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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 15, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Pacers45%9683
17Grizzlies55%9795
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.9
38.3
35.1
20
63%
5
6
2
1
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
7-10
4-9
70%
49%
2-6
33%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.1
33.3
30.6
26
58%
2
0
2
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
44%
5-12
42%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.6
28.2
27.9
4
29%
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 28.3
25.4
26.2
7
72%
4
1
1
0
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-4
4-10
75%
44%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.1
21.4
20.2
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.0
28.1
26.7
11
37%
3
4
2
1
1
1
2
1
4-4
100%
2-10
4-8
20%
44%
1-3
33%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 35.0
19.2
16.6
7
53%
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
4
3-6
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.4
17.1
16.7
6
75%
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.0
15.0
16.0
2
20%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.2
8.1
10.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 26.2
5.1
8.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 28.8
0.8
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.0
8.0
0
1-1
44%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 31.1
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.2
37.7
23.0
33
72%
13
0
2
1
1
1
5
8
7-9
78%
13-19
4-9
68%
51%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.7
35.3
28.5
18
65%
9
0
0
1
0
3
1
8
4-4
100%
7-12
5-11
58%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
34.5
28.7
14
48%
2
3
1
1
1
4
2
0
1-1
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.5
25.6
27.3
8
59%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-4
3-5
25%
50%
1-1
100%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
16.2
25.1
2
33%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.2
31.8
17.1
8
46%
6
6
4
1
0
2
3
3
2-4
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.8
23.3
12.6
6
43%
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
47%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.2
19.1
17.9
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-4
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.1
15.7
18.2
6
63%
9
0
0
0
0
0
3
6
4-4
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 24.8
0.8
15.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.9
7.1
0
1-2
50%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.3
6.8
0
1-2
51%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.0
6.5
0
1-1
45%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.5
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.