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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 4, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Knicks19%10386
4Cavaliers81%11596
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.4
36.8
32.9
17
43%
12
4
1
1
2
1
2
10
3-4
75%
4-13
7-15
31%
45%
2-5
40%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.1
29.0
20.5
2
20%
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 27.6
28.3
27.6
6
33%
4
2
0
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-9
4-7
33%
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 31.7
21.8
21.3
9
45%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
38%
1-5
20%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 20.3
20.6
23.1
13
59%
4
1
2
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
47%
1-4
25%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.9
28.5
26.9
12
61%
4
0
2
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-6
25%
40%
3-5
60%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25.6
19.0
18.4
8
67%
5
1
1
1
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
49%
0-1
0%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.1
16.6
22.9
6
39%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
6-6
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.5
15.4
19.4
2
29%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
1-3
2-5
33%
42%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.4
10.9
14.3
7
72%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.9
9.5
3.7
4
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.6
3.3
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.9
9.9
0
1-3
41%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 32.9
36.1
26.3
22
53%
6
4
0
1
0
1
0
6
4-4
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
46%
2-8
25%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.4
35.3
20.0
9
52%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-6
67%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
1-5
20%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.8
35.1
33.0
23
44%
5
3
4
2
1
3
2
3
4-7
57%
8-18
9-16
44%
55%
1-5
20%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.2
32.4
29.2
11
40%
12
1
0
1
0
1
2
10
1-2
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
49%
2-6
33%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.3
21.9
21.2
10
64%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.2
27.4
28.3
5
36%
3
7
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
41%
1-1
100%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.6
25.6
25.4
10
73%
13
1
0
0
1
1
4
9
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.1
11.1
9.6
5
58%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
39%
0-2
0%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.5
10.2
12.3
1
28%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-4
25%
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.1
5.1
10.3
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
15.7
1
1-2
47%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 24.2
4.5
0
0-0
47%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
2.1
0
0-0
51%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.6
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.