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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 9, 2015
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat
81
12Hornets
99
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.9
25
30
11
2
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
5-11
7-15
45%
49%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.6
24
32
5
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
52%
1-4
25%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.9
24
30
11
3
0
0
1
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
1-3
33%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.5
23
24
6
8
1
0
1
3
6
1
7
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
58%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.7
22
35
7
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
50%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.6
29
23
20
2
2
1
1
1
3
1
1
7-8
88%
5-7
2-5
71%
47%
1-5
20%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.7
26
28
7
8
1
1
1
0
0
2
6
0-2
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.6
24
29
5
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.5
16
7
1
6
1
0
0
1
1
1
5
1-1
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.2
15
7
5
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-3
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.4
7
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.8
4
17
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.4
2
0
0-0
59%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 25.6
31
30
18
5
4
5
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
7-11
4-9
64%
44%
1-2
50%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.0
28
33
10
11
11
1
1
1
3
0
11
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
24
26
9
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29.5
23
28
18
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
4-6
67%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.0
16
15
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
2-2
100%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 22.7
29
22
5
7
6
1
1
0
1
0
7
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
20
23
5
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-2
0%
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.5
19
22
10
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-1
0%
5-8
3-6
63%
51%
0-4
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27.6
17
17
5
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 30.1
10
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.4
9
3
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
41%
1-3
33%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.0
8
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.1
7
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 30.9
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.