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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 8, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Thunder51%107125
11Grizzlies49%10688
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.2
30.8
36.3
32
96%
10
6
3
1
0
3
0
10
6-6
100%
7-9
6-12
78%
53%
4-5
80%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
28.9
25.6
17
57%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
7-13
4-8
54%
52%
1-2
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.1
24.9
35.3
13
82%
5
16
2
2
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-5
7-14
80%
48%
1-2
50%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
21.9
27.5
10
60%
4
0
2
1
1
0
1
3
2-3
67%
4-5
2-3
80%
55%
0-2
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.4
14.4
24.2
4
30%
5
0
1
1
0
1
4
1
2-4
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
54%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
25.9
26.6
12
64%
0
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
3-3
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
1-3
33%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.1
23.1
12.3
13
82%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
3-5
60%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
18.8
13.4
8
90%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
1-1
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.1
15.2
6.7
0
0%
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.6
14.8
19.3
6
44%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-2
0%
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.6
9.8
8.6
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.3
6.3
3.3
5
83%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.5
5.2
0.8
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
33%
1-2
50%
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.0
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.4
31.3
30.6
9
38%
10
0
0
1
0
1
3
7
3-4
75%
3-10
6-13
30%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.3
29.8
26.6
9
43%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.9
23.2
35.9
11
53%
4
1
0
1
1
3
1
3
3-3
100%
4-9
6-13
44%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.2
21.8
31.7
0
0%
0
6
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
4-9
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.9
14.3
13.5
4
33%
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.2
29.8
27.7
9
35%
2
0
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
50%
1-4
25%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.9
21.6
7.8
7
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.6
21.2
19.5
19
82%
2
1
2
1
1
3
0
2
7-8
88%
6-7
2-4
86%
47%
0-1
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.5
19.0
16.0
11
63%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.7
18.9
24.4
5
83%
0
0
0
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
1-2
50%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.6
9.0
1.6
4
106%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
4.3
0
1-1
62%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.4
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.4
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.