.2
26.4
19.2
12
51%
8
1
0
0
1
0
4
4
2-2
100%
5-11
4-7
45%
55%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.4
21.3
29.3
14
57%
3
2
0
1
1
3
0
3
3-3
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
48%
1-5
20%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.2
27.2
22.9
11
42%
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
3-8
38%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.8
20.8
24.7
9
48%
4
0
2
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
51%
0-4
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.1
16.6
16.8
4
40%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.1
14.0
16.5
4
41%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.0
12.8
16.7
3
38%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
54%
1-2
50%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.4
5.7
6.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 24.2
5.2
6.2
2
26%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.7
3.8
0
0-1
51%
Chris Babb
G · 6'5" 225 · 25.2
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.