Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Kings	55%	105	122	124.5	98	108.3
	27	Lakers	45%	103	99	102.1	97	88.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ben McLemore G · 6'5" 195 · 22	39.9	24	57%	5	7	2	0	1	1	0	5	4-6	67%	7-11	64%	2-7	29%
Carl Landry F · 6'9" 248 · 32	33.2	14	58%	9	0	1	0	1	3	2	7	6-8	75%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Ray McCallum G · 6'3" 190 · 24	31.8	19	56%	4	6	3	0	1	3	1	3	5-9	56%	7-13	54%	0-1	0%
Nik Stauskas F · 6'6" 205 · 22	31.6	14	70%	5	5	2	0	1	3	0	5	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Jason Thompson C · 6'11" 250 · 29	24.7	12	60%	7	2	0	0	1	2	0	7	2-4	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 24	33.6	22	61%	6	3	0	0	2	2	0	6	2-4	50%	7-12	58%	2-4	50%
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 31	23.3	12	60%	6	0	0	4	1	1	3	3	2-7	29%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
David Stockton G · 5'11" 165 · 24	19.4	5	83%	0	7	2	0	2	1	0	0	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 39	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeMarcus Cousins C · 6'11" 270 · 25	DND - Right foot rest and rehab.
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 29	DND - Concussion.
Reggie Evans C-F · 6'8" 245 · 35	DND - Right thumb sprain.
Omri Casspi #18 · F · 6'9" 225 · 27	Inactive · INACTIVE
Darren Collison #7 · G · 6'2" 185 · 28	Inactive · INACTIVE
Eric Moreland #25 · F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	42	30	10	4	10	0	6	36	22-41	54%	38-67	57%	8-17	47%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ben McLemore G · 6'5" 195 · 22	39.9	24	57%	5	7	2	0	1	1	0	5	4-6	67%	7-11	64%	2-7	29%
Carl Landry F · 6'9" 248 · 32	33.2	14	58%	9	0	1	0	1	3	2	7	6-8	75%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Ray McCallum G · 6'3" 190 · 24	31.8	19	56%	4	6	3	0	1	3	1	3	5-9	56%	7-13	54%	0-1	0%
Nik Stauskas F · 6'6" 205 · 22	31.6	14	70%	5	5	2	0	1	3	0	5	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Jason Thompson C · 6'11" 250 · 29	24.7	12	60%	7	2	0	0	1	2	0	7	2-4	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 24	33.6	22	61%	6	3	0	0	2	2	0	6	2-4	50%	7-12	58%	2-4	50%
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 31	23.3	12	60%	6	0	0	4	1	1	3	3	2-7	29%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
David Stockton G · 5'11" 165 · 24	19.4	5	83%	0	7	2	0	2	1	0	0	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 39	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeMarcus Cousins C · 6'11" 270 · 25	DND - Right foot rest and rehab.
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 29	DND - Concussion.
Reggie Evans C-F · 6'8" 245 · 35	DND - Right thumb sprain.
Omri Casspi #18 · F · 6'9" 225 · 27	Inactive · INACTIVE
Darren Collison #7 · G · 6'2" 185 · 28	Inactive · INACTIVE
Eric Moreland #25 · F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	42	30	10	4	10	0	6	36	22-41	54%	38-67	57%	8-17	47%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

27 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Brown G · 6'5" 214 · 22	48.0	32	67%	3	2	2	0	5	3	0	3	10-11	91%	5-13	38%	4-6	67%
Vander Blue G · 6'4" 200 · 23	48.0	15	31%	7	8	1	0	4	2	2	5	2-3	67%	5-15	33%	1-8	13%
Ryan Kelly F · 6'11" 230 · 24	38.0	12	43%	2	6	1	2	0	4	0	2	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	2-6	33%
Jordan Hill F · 6'10" 240 · 28	26.4	12	40%	6	0	0	1	2	3	1	5	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	0-3	0%
Tarik Black C · 6'9" 250 · 23	21.6	5	63%	6	2	0	0	1	5	3	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26	28.5	7	39%	12	3	2	3	1	6	4	8	1-1	100%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Robert Sacre C · 7'0" 270 · 26	19.5	6	43%	4	1	0	2	1	3	3	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Carlos Boozer F · 6'9" 258 · 33	10.0	10	63%	6	0	0	0	0	2	3	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Jordan Clarkson G · 6'5" 194 · 23	DND - Sprained left ankle.
Wesley Johnson F · 6'7" 215 · 28	DND - Sprained left ankle.[
Jeremy Lin G · 6'3" 200 · 27	DND - Sore left knee.
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 27	DND - Right shoulder separation.
Nick Young G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30	DND - Fracture, left knee cap.
Kobe Bryant #24 · F-G · 6'6" 212 · 37	Inactive · INACTIVE
Julius Randle #30 · F-C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive · INACTIVE
Ronnie Price #9 · G · 6'2" 190 · 32	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	45%	46	22	6	8	14	0	16	30	20-25	80%	29-70	41%	7-24	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.20 59.8%

LAL

0.91 45.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

27

39

69%

LAL

18

37

49%

Midrange

SAC

11

28

39%

LAL

11

33

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

8

12.0

17

47%

71%

LAL

7

10.5

24

29%

44%

Free Throws

SAC

22

41

54%

LAL

20

25

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. McLemore	24	57%	12.0 / 21
D. Williams	22	61%	11.0 / 18
R. McCallum	19	56%	9.5 / 17
C. Landry	14	58%	7.0 / 12
N. Stauskas	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Thompson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
R. Hollins	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Stockton	5	83%	2.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	32	67%	16.0 / 24
V. Blue	15	31%	7.5 / 24
R. Kelly	12	43%	6.0 / 14
J. Hill	12	40%	6.0 / 15
C. Boozer	10	63%	5.0 / 8
E. Davis	7	39%	3.5 / 9
R. Sacre	6	43%	3.0 / 7
T. Black	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 105.5 24 103.5	SAC 124.5 +22.4 LAL 102.1
Pace	9 95.3 13 94.0	SAC 108.3 +19.7 LAL 88.6
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.8 13 15.6	SAC 13.3 −3.0 LAL 16.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 49.0% 26 47.3%	SAC 59.5% +17.5% LAL 42.0%
TO %	27 16.2% 5 13.3%	SAC 8.9% −3.6% LAL 12.5%
ORB %	9 26.5% 14 25.4%	SAC 16.7% LAL 30.8% +14.1%
FTrt	1 36.3 14 27.6	SAC 48.8 +22.2 LAL 26.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 55.4% 24 56.2%	SAC 65.2% +4.1% LAL 61.1%
STL %	26 7.0% 24 7.4%	SAC 10.2% +4.0% LAL 6.2%
BLK %	29 6.4% 18 7.5%	SAC 5.7% LAL 11.9% +6.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.99 and 2.99.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 52.6% 27 49.9%	SAC 59.8% +14.4% LAL 45.4%
Rim FG%	20 56.6% 13 58.0%	SAC 69.2% +20.6% LAL 48.6%
Mid FG%	21 39.4% 28 36.9%	SAC 39.3% +6.0% LAL 33.3%
3P %	20 34.1% 17 34.4%	SAC 47.1% +17.9% LAL 29.2%
FT %	10 76.2% 23 74.1%	SAC 53.7% LAL 80.0% +26.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 41.5% 25 33.8%	SAC 46.4% +7.1% LAL 39.4%
Mid Att. %	20 38.1% 26 44.2%	SAC 33.3% −1.8% LAL 35.1%
3P Att. %	27 20.4% 26 22.0%	SAC 20.2% LAL 25.5% +5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	LAL
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	21.7	26.3
Points	122	99
Rebounds	42	46
Assists	30	22
Steals	10	6
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (8)	16 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	30 (3)
Field Goals	46-84	36-94
At-the-Rim FG	27-39	18-37
Midrange FG	11-28	11-33
2-Point FG	38-67	29-70
3-Point FG	8-17	7-24
Free Throws	22-41	20-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg