Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Nuggets	6%	100	126	118.9	106	102.2
	2	Warriors	94%	116	133	125.5	106	110.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 21	32.6	11	69%	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 21	30.1	17	57%	9	2	1	1	5	5	3	6	3-5	60%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 27	23.3	18	69%	5	2	1	0	0	1	1	4	6-7	86%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	22.6	18	64%	4	0	1	0	3	1	0	4	3-4	75%	6-7	86%	1-6	17%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	17.6	4	33%	0	8	0	0	4	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	27.0	17	65%	4	7	1	0	1	1	1	3	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	2-3	67%
Joffrey Lauvergne C · 6'11" 260 · 24	23.2	11	79%	7	3	1	0	1	6	2	5	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24	21.4	16	73%	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	4	4-4	100%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27	16.9	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ian Clark G · 6'3" 175 · 24	15.8	9	75%	2	1	3	1	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Jamaal Franklin G · 6'5" 191 · 24	9.6	3	75%	1	2	0	1	3	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Darrell Arthur #0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 27	Inactive · INACTIVE
Jameer Nelson #28 · G · 6'0" 190 · 33	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	64%	40	28	10	4	21	0	9	31	30-36	83%	39-65	60%	6-18	33%

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25 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 21	32.6	11	69%	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 21	30.1	17	57%	9	2	1	1	5	5	3	6	3-5	60%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 27	23.3	18	69%	5	2	1	0	0	1	1	4	6-7	86%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	22.6	18	64%	4	0	1	0	3	1	0	4	3-4	75%	6-7	86%	1-6	17%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	17.6	4	33%	0	8	0	0	4	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	27.0	17	65%	4	7	1	0	1	1	1	3	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	2-3	67%
Joffrey Lauvergne C · 6'11" 260 · 24	23.2	11	79%	7	3	1	0	1	6	2	5	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24	21.4	16	73%	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	4	4-4	100%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27	16.9	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ian Clark G · 6'3" 175 · 24	15.8	9	75%	2	1	3	1	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Jamaal Franklin G · 6'5" 191 · 24	9.6	3	75%	1	2	0	1	3	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Darrell Arthur #0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 27	Inactive · INACTIVE
Jameer Nelson #28 · G · 6'0" 190 · 33	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	64%	40	28	10	4	21	0	9	31	30-36	83%	39-65	60%	6-18	33%

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2 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Draymond Green F · 6'6" 230 · 25	20.3	8	57%	3	3	0	1	1	3	1	2	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Stephen Curry G · 6'2" 185 · 27	19.3	10	50%	4	7	5	0	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Harrison Barnes F · 6'7" 225 · 23	17.4	12	75%	5	1	0	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-2	100%
Andrew Bogut C · 7'0" 260 · 30	16.2	2	100%	4	4	0	2	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Klay Thompson G · 6'5" 220 · 25	16.0	25	89%	3	0	0	1	2	0	0	3	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	5-7	71%

Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 30	25.3	10	71%	2	5	1	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Leandro Barbosa G · 6'3" 194 · 32	23.3	10	45%	3	3	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-2	0%	5-7	71%	0-3	0%
Marreese Speights F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28	20.6	17	53%	8	0	2	0	1	3	2	6	5-6	83%	6-13	46%	0-1	0%
Justin Holiday G · 6'6" 185 · 26	19.7	14	70%	2	4	2	0	1	2	1	1	6-6	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Andre Iguodala G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31	16.8	3	50%	1	2	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
James Michael McAdoo · 6'9" 230 · 22	15.8	8	67%	1	1	0	1	1	4	0	1	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Festus Ezeli C · 6'11" 265 · 25	15.2	9	56%	3	0	0	1	1	1	2	1	3-6	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Brandon Rush G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30	14.2	5	50%	2	0	1	0	0	3	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Ognjen Kuzmic #1 · C · 7'0" 260 · 25	Inactive · INACTIVE
David Lee #10 · F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	61%	41	30	11	6	13	0	14	27	26-34	76%	34-62	55%	13-28	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	GSW

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.29 64.3%

GSW

1.22 61.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

19

25

76%

GSW

23

30

77%

Midrange

DEN

20

40

50%

GSW

11

32

34%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

6

9.0

18

33%

50%

GSW

13

19.5

28

46%

70%

Free Throws

DEN

30

36

83%

GSW

26

34

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari	18	69%	9.0 / 13
W. Chandler	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Nurkić	17	57%	8.5 / 15
E. Green	17	65%	8.5 / 13
W. Barton	16	73%	8.0 / 11
G. Harris	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Lauvergne	11	79%	5.5 / 7
I. Clark	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. Lawson	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Franklin	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Hickson	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Thompson	25	89%	12.5 / 14
M. Speights	17	53%	8.5 / 16
J. Holiday	14	70%	7.0 / 10
H. Barnes	12	75%	6.0 / 8
S. Curry	10	50%	5.0 / 10
S. Livingston	10	71%	5.0 / 7
L. Barbosa	10	45%	5.0 / 11
F. Ezeli	9	56%	4.5 / 8
D. Green	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. McAdoo	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Rush	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Iguodala	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Bogut	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 104.8 2 111.6	DEN 118.9 GSW 125.5 +6.6
Pace	4 95.9 1 98.3	DEN 102.2 GSW 110.1 +7.8
Avg. Poss. Time	28 14.4 30 14.2	DEN 14.1 GSW 13.1 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 47.9% 1 54.0%	DEN 57.8% GSW 59.4% +1.6%
TO %	15 14.3% 17 14.3%	DEN 17.5% GSW 11.0% −6.5%
ORB %	10 26.5% 21 24.1%	DEN 25.0% GSW 31.1% +6.1%
FTrt	12 27.8 26 23.9	DEN 43.4 +5.6 GSW 37.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.7% 2 65.9%	DEN 62.2% GSW 63.8% +1.6%
STL %	17 8.0% 5 9.4%	DEN 9.4% GSW 10.4% +1.0%
BLK %	22 7.2% 4 9.3%	DEN 6.5% GSW 9.2% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 50.7% 1 55.7%	DEN 64.3% +3.3% GSW 61.0%
Rim FG%	22 56.1% 2 62.0%	DEN 76.0% GSW 76.7% +0.7%
Mid FG%	24 37.9% 6 41.0%	DEN 50.0% +15.6% GSW 34.4%
3P %	28 32.5% 1 39.8%	DEN 33.3% GSW 46.4% +13.1%
FT %	24 73.5% 9 76.9%	DEN 83.3% +6.8% GSW 76.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 38.2% 23 34.1%	DEN 30.1% GSW 33.3% +3.2%
Mid Att. %	6 33.4% 8 34.8%	DEN 48.2% GSW 35.6% −12.6%
3P Att. %	12 28.4% 7 31.1%	DEN 21.7% GSW 31.1% +9.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.

Game Totals	DEN	GSW
Possessions	106	106
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	126	133
Rebounds	40	41
Assists	28	30
Steals	10	11
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	21 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	27 (3)
Field Goals	45-83	47-90
At-the-Rim FG	19-25	23-30
Midrange FG	20-40	11-32
2-Point FG	39-65	34-62
3-Point FG	6-18	13-28
Free Throws	30-36	26-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg