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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 7, 2015
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs76%104119
3076ers24%9468
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
30
12
7
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
3-5
60%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
24
3
9
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
48%
1-3
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
22
27
26
9
1
0
1
0
0
0
9
4-4
100%
11-15
6-13
73%
48%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
19
27
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.6
17
25
12
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
52%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.5
27
6
7
5
2
0
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
25
3
6
5
3
0
0
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.2
24
8
14
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
6-8
75%
4-13
1-2
31%
48%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.3
17
4
18
4
1
2
0
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
8-10
1-1
80%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.6
16
20
7
3
5
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
53%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.3
12
22
4
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.3
9
13
6
4
3
2
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.4
21
1
2-4
51%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.0
31
30
13
6
2
0
2
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
43%
2-5
40%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 24.5
28
27
0
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
37%
0-5
0%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 21.7
24
27
13
6
1
2
1
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
6-9
4-8
67%
44%
0-0
-
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
21
27
5
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-2
2-6
100%
44%
0-1
0%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
18
26
2
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 20.0
29
14
10
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
4-6
67%
3-14
3-7
21%
44%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.2
25
22
13
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
40%
1-5
20%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.1
21
13
2
4
0
0
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.7
19
25
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
1-4
25%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.7
14
11
2
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
0-4
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.7
12
17
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-3
33%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.3
3
0
0-0
42%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.2
2
0
0-1
42%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.2
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.