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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 7, 2015
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks55%107104
25Knicks45%10597
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.4
34
36
20
3
7
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
4-9
4-8
44%
44%
3-6
50%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.1
34
36
10
5
4
3
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
2-8
25%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.4
34
33
14
5
5
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
3-7
80%
44%
2-6
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.5
33
29
25
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
5-6
83%
7-14
4-9
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.8
32
27
8
8
2
1
1
0
0
3
5
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.1
25
14
9
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
2-3
67%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.4
19
10
8
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.8
12
11
7
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.1
7
9
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.9
7
3
0
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.3
4
12
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-1
100%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.0
4
0
0-1
47%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.5
1
0
0-0
48%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.4
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.5
38
29
17
6
8
0
1
0
5
1
5
4-5
80%
5-12
5-11
42%
48%
1-6
17%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.2
35
27
14
7
5
1
1
0
1
0
7
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
3-4
75%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 20.3
35
26
28
2
1
1
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
11-14
4-8
79%
51%
2-4
50%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
30
29
6
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 27.7
16
22
6
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.6
27
22
11
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.0
22
23
3
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26.0
16
18
6
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
49%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.2
11
18
2
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.5
10
14
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.0
3
0
0-1
44%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 31.7
3
0
0-1
42%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25.7
3
0
0-1
51%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.