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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 7, 2015
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pistons
84
13Hornets
104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.8
38
34
16
4
1
3
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
6-10
3-7
60%
45%
1-5
20%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
30
33
11
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-3
67%
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
28
21
15
13
1
1
1
1
3
1
12
4-8
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
3-10
30%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.6
24
29
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
5-11
40%
47%
0-4
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.3
24
30
9
9
1
3
1
0
1
2
7
1-4
25%
4-7
7-13
57%
53%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
21
16
8
3
1
4
0
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
4-8
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.5
20
24
4
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.5
20
24
6
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
2-7
29%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.8
20
16
9
1
7
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
40%
3-5
60%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.7
4
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
4
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.7
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.3
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.2
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.0
34
33
13
7
8
2
1
0
4
1
6
3-3
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
50%
2-7
29%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
28
24
20
6
1
0
1
2
3
4
2
10-13
77%
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29.5
28
30
14
12
0
0
1
0
0
5
7
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
50%
2-4
50%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 25.6
25
35
14
9
2
1
2
1
2
0
9
7-8
88%
2-6
5-11
33%
45%
1-3
33%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.0
16
15
6
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 22.7
31
16
7
4
1
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
26
22
13
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.5
21
22
6
7
3
0
1
1
1
3
4
0-2
0%
3-9
3-6
33%
53%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27.6
16
19
8
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.0
4
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 30.1
4
5
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-4
25%
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.4
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.1
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 22.2
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.